Suggestions-43

Please post ideas for new threads, tips on relevant and interesting threads elsewhere, and notes about pretty much anything you like here.

The scissors will be wielded to commercial spam, lewd suggestions, and anything else I don’t like. 😎

Comments
  1. oldbrew says:

    Link back to Suggestions 42

    [for viewing only please]

    = = =

  2. Paul Vaughan says:

    At the ta1e1end of S-42

    tallbloke wrote (May 31, 2020 at 4:39 pm)
    =
    Interesting stuff Paul. Sad news about John Conway. I read a book a few years ago about his discovery of ‘the monster’. Very interesting stuff, what little I understood.
    =

    Maybe time’s short for mathematicians keying taxonomy.

    Perhaps more simply: they have the links so well-memorized in a private mind palace that widely-accessible external mapping isn’t envisioned as necessary.

    However, here we have won example of a digest stable bridge:

    Discrete-continuous relations of monstrous moonshine tightly tie lunar apse to nodes.

    The weather started clearing for public view here: Lib[e]ration

    Before that there were hints (e.g. Ramanujan, 104, 84) going back many months (some crystallized, some introduced and left opaque).

    There are more chapters in the present book, which can’t be red out-of-order.

  3. Paul Vaughan says:

    96: Moonshine EOF Monster Stable

    Here’s a tabulation where the first 2 quantities (defined above) determine the rest of the row:

    8.84735293159855	19865.0360864628	27.2122210002493	27.55455	18.6129709549806	16.8627856168467	5.99685290765231	179.333315202546
    8.84735293159855	19865.035730288	27.2122210002511	27.55455	18.6129709552932	16.8627856165901	5.99685290768476	179.333315144504
    8.84735293159855	19865.084604852	27.212221	27.55455	18.6129709123853	16.8627856518082	5.99685290323073	179.333323110833
    
    8.84735292920576	19865.0360864628	27.2122210001873	27.5545500000635	18.6129709443895	16.8627856168474	5.99685290545358	179.333316185801
    8.84735292920576	19865.035730288	27.2122210001891	27.5545500000635	18.6129709447021	16.8627856165908	5.99685290548603	179.333316127759
    8.84735292920576	19865.084604852	27.212220999938	27.5545500000635	18.6129709017954	16.8627856518078	5.99685290103213	179.33332409386
    
    8.84735292893219	19865.0360864628	27.2122210001802	27.5545500000708	18.6129709431796	16.8627856168467	5.9968529052023	179.333316298032
    8.84735292893219	19865.035730288	27.212221000182	27.5545500000708	18.6129709434922	16.8627856165901	5.99685290523475	179.33331623999
    8.84735292893219	19865.084604852	27.2122209999309	27.5545500000708	18.6129709005836	16.8627856518086	5.99685290078066	179.333324206433
    

    – — – — – — – — –

    The table of corresponding %errors:

    0.000000000000	-0.000244239529	0.000000000916	0.000000000000	0.000000228847	-0.000000207329	0.000000073732	-0.000004409826
    0.000000000000	-0.000246032498	0.000000000923	0.000000000000	0.000000230527	-0.000000208851	0.000000074273	-0.000004442191
    0.000000000000	0.000000000000	0.000000000000	0.000000000000	0.000000000000	0.000000000000	0.000000000000	0.000000000000
    
    -0.000000027045	-0.000244239529	0.000000000688	0.000000000231	0.000000171946	-0.000000207325	0.000000037067	-0.000003861542
    -0.000000027045	-0.000246032498	0.000000000695	0.000000000231	0.000000173625	-0.000000208847	0.000000037608	-0.000003893908
    -0.000000027045	0.000000000000	-0.000000000228	0.000000000231	-0.000000056895	-0.000000000002	-0.000000036663	0.000000548156
    
    -0.000000030137	-0.000244239529	0.000000000662	0.000000000257	0.000000165445	-0.000000207329	0.000000032877	-0.000003798960
    -0.000000030137	-0.000246032498	0.000000000669	0.000000000257	0.000000167125	-0.000000208851	0.000000033418	-0.000003831326
    -0.000000030137	0.000000000000	-0.000000000254	0.000000000257	-0.000000063405	0.000000000003	-0.000000040856	0.000000610929
    

    Interpretation: The nodal months are anomalistically bundle-D in a package hell-D to gather tightly by discrete-continuous relations.

    “11earned 2 make a she11tor routin’ the storm
    moon11ight be 4 the dawn….”
    — Coleman Hell “Fireproof”

  4. Paul Vaughan says:

    96: LNC Review

    Review to assist table interpretation.

