Please post ideas for new threads, tips on relevant and interesting threads elsewhere, and notes about pretty much anything you like here.

The scissors will be wielded to commercial spam, lewd suggestions, and anything else I don’t like. 😎

  1. oldbrew says:

    Link back to Suggestions 35

    [for viewing only please]

  2. oldbrew says:

    Some planetary systems just aren’t into heavy metal
    Date: October 24, 2018
    Source: Yale University

    Summary: Researchers have discovered that compact, multiple-planet systems are more likely to form around stars that have lower amounts of heavy elements than our own Sun.
    . . .
    Another tantalizing possibility to explore, according to the researchers, is the connection between iron and silicon in the birth of planets. The new study shows a high silicon-to-iron ratio in stars with lower metallicity.

    “Silicon could be the secret ingredient,” Fischer said. “The ratio of silicon to iron is acting as a thermostat for planet formation. As the ratio increases, nature is dialing up the formation of small, rocky planets.”

  3. oldbrew says:

    The conundrum: Prior to the Mid Pleistocene Transition (MPT) roughly one million years ago, glacial cycles followed a simple 41Ky obliquity cycle.

    But now they follow a ~100Ky eccentricity cycle, or so it seems.

    Towards an understanding of Ice Ages
    Posted on October 31, 2018 by Clive Best

    An Ice model driven by NH insolation but adjusted for dust albedo does a pretty good job at reproducing the last 8 glacial cycles. Details are described below.
    – – –
    But where was the dust before that? Clive Best does some analysis.

  4. Paul Vaughan says:

    ThisUN vs. The Sun

    parasol = protecting against the sun
    Never mind overheated revolution where harrowin’ revelation will do.

    “a hole in U — in Eur. Paris sol.O well
    — Queens of the Stone Age “Monsters in the Parasol”

    _We_ face steep walls after a dark fall, Rated R: “restricted to everyone, everywhere, all the time”.

    — Democracy and Freedom

    “The physical universe, then, is a kind of language that invites a privileged spectator to decipher it, although this does not yield a single message so much as a superior network of associations.”

    “”the power of the arts is indeed the most immediate and fastest way” to social, political and economic reform.”

    “Orwell feared that the truth would be concealed from us. Huxley feared the truth would be drowned in a sea of irrelevance.”

  5. oldbrew says:

    Met Office: Successful prediction of the CO2 rise associated with 2015/2016 El Niño

    2016 was a milestone year for climate change, marking the first time that the monthly atmospheric CO2 concentration remained above 400ppm for an entire year. This historic event was predicted months earlier by a collaboration of scientists, who determined the 2015/2016 El Niño to be a significant driver of the increase in CO2 concentration. A paper has now been published providing verification and further explanation of the prediction.

    – – –
    Warmer seas outgas more CO2 – would be expected? Over to Bob Tisdale:

    Atmospheric CO2 Concentration versus Sea Surface Temperature
    The solubility of CO2 in sea water is well established. Warmer waters dissolve less CO2. In fact, as the oceans warm they outgas CO2 to the atmosphere.

    Not well established, though, are the long-term effects of individual ENSO events on SST. Most studies deal with atmospheric temperature and precipitation responses to ENSO. Yet, during an El Nino, a significant amount of heat is upwelled and distributed to sea surfaces as well, through atmospheric and oceanic Rossby waves and through surface winds and currents. I have also yet to see a study of sea surface temperatures that attempts to follow the heat of a significant El Nino, from the upwelling of the warmer water to its eventual subduction. This assumes there would still be heat left at the time of subduction. But since, in one study, Rossby waves from the 82/83 El Nino were still visible after a decade, I would imagine that some residual heat would remain for at least that period.

    Also not well established are the cumulative effects of a greater frequency and magnitude of El Nino events versus La Nina events. El Nino frequency and their combined magnitude have been dominant during every period when global SST and atmospheric temperatures have risen over the past 150+ years. The reverse has occurred when the number and magnitudes of La Nina events outweigh El Nino events. Why? If the heat released by one El Nino is not countered by the heat absorbed of an equally weighted La Nina, there will be a net gain in atmospheric and oceanic heat. Temperatures rise as a consequence. And if that heat has not been fully dissipated before another El Nino adds more, the effect becomes additive. Each subsequent El Nino then adds to the prior oceanic and atmospheric heat, raising global temperature. The same holds true for periods of back-to-back El Nino events, or when the magnitude of a La Nina is not countered by an equally sized El Nino, except, of course, the result is a net heat loss and a decrease in temperature.