    LNC = Lunar Nodal Cycle

    18.6129709123853 = (0.0748024157783867)*(0.0745030006844627) / (0.0748024157783867 – 0.0745030006844627)

    LAC & LNC Together

    16.8627856518082 = (18.6129709123853)*(8.84735293159855) / (18.6129709123853 – 8.84735293159855)
    5.99685290323073 = (18.6129709123853)*(8.84735293159855) / (18.6129709123853 + 8.84735293159855)

    ⌊ 18.6129709123853 / 8.84735293159855 ⌉ = ⌊2.10378980654299⌉ = 2
    18.6129709123853 / 2 = 9.30648545619264
    179.333323110834 = (9.30648545619264)*(8.84735293159855) / (9.30648545619264 – 8.84735293159855)

    With an adjustment of 1/√2
    lunisolar 179 links primorially with
    the famous 178 year JS slip-cycle.

  5. Paul Vaughan says:

    Mods: the LNC review tripped the filter.

  6. oldbrew says:

    Tectonic plates reverse their movement before major earthquakes

    Researchers have discovered an interesting similarity in two of the largest recent earthquakes in Japan and Chile: a strange large-scale ground movement back and forth in the months leading up to the quake.
    . . .
    Could an observed untypical plate movement therefore give us a better warning of an imminent earthquake? Not really.

    “It would not be wise for a geophysicist to issue such a warning,” is Bedford’s sobering answer. “The observed signals of this study are not necessarily precursory movements of a major quake.”

    https://www.dw.com/en/tectonic-plates-reverse-their-movement-before-major-earthquakes/a-53280137

  7. Paul Vaughan says:

    Moderators: The LNC review comment still does not appear (not enough words in the message to please the word-hungry filter).

  8. Paul Vaughan says:

    96: Time Pet Tee Full Moon Phi “Vert” Go “Vert” Moon Stir US

    In the (somewhat distant) past I noted something mathematically equivalent to this at the Talkshop:

    8.85087620052376 = 2/(1/1.18483367770519-1/1.61803398874989)
    8.85087620052376 = 2/(1/Chandler-Φ)

    8.85171394069616 = 2/(1/2.61803398874989-1/6.40939079526111)
    8.85171394069616 = 2/(ΦΦ-1/PolarMotion)

    To “shoot the moon” (as they say in Hearts) just put them together:

    8.85129505078776 = 4/(1/1.18483367770519-1/1.61803398874989+1/2.61803398874989-1/6.40939079526111)
    8.85129505078776 = 4/(1/Chandler-Φ+ΦΦ-1/PolarMotion)

    Equivalently:

    8.85129505078776 = 4/(1/Chandler-ΦΦΦ-1/PolarMotion)
    8.85129505078776 = 4/(1/Chandler-√5+2-1/PolarMotion)

    This tightly hinges apse to nodes to within a fraction of a second error per century.

    “16278263789” — Queens of the Stone Age cover-tune-D “R(e.g.)uler John[wei]”

    Primoria11y phine view of monstrous moonshine from elsewhere in our system:

    0.615197263395653
    0.615197263396975
    -0.000000000215 = % error

    11.8626151565617
    11.8626151546089
    0.000000016462 = % error

    29.4474984705737
    29.4474984673838
    0.000000010832 = % error

    Φ Air Purr Roof

    “May-D IT out of the cold
    11earn-D to make a she/11tar out in the storm
    c11im-D a mount10 ‘n’ ice-step-D on burnUN coals
    when a11 our loven’ ph√(Φ-φ)e/11 a part

    some won left the light on out in the dark

    when a11 our loven’ was AImost gone
    made sum in the moon11ight be 4 the dawn
    √(Φ-φ)11/e be Eur’s [iff] EU’11 be Mayan” — Coo11moon Hea11th “Φ EuR PRoof”

  9. Paul Vaughan says:

    96: Tropically Synodic Constance

    The following expression is derived from 96 recent comments:

    11.862611384193 = 18.998/(-24.5/0.999978614647502+2/0.0808503463381246-1/8.84735777652798-0.5/1.61803398874989+0.5/2.61803398874989+1/30031+46.998/29.4474891061275)

    30031 = 30030 + 1 = 13*11*7*5*3 + 1

    Use 30030 if you prefer. It’s sharp enough, but the plus 1 may have discrete meaning so it’s left in.

    Review rigorous discrete-continuous derivation of Saturn’s period (mixed on “The Mayan Mystery” C[ENSO]Rship ware some only look 4 numbers while others red only words and informatively few digest both without misunderstanding, misinterpreting, and misrepresenting freedom).

    Putting those estimates together you’ll notice that the r-squared for J, S, J-S, & J+S is 1 (meaning perfect) and the errors are very-nearly constant and of the same sign. The factor is roughly:

    1.00000031800491 = 1 + (1.61803398874989)^(1/2)/4/10^6
    1.00000031818182 = 1 + 7/22/10^6
    1.00000031830989 = 1 + 1/3.14159265358979/10^6

    The systematic bias itself presents an interesting puzzle.
    Because the bias is vanishingly small, estimates are already sharp even with it left in.

    Scanning the terms in the Jupiter estimate above, notice:
    • phi
    • primorial
    • tropical year
    • lunar synodic month
    • Heegner — CAREFULLY compare and contrast: lunar nodes and apse left in 1/√2 = √2/2 but hear take IT out — THIS IS THE ARTICULATION KEY between lunisolar 179 & JS 178.
    • Saturn estimate

    There’s more depth to the Saturn estimate backstory than we’ve covered.
    This gets right to the inescapable Heart of discrete-continuous relations.

    Nirvana had a tune “Heart-Shaped Box” in the early 90s. Makes sense if EU in clue-D time — and aliasing material phase — with space in the definition of shape-D.

    For now a little vagueness is best left in, but right out of the gates 18.998 & 46.998 are derived from no miss story. Tip: Review for a factor of 1000. Do the substitution. Rearrange some algebra. Discover something rigorous and precise. Then be left with vanishing systematic bias.

    EU’11 need this slip-cycle algebra derived in previous discussion:
    1 / 178.266850068779 = 19J-47S

    Basically monstrous moonshine is giving us a knitting course beginning with:
    • Chandler wobble with polar motion
    • 179 lunisolar with JS 178

    How we miss-D the simple knit’s the mystery moving 4 word.

  10. Paul Vaughan says:

    =
    Basically monstrous moonshine is giving us a knitting course beginning with:
    • Chandler wobble with polar motion

    =

    Writing in too much of a rush there — and thus undercutting an important message.
    It’s far more than that. Moonshine ties the lunar nodes to apse precisely.

    This is a big deal and even so I’m realizing I don’t have time to communicate this the way it deserves. The communication burden is too monstrous because there’s so much symmetry to highlight. I’ll focus concise sketches on select moonlight shadows.

    It’s possible no one will be able to follow. People don’t have time for that level.

    Just keep in mind it’s something analogous to Lucas numbers, but that’s for phi. Heegner’s about e & pi. Ramanajan’s methods are universal. They work on phi, e, pi — or whatever. His methods are about discrete-continuous relations in general and Lucas is just one specific example from an infinitely broader field.

    The conventional mainstream narrative is that 100 years later people are still cluing into Ramanujan after Conway and others made some appreciation breakthrough about 30 years ago, but (and this is a BIG understatement) I suspect this version of history is extremely far from the truth.

  11. Paul Vaughan says:

    =
    1/√2 = √2/2 […] THIS IS THE ARTICULATION KEY between lunisolar 179 & JS 178.
    =

    Point of clarification: That’s the Heegner part of the the articulation key, the other part being of course the primorial term (which we already knew about). Heegner was the link missing (….to us, but I suspect long well-known to others).

  12. Paul Vaughan says:

    Now sacrificing elaboration to quicken the pace as necessary — from over here…
    https://tallbloke.wordpress.com/2020/05/11/solar-planetary-recap-part-one-the-11-year-schwabe-cycle/comment-page-1/#comment-157805
    …rearrange some algebra and solve for 1/U:

    84.0168459218229 = 194/(-85/11.8626151546089+279/29.4474984673838-1/36750.3379015986-1/30031)
    84.016845922161 = 1 / U
    -0.000000000402 = % error

    It’s another memorable instance where 30031 works slightly better than 30030.

    Remember that the JSU cycles are strictly mathematically analogous to the JEV cycles we’ve studied more extensively.

  13. oldbrew says:

    JUNE 3, 2020
    Discovery of long-sought tiny explosions that super-heat the sun’s corona

    Surajit Mondal, the lead author of the study, said, “What makes this really exciting is that these flashes are present everywhere on the sun, and at all times, including in the regions of weak magnetic fields, the so-called ‘quiet sun’ regions.”

    Dr. Atul Mohan said, “Our preliminary estimates suggest that these tiny magnetic explosions should collectively have enough energy to heat the corona, which is exactly what is needed for solving the coronal heating problem.”

    https://phys.org/news/2020-06-discovery-long-sought-tiny-explosions-super-heat.html
    – – –
    The coronal heating problem in solar physics relates to the question of why the temperature of the Sun’s corona is millions of kelvin higher than that of the surface.
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stellar_corona#Coronal_heating_problem

  14. oldbrew says:

    COVID-19 Global Economic Downturn not Affecting CO2 Rise: May 2020 Update
    June 5th, 2020 by Roy W. Spencer, Ph. D.