    It would appear similar results can be expected for the growth rate in atmospheric CO2 concentration in response to ENSO events. [bold added]

  6. oldbrew says:

    OCTOBER 31, 2018 REPORT
    New model offers more specifics about the swaying of the Millennium Bridge

    The researchers discovered that the wobbling of the bridge did not require crowd synchrony, which prior studies had suggested was necessary for wobbling to get started. They also found that crowds syncing up and the bridge wobbling did not necessarily have to happen at the same time. The model also showed that as the bridge started to wobble, the people walking on it widened their steps, which required more energy, but offered more stability.
    – – –
    Walking crowds on a shaky surface: stable walkers discover Millennium Bridge oscillations with and without pedestrian synchrony

    Why did the London Millennium Bridge shake when there was a big enough crowd walking on it? What features of human walking dynamics when coupled to a shaky surface produce such shaking? Here, we use a simple biped model capable of walking stably in three dimensions to examine these questions. We simulate multiple such stable bipeds walking simultaneously on a bridge, showing that they naturally synchronize under certain conditions, but that synchronization is not required to shake the bridge.

    Varun Joshi, Manoj Srinivasan
    Published 31 October 2018
    – – –

  7. oldbrew says:

    New insights on comet tails are blowing in the solar wind
    November 2, 2018 by Lina Tran, NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center

    Read more at:

    Caption: Comet McNaught over the Pacific Ocean. Image taken from Paranal Observatory in January 2007.

  8. oldbrew says:

    Antarctic conditions ‘among the coldest since 1979’

    The 2018 ozone hole was strongly influenced by a stable and cold Antarctic vortex—the stratospheric low pressure system that flows clockwise in the atmosphere above Antarctica. These colder conditions—among the coldest since 1979—helped support formation of more polar stratospheric clouds, whose cloud particles activate ozone-destroying forms of chlorine and bromine compounds.

    Read more at:

  9. oldbrew says:

    David Attenborough: too much alarmism on environment a turn-off

    Veteran broadcaster says Dynasties, his new BBC wildlife series, will be gripping, truthful and entertaining but not overtly campaigning

  10. oldbrew says:

    What can happen at/near solar minimum, i.e. now…

    Studies show that coronal holes not only open more frequently when sunspots are absent, but also last longer. During the last solar minimum in 2007-2009, one coronal hole stayed open for 27 consecutive solar rotations. As the sun slowly turned on its axis, that hole fire-hosed Earth with a stream of solar wind almost once a month for nearly two years. [Nov. 4, 2018]

    Study: Low-Latitude Coronal Holes at the Minimum of the 23rd Solar Cycle

    From both the observations and Potential Field Source Surface (PFSS) modeling, we find that the area occupied by CHs inside a belt of ±40∘ around the solar equator is larger in the current 2007 solar minimum relative to the similar phase of the previous 1996 solar minimum.
    . . .
    The unusual large separation between the dipole and multi-pole components is due to the very low magnitude of the dipole component, which is three times lower than that in the previous 1996 solar minimum.
    [bold added]
    – – –
    Let’s see how the imminent minimum goes.

  11. oldbrew says:

    CME arriving…

  12. oldbrew says:

    Czech-mate: See another blockbuster confirmation of the Younger Dryas cosmic impact below.

    Cosmic-Impact Event in Lake Sediments from Central Europe Postdates the Laacher See Eruption and Marks Onset of the Younger Dryas

    The Younger Dryas (YD) climate episode (∼12,850–11,650 calendar years before present [cal BP]) is an event recorded widely across the Northern Hemisphere. We conducted multiple analyses at high resolution of a YD-age sedimentary sequence from Stara Jimka, a paleolake in the Bohemian Forest, Czech Republic.
    . . .
    Collectively, this evidence is consistent with the YD impact hypothesis and evidence of one or more cosmic airburst events occurring at this time.

  13. PM says:

    In case you missed it, “Gravesend-Broadness weather station closes”

    [reply] thanks

  14. Paul Vaughan says:

    Stablest inITiative: Blue Pill R Fall

    IT’s compassionately symbolic.

    Stablest peace by revelationary piece trumps deep state’s climatically overheated revolution.

    Is there a better way?

    The blue pill opens Eur. eyes

    A new religion prescribed
    To those without the faith

    Let’s see if I’m hearing this right:
    Is it just I should take?
    “Better Living” – Queens of the Stone Age “Rated R”

    The Openly Stranded Helix

    The stablest 1 in 5 OCEAN traits helically complements irrationally halusinogenic BRInitiative’s 1-way silky strand by reciprocally well-counterbalanced golden means.