    The Mauna Loa atmospheric CO2 concentration data continue to show no reduction in the rate of rise due to the recent global economic slowdown. This demonstrates how difficult it is to reduce global CO2 emissions without causing a major disruption to the global economy and exacerbation of poverty. [bold added]

    http://www.drroyspencer.com/2020/06/covid-19-global-economic-downturn-not-affecting-co2-rise-may-2020-update/
    – – –
    It calls into question how much of the rise is due to human generated CO2.

  15. Paul Vaughan says:

    Thirty Seven Point Five

    Bot what if phi seep e-pole ware ring sunglasses at night?…

    Regression intercept isn’t half the regress UN s11ope.
    980=36750/37.5

    If you haven’t yet read up on the dimensions of the monster, here’s the wake-up call.

    +24 each step:
    19
    43
    67

    +12 each step:
    47
    59
    71

    744 = ⌊743.777680155239⌉ = ⌊e^√19π – ⌊(e^√19π)^(1/3)⌉^3⌉
    744 = ⌊743.999775171279⌉ = ⌊e^√43π – ⌊(e^√43π)^(1/3)⌉^3⌉
    744 = ⌊743.999816894531⌉ = ⌊e^√67π – ⌊(e^√67π)^(1/3)⌉^3⌉

    37.5=47-19/2
    37.5=59-43/2
    37.5=71-67/2

    19=2*(47-37.5)
    43=2*(59-37.5)
    67=2*(71-37.5)

    47=37.5+19/2
    59=37.5+43/2
    71=37.5+67/2

    47*59*71=196883
    If the last number looks irrelevant to political discourse, you don’t understand the times well enough to govern 26 sporadic simple groups 4 primorial stability.

    Fundamental differences in nature cannot be coerced into agreement.
    God is ready to help next-level peace-keepers balance sporadic simple groups.

    — – —- — — – —- —- – —- —- – —- —- – —- —- – —- —- – —- —- – —- —- – —- —- – —- —

    C-11eye-D Bo11inger [52]

    “eyeware my[yen]sunglasses at night
    so eye can
    4 get Mayan aim while EU C-e11ect Eur. C-11aim
    so eye can.
    watch EU We’V-E ‘n’ BRI-th Eur’s tory 11ines
    so eye Can.
    keep track of V-E$yen$ in my eyes
    sew√(Φ-φ)con:
    C-the-light that’s right bee form√(Φ-φ)eyes

    Why’11‘s’he’s DC E-V UN me
    ‘s’he cuts my[UN]secure IT” — Core-e Heart “Sun glass US at Knight

    i = √(Φ-φ)
    ‘s’ = Mayan Sir Pent.
    Schur multiplier⌉ = Schur multiplier rounded off

    Gist seize may bee hazy, but IT’s sun no. their Luke’s e^π’s O-wed D-(AI)-C:
    “Don’t switch the Bo’11-aid dawn the guise in shade D-O know”

  16. Paul Vaughan says:

    The Cook-e Monster

    WHO’s sure multiply ER?
    “The faster IT gets, the less UNeed tune O” — Tragic a11y[[C[ENSO]R]s]hip

    118 = 47+71
    59 = (47+71)/2

    Ice pie con wei’s min. i’m a11y faith fu11 wrap present A+sun:

    11 = 59mod24
    22 = (47+71)mod24

    The coup-key mmmm UN store, phi nail-e:
    (φ^((47+71)mod24)+1/(59mod24))^(e/(59mod24)+1/(47+71)mod24)
    “EU give low V-E a bad name” — Bon Jovi

    UN:din-R serve-D with IT’s C[h]omp. 11/e mint:
    13 = 24 – 59mod24
    my 26 yen 52 O 65 my 104 UN 208
    no. 260 Mayan = 20*(24-59mod24)

    “When themeUSick’s O V-E R: turnout the lights

    spec. e/11 friend don’t e/11 the end” — The Doors

    22.1392315068494 = (1.61803398874989^MOD(47+71,24)+1/MOD(59,24))^(2.71828182845905/MOD(59,24)+1/MOD(47+71,24))
    22.1392314983835 = Jupiter-Earth-Venus Period = Monstrous Solar Hale Period
    0.000000038239 = % error

    – —

    4 Shade O Wing

    ‘s’mmm’ilk with Eur. 84 cook-keys?

    73’s the low west PR i’m e con grew went to 1 mooD-EU’11-O 24.
    Borg sees ami’s t[h]reat ate for C-even too.

  17. Paul Vaughan says:

    Baby de Vries Monster

    Recall from previous discussion left vague:
    8744 / 104 ~= 84

    Now win “near-miss” moonshine exploring the nature of monstrous construction:

    207.659420219965 = 4*84*0.618033988749895
    208 = 2*104
    207.829710109982 = average

    207.830099970798 = 1.61803398874989^(1.61803398874989^5) = φ^(φ^5)
    -0.000187586310 = % error

    11 = 1.61803398874989^5 – 0.618033988749895^5
    φ^5 – Φ^5 = 59mod24 = ⌊φ^5⌉ = ⌊1/Φ^5⌉
    104 = ⌊103.999977946281⌉ = ⌊e^√37π – ⌊(e^√37π)^(1/2)⌉^2⌉
    37 = 84 – 47
    13 = 84 – 71 = 24 – 59mod24 = 37mod24

    4371.59015329451 = 13*φ*φ^(φ^5) = 26*φ^(φ^5+1)/2
    = 13*1.61803398874989*1.61803398874989^(1.61803398874989^5)

    Dimension of the Baby Monster
    4371 = 47*31*3
    4371 = 8744/2 – 1

    “B is one of the 26 sporadic groups and has the second highest order of these, with the highest order being that of the monster group. The double cover of the baby monster is the centralizer of an element of order 2 in the monster group.”

    UNo. there’stop on the power ski mystery. IT led 22a plan of sharp penning insight. We’V-E(MOW)V-E-D past early placeholders. Tail-end of English class link’s not amiss story: soon weave powers 2 review 5482096 Mayan Hearts.

    Homework D-lights work kin from home:
    Monster dimensions CRiseTa11√(Φ-φ)22-D today are simple and easy to D-√(Φ-φ)gest.

  18. Paul Vaughan says:

    J-LoV-E ABe/11 D-mention22sov-aHa!e-lΦva Moon Stir UN Very Yen-D

    √(Φ-φ) spy (59-12)*59*(59+12).

    Bo11 D-luke clue dawn jour CRews “see” Hale USin’ monde star ruse truck sure of Jupiter-Earth-Venus 2 measure e & φ:

    Unit e

    2.71828182806173 = MOD(59,24)*LOG(22.1392314983838,1.61803398874989^MOD(71+47,24)+1/MOD(59,24))-1/2
    2.71828182845905 = e

    2.71828182806173 = 11*LOG(22.1392314983835,1.61803398874989^22+1/11)-1/2
    2.71828182845905 = e

    -0.000000014616 = % error

    IT[22]AI”vert”too[11]go phi|gur|e:
    22.1392314983838 = 1/(2/11.8626151546089-5/1.00001743371442+3/0.615197263396975)

    φ no. 11/e

    1.61803398865377 = (22.1392314983838^(1/(2.71828182845905/MOD(59,24)+1/MOD(71+47,24)))-1/MOD(59,24))^(1/MOD(71+47,24))
    1.61803398874989 = φ

    1.61803398865377 = (22.1392314983838^(1/(2.71828182845905/11+1/22))-1/11)^(1/22)
    1.61803398874989 = φ

    -0.000000005941 = % error

    EM ER♠ecA: wei cope [♠K]now.

  19. oldbrew says:

    A lot to consider in this thesis:
    Astronomical Forcing of Sub-Milankovitch Climate Oscillations during the Late Quaternary (267 pages).
    [Wordpress can’t display the pdf so here’s the link within quotes:
    “https://espace.library.uq.edu.au/data/UQ_719238/s4153592_final_thesis.pdf”]

    Abstract (short quote):
    Supported by multiple lines of evidence, the results of this thesis suggest that the Sun and Moon act together through gravitation and insolation to produce millennial-, centennial-and decadal- scale climate signals through tidal forcing of Earth’s atmosphere and ocean. Key mechanisms and components are precession, perihelion, perigee, lunation, and nutation (wobble of Earth’s axis).

    Example (from main thesis):
    The modern peaks in gravitational force occur at closest approaches of the Earth to Sun at the times of Metonic lunations (1878, 1893, 1973, 2011) and can be clearly seen in Figure 5.9., along with a projected peak in 2106AD. The perihelion distance starts to plateau at the end of the Maunder Minimum and the start of the Industrial Revolution [Figure 5.9].
    – – –
    Also – the caption to Fig. 5.10 reads:
    Gravitational variation due to Earth-Sun relationship, based on Metonic lunation data. Measurements of variation in gravitational force due to changed Earth-Sun distances are shown. A 133-yr cycle in gravitational force can be seen here. Negative values on the x-axis are BC. [bold added]

    133 tropical years = 7 Metonic cycles

  20. oldbrew says:

    Sun clock?