    “is it too late to go back?
    isIT00L82G0?” — Q

  15. oldbrew says:

    An ice age lasting 115,000 years in two minutes
    November 6, 2018 by Si­mone Ul­mer, ETH Zurich

    The new simulation appears to support the theory of more frequent glaciations, showing that some Alpine glaciers may have advanced and retreated more than 10 times during the last 120,000 years.
    [incl. video]

  16. Paul Vaughan says:

    Disoriented Climatic Stone Age Spell

    Threatening destructive global resonance with droning models, bureacratic tyranny circled a deep state of climatic darkness.

    The climatic spell was written in stone well before The Fall.

    “Feel Good hIT of the Summer — Queens of the Stone Age

    The Stablest Steps to Well-Oriented 2020 Hindsight

    Climatic stone age relief’s by revelation, not overheated revolution.

    Antiresonant irrational means dynamically counterbalance unending spin:

    The red wedge just begins an infinite series of well-counterbalanced steps. On the steepest and slipperiest of darkly encircling slopes, long run helical lift is carved by enlightening golden means.

  17. oldmanK says:

    “An ice age lasting 115,000 years in two minutes” Interesting video. should be compared to fig 3 at here:

    All those jerks have a meaning. However more than the 8k2 event can be identified there.

  18. oldbrew says:

    Train Travels 90 Km Without Driver For An Hour In Australia

    The 268-wagon train started on its solo journey when the driver got down from his cab to carry out an inspection, and was soon hurtling along at up to 110 kilometres (68 miles) per hour.

    See also:
    – – –
    Had to be derailed – messy…

  19. oldbrew says:


    So – half an admission that modern warming isn’t man-made, as was insisted up to now. It’s a start 😐

    Obviously beginning the alarmist retreat as the low solar cycles period kicks off.
    – – –
    Self-proclaimed would-be saviour of the planet attacks another one…

    Guardian: David Attenborough has betrayed the living world he loves

    By downplaying our environmental crisis, the presenter’s BBC films have generated complacency, confusion and ignorance
    Wed 7 Nov 2018

    Or – Attenborough opts to stick to subjects he knows about :/

  20. oldbrew says:

    Chinese headmaster fired after stealing school’s electricity to mine cryptocurrencies

    Eight ethereum mining machines were deployed at the school for about a year, racking up an electricity bill of US$2,120
    PUBLISHED : Friday, 09 November, 2018

  21. oldbrew says:

    How massive solar eruptions ‘probably’ detonated dozens of US sea mines
    November 8, 2018

    Many of the mines deployed were magnetic influence sea mines that were designed to detonate when they detected changes in the magnetic field.
    . . .
    Early August in 1972 saw some of the most intense solar activity ever recorded.

    A sunspot region, denoted MR 11976, set off a series of intense solar flares (energetic explosions of electromagnetic radiation), coronal mass ejections (eruptions of solar plasma material that typically accompany flares) and clouds of charged particles travelling close to the speed of light.

    Those conducting the investigation into the mine incident visited the Space Environment Laboratory at the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) near Boulder, Colorado, to speak to space scientists.

  22. oldbrew says:

    Dust grains in microgravity show a surprising amount of order

    Experiments carried out 250 miles above Earth show electrically charged dust particles in a microgravity environment don’t arrange themselves as haphazardly as expected.
    By Jake Parks | Published: Thursday, November 8, 2018

    The researchers found that introducing the dust grains to a microgravity environment did not lead to more chaos like they expected. Quite the contrary. They found that the reduced influence of gravity allowed forces within the plasma to arrange the dust particles in relatively straight lines – though the grains did squirm around a bit within these lines.
    . . .
    Electrically charged dust grains are common throughout space, whether it be around stars, in the interstellar medium, or within planet-forming disks. And by learning how these charged particles arrange themselves within a microgravity plasma, researchers are hoping to better understand the foundational physics that governs their behavior. Such research will ultimately help shed light on a range of astrophysical objects and processes we don’t yet fully understand.
    – – –
    Orderly like Saturn’s rings?

  23. oldbrew says:

    Talking of Earth and dust…

    Science confirms: Earth has more than one ‘moon’

    Two massive clouds of dust in orbit around the Earth have been discussed for years and finally proven to exist.
    10 November, 2018

    The Kordylewski clouds are two dust clouds first observed by Polish astronomer Kazimierz Kordylewski in 1961. They are situated at two of the Lagrange points in Earth’s orbit. These points are locations where the gravity of two objects, such as the Earth and the Moon or a planet and the Sun, equals the centripetal required to orbit the objects while staying in the same relative position. There are five of these spots between the Earth and Moon. The clouds rest at what are called points four and five, forming a triangle with the clouds and the Earth at the three corners.
    – – –
    The equivalent at Jupiter would be the Trojan moons.