    NEW ‘SUN CLOCK’ REVEALS THAT SOLAR ACTIVITY TURNS OFF AND ON WITH SURPRISING PRECISION
    Clock paints picture of a more orderly, predictable Sun
    JUN 10, 2020

    https://news.ucar.edu/132738/new-sun-clock-reveals-solar-activity-turns-and-surprising-precision

  21. oldbrew says:

    JUNE 16, 2020
    Scientists find clues to solar variability in observations of other stars

    The research team’s initial findings indicate that variations in total solar irradiance since 1750 average 4.5 watts per square meter, or W m-² (a standard measure used by climate scientists to measure the extent of solar heating of Earth’s atmosphere).

    The authors cautioned that this number will likely decline substantially with future observations because, statistically, the longer a variability is measured, the less its average changes over time in most cases.

    https://phys.org/news/2020-06-scientists-clues-solar-variability-stars.html

  22. oldbrew says:

    BoM: The Bureau’s ENSO Outlook is currently INACTIVE. However, if further cooling is observed in coming weeks, and any additional models suggest La Niña development, the ENSO Outlook will be raised to La Niña WATCH.

    Issued 9 June 2020
    http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/index.shtml

    *further* cooling

  23. oldbrew says:

    Stonehenge: Neolithic monument found near sacred site
    7 hours ago

    Archaeologists believe the find marks “a new chapter” in Stonehenge’s story

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-wiltshire-53132567

  24. Paul Vaughan says:

    …and the meek shall inherit the earthRush

    May God bless every Chinese woman, child, and peaceful man UNrightly left-facing monster US hatred.

  25. Joe Lalonde says:

    Just emailed a NASA scientist on changing the direction of an asteroid by using our planets own orbital velocity of our planet to generate torque to counter the emense speed and energy of an object. This can be sling shot out to deflect the object.
    Any type of explosive, even nuclear does not work in space as there is no pressure to exert off of in space.

  26. Joe Lalonde says:

    The Sun scoops our planet and rotates it into an orb shape.
    It effects our volcanic activity and tectonic plates.
    Gives us a steady and stable orbit.

  27. oldbrew says:

    Meridional flow in the Sun’s convection zone is a single cell in each hemisphere
    Science 26 Jun 2020:
    Vol. 368, Issue 6498, pp. 1469-1472
    DOI: 10.1126/science.aaz7119
    https://science.sciencemag.org/content/368/6498/1469.full

    JUNE 25, 2020
    Motions in the sun reveal inner workings of sunspot cycle
    by Max Planck Society

    The overall picture is that the plasma goes around in one gigantic loop in each hemisphere. Remarkably, the time taken for the plasma to complete the loop is approximately 22 years—and this provides the physical explanation for the sun’s eleven-year cycle.Furthermore, sunspots emerge closer to the equator as the solar cycle progresses, as is seen in the butterfly diagram. “All in all, our study supports the basic idea that the equatorward drift of the locations where sunspots emerge is due to the underlying meridional flows,” says Dr. Robert Cameron of MPS.

    https://phys.org/news/2020-06-motions-sun-reveal-sunspot.html

  28. R J Salvador says:

    If the massive Sahara dust cloud can stop hurricanes, does it make a global temperature difference this year?

    https://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-forecasts/huge-saharan-dust-cloud-knocking-on-americas-door/765367

  29. oldbrew says:

    On Behalf Of Environmentalists, I Apologize For The Climate Scare
    Michael Shellenberger
    Jun 28, 2020

    On behalf of environmentalists everywhere, I would like to formally apologize for the climate scare we created over the last 30 years. Climate change is happening. It’s just not the end of the world. It’s not even our most serious environmental problem.

    I may seem like a strange person to be saying all of this. I have been a climate activist for 20 years and an environmentalist for 30.

    But as an energy expert asked by Congress to provide objective expert testimony, and invited by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) to serve as Expert Reviewer of its next Assessment Report, I feel an obligation to apologize for how badly we environmentalists have misled the public.

    https://www.forbes.com/sites/michaelshellenberger/2020/06/28/on-behalf-of-environmentalists-i-apologize-for-the-climate-scare/
    – – –
    What’s the catch? Having a book to sell, perhaps.

  30. Paul Vaughan says:

    R J : Welcome back.

  31. oldbrew says:

    Swansea tidal energy: Hopes of backing for Dragon Island plan
    41 minutes ago

    Supporters have said the new scheme would not require the same level of taxpayer investment as the long-running Tidal Lagoon Powers £1.3bn plans project rejected by the UK government as being too expensive back in 2018.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-53224180

  32. oldbrew says:

    J.D. Power Rates Tesla Electric Vehicles As Lowest Quality Auto Brand In 2020 Study
    June 29th, 2020

    J.D. Power released a new Initial Quality Study report on June 24th, 2020, in which Tesla is profiled for the first time. Tesla receives an initial quality score of “250 PP100” (Problems Per 100), which means that for 100 new owners, a total of 250 problems were reported within the first 90 days of ownership.

    https://cleantechnica.com/2020/06/29/j-d-power-rates-tesla-electric-vehicles-as-lowest-quality-auto-brand-in-2020-study/
    – – –
    These cars are not cheap to buy.

  33. oldbrew says:

    Comet Neowise…

    The comet will be less than 20 degrees from the Sun from 11 June 2020 until 9 July 2020. Closest approach to Earth will occur 23 July 2020 at a distance of 0.69 AU (103 million km; 270 LD).
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/C/2020_F3_(NEOWISE)

  34. oldbrew says:

    Tesla battery cooling system is subject of federal safety probe
    JULY 2, 2020 — Los Angeles Times

    Federal safety officials are probing allegations of defective cooling systems installed in early-model Tesla vehicles.

    Tesla installed cooling tubes prone to leaks in Model S vehicles beginning in 2012, according to internal emails cited by Business Insider last week. The Times reviewed copies of the emails and other documentation that show the tubes were installed from 2012 until 2016, at which time Tesla cut off a supplier and began manufacturing the tubes in house.

    The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, in a statement to The Times, said it is “well aware of the reports regarding this issue and will take action if appropriate based upon the facts and data.” The agency also reminded auto manufacturers that they are required “to notify the agency within five days of when the manufacturer becomes aware of a safety related defect and conduct a recall.” Tesla appears to never have issued such notification.

    Tesla did not respond to requests for comment.

    https://techxplore.com/news/2020-07-tesla-battery-cooling-subject-federal.html

  35. Patrick Geryl says:

    Our paper about the start of Solar Cycle 25 has just been published in Astrophysics and Space Science:
    https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10509-020-03800-x
    More can be found on the website of Jan Alvestad:
    http://www.solen.info/solar/

    Press release
    When did Solar Cycle 25 start?
    Patrick Geryl and Jan Alvestad developed a new theory (A Formula For the Start of a New Sunspot Cycle) to calculate the start of a new sunspot cycle: the paper will be published in Astrophysics and Space Science. Determining the start of a solar cycle is one of the most followed questions in astrophysics because it may be important to professionals like astronauts, astrophysicists, engineers responsible for protecting the power grid, etcetera.
    The latest NASA prediction panel considers April 2020 as likely to become the starting month of the new cycle. The authors disagree and point to October 2019 as a central point to calculate the start. Why? Since 1947 a radio telescope in Canada has been measuring solar flux. The authors found something peculiar: in most of the previous 6 cycle transitions, the lowest daily solar flux values were near 64. The new solar cycle started a few months before or after these clusters of minimum values. In October 2019 there was another cluster of measurements below 66. A preliminary conclusion was that Cycle 25 was going to start between August 2019 and January 2020.
    Co-author Jan Alvestad has a widely followed website Solar Terrestrial Activity Report and maintains high resolution sunspot counts based on images from the SDO NASA spacecraft. If you look (indirectly) at the Sun with telescopes, most days will be spotless near solar minimum, and those spots that can be observed are small and usually disappear quickly. However, there are plenty of tiny spots in high resolution images. For instance when other observers using traditional resolution telescopes see 1 sunspot at minimum, Jan Alvestad observes and documents 4-6 times more at the highest image resolution. This gives a new perspective on the 300 year old method of counting sunspots.
    Meanwhile the authors found more markers (under review) and their latest calculations point to November-December 2019, and especially December 2019 as the likely start of Solar Cycle 25.
    Shortly after the authors found that Solar Cycle 25 started in November or December 2019, they discovered something that at first seemed hard to believe. Using 365 days smoothing, 4 out of 5 of the data series available all had the solar minimum on the same day. The NOAA sunspot number, solar flux at 1 AU as well as both the STAR 1K and 2K high resolution sunspot numbers all had their lowest value on November 17, 2019. They sent a paper on this discovery for peer review knowing it would not be published before the official announcement of the start of Solar Cycle 25. Anyway, co-author Jan Alvestad added this important information to the STAR web site in June 2020. The pre-print was published on ResearchGate as the last in a trilogy of papers that could change how we determine when a new solar cycle begins.

    Contact information
    Patrick Geryl
    Email: Patrick.geryl @skynet.be
    Tel: 0032489633931 No affiliation
    DOI: 10.1007/s10509-020-03800-x
    For high resolution sunspot calculations
    Jan Alvestad
    Jan @solen.info

  36. Paul Vaughan says:

    It will be decades before the start date can be measured.

  37. Chaeremon says:

    If a shaft bearing breaks, nothing can stop the flywheel mass for the next 5-10 miles. Such a thing was built and tested in Germany for enabling the initial eTrains energy pulse (few seconds, fraction of gigawatts); but the project was abandoned due to the 5-10 miles radius hazard.
    https://www.theguardian.com/business/2020/jul/06/giant-flywheel-project-in-scotland-could-prevent-uk-blackouts-energy

  38. oldbrew says:

    More desperation from climate cultists…

    Tiny Little Shrimp Could Spark Huge Energy Storage Breakthrough
    July 8th, 2020 by Tina Casey

    “Sulfuric acid solutions, the electrolyte used in current VRBs, can only hold a certain number of vanadium ions before they become oversaturated, and they only allow the battery to work effectively in a small temperature window,” said the Energy Department.

    “The low energy densities and small operating temperature window, along with high capital cost, make it difficult for the current VRBs to meet the performance and economic requirements for broad market penetration,” the Energy Department summed it up.

    https://cleantechnica.com/2020/07/08/tiny-little-shrimp-could-spark-huge-energy-storage-breakthrough/

    Dream on.
    [VRBs = vanadium redox flow batteries]

  39. oldbrew says:

    The Hidden Magnetic Universe Begins to Come Into View

    Astronomers are discovering that magnetic fields permeate much of the cosmos. If these fields date back to the Big Bang, they could solve a major cosmological mystery.
    . . .
    The question is: Where did these enormous magnetic fields come from?

    https://www.quantamagazine.org/the-hidden-magnetic-universe-begins-to-come-into-view-20200702/
    – – –
    Yes, but when will astronomers grasp that there’s no magnetism without electricity?

    ‘Magnetism is defined as the physical phenomenon produced by moving electric charge.’
    https://www.thoughtco.com/introduction-electricity-and-magnetism-4172372

  40. Paul Vaughan says:

    If you plot the time derivative of this spatial gradient (this is review from years ago), what do you suppose it looks like?

  41. Paul Vaughan says:

    By now perhaps no. 1 has bundled 96 cycles in the monstrous moonshine.
    Quick review (of C[ENSO]Rship) from 4 years ago:

  42. oldbrew says:

    08 JULY 2020
    Removal of atmospheric CO2 by rock weathering holds promise for mitigating climate change

    Large-scale removal of carbon dioxide from the atmosphere might be achieved through enhanced rock weathering. It now seems that this approach is as promising as other strategies, in terms of cost and CO2-removal potential.

    https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-020-01965-7

    Don’t mention the cost, somewhere in 3 figures of billions 😆

    as promising as other strategies — as UNpromising or, as stupid.

  43. Paul Vaughan says:

    A Cue Sing Rain

    US mull IT tory PR op peg and dare write rep lied: “DOn’t worry ABout IT.”
    Check the eye con UK date: https://tallbloke.wordpress.com/suggestions-37/#comment-145499

    “Opportunistic […] prepared to roll with nature’s waves.”
    https://tallbloke.wordpress.com/suggestions-15/#comment-110146

    Lady Gaga:
    Just Dance”
    =
    Red one: ware R my keys??
    all the peep hole start to rush
    start to rush buy (“roses have thorns” they say)
    What’s go anon on the F!(11oo)R?
    I can’t remember bot IT’s AI?right …a11!right
    Clean IT: spend the last DOI got IT — .in eur. РOC KO
    =

    =
    Military, health, & economic strategists recognizing the differintegral geometry won’t initially be able to model downstream (domino) effects originating at interfaces with persistent circulatory shifts (e.g. agriculture, aviation). They’ll have to do contingency planning, aiming to maintain advantage by harmonizing with shifting natural opportunity. The bottom line for contingency planning: In a really abrupt shift, flexibility could give a brutally decisive advantage to an underdog competitor.
    =
    https://tallbloke.wordpress.com/suggestions-16/#comment-110609

    “(…on my blueprint IT’s SIM phone UK)” — Lady G

  44. oldbrew says:

    Overlapping Magnetic Activity Cycles and the Sunspot Number: Forecasting Sunspot Cycle 25
    Amplitude

    Click to access 2006.15263.pdf

    ‘in stark contrast to the community consensus estimate’ – indeed.

  45. oldbrew says:

    World Economic Forum: The Institution Behind ‘The Great Reset’

    Sustainable Development, aka Technocracy, is racing to the finish line as the world is forced into a ‘Great Reset’ by the global elite. This is the culmination of the Trilateral Commission’s original New International Economic Order from 1974. COVID-19 is the main driver now.
    ⁃ TN Editor
    . . .
    The group now plan to use ‘The Great Reset‘ as their theme for the 2021 annual meeting in Davos as a vehicle