    The Jupiter trojans, commonly called Trojan asteroids or simply Trojans, are a large group of asteroids that share the planet Jupiter’s orbit around the Sun. Relative to Jupiter, each Trojan librates around one of Jupiter’s two stable Lagrange points: L4, lying 60° ahead of the planet in its orbit, and L5, 60° behind.

    Shown in green (Trojans and Greeks) here…

  24. oldbrew says:

    Wind farms in India are driving a population boom of skinny, fearless lizards

    Fewer bird predators near turbines leads to more lizards in local areas and more competition for food, leading to thinner lizards – says the report.

  25. oldbrew says:

    From: BOM – Climate outlook overview

    Current observations and model outlooks indicate the chance of El Niño has increased and a positive Indian Ocean Dipole is likely underway. See the Climate Influences section for more information.

  26. stpaulchuck says:

    just another “accidental” torture of data to “prove” the oceans are going to boil… maybe even by tomorrow. Or something.

    [mod] Link says: ‘Unfortunately, our website is currently unavailable in most European countries.’

  27. oldbrew says:

    The first rains in centuries in the Atacama Desert devastate its microbial life
    November 15, 2018, Spanish National Research Council

    The Atacama Desert, the driest and oldest desert on Earth, located in northern Chile, hides a hyper-arid core in which no rain has been recorded during the past 500 years. But this situation has changed in the last three years. For the first time, rainfall has been documented in the hyper-arid core of the Atacama, and contrary to what was expected, the water supply has caused a great devastation among local life.

    Read more at:

  28. oldmanK says:

    Atacama Desert: “no rain has been recorded during the past 500 years”. Near half an Eddy cycle.
    What to expect?

  29. dai davies says:

    I liked the quotes about microgravity experiment and Saturn’s rings.

    Totally different topic: I’ve compiled what I’ve written about the Earth’s thermostat into one page here:

  30. oldbrew says:

    oldbrew says: November 10, 2018 at 7:00 pm

    the reduced influence of gravity allowed forces within the plasma to arrange the dust particles in relatively straight lines

    What ‘forces’ might those be? They either don’t know or don’t want to say.

  31. dai davies says:

    With charged particles (dust) and a magnetic field, particles will follow magnetic lines of force and if they are charged will repel each other. Will go in helical paths if they have velocity perpendicular to the magnetic LoF. On Earth, end up at poles and cause auroras.
    Not clear from article what they were really trying to do with plasma. But interesting to see mainstream moving into Electric Universe territory.

    Raises interesting point re planetary ring systems. I’ve noticed in close range shots of Saturn’s that some rings have formed double helixes. They have had helical motion and jostled themselves into helical attractors.

  32. oldbrew says:

    Issued: Mon, 19 Nov 2018
    University of Glasgow report on wind turbine replacement (repowering):

    “We’ve completed the most comprehensive and collaborative report on repowering to date. This shows that foundations could be re-engineered to take bigger turbines (for another 30 years), but reusing the foundation generally requires more construction materials and disturbs the soil as much as a new foundation.”

  33. oldbrew says:

    Surprising magnetic reconnection spotted on Saturn’s dayside

    (5 June 2018 – ESA) Data from the international Cassini mission has revealed that a phenomenon called magnetic reconnection can occur on the dayside of Saturn, within the planet’s magnetic environment.
    . . .
    In the Saturn system, the moon Enceladus and its cryovolcanic activity eject a lot of water vapour and tiny icy dust grains,” says Nicolas Altobelli, ESA Cassini project scientist.

    “As this water gets ionised, it fills up the magnetosphere of Saturn with heavy ions that interact with the rotating magnetic field lines. When these lines change configuration, during a reconnection event for example, this plasma is released and accelerated.”

  34. A C Osborn says:

    Oldbrew, is Paul Vaughan OK?

    [reply] no idea, but you’re not the first to ask

  35. poly says:

    Yup, I worry PV has lost the plot. He is brilliant but worrying.

  36. oldbrew says:

    Warmists can’t have their cake and eat it too…

    New Video : Symptoms Of Global Warming And Global Cooling Are Identical
    Posted on November 20, 2018 by tonyheller
    – – –
    The current and next low solar cycles won’t help them much either.

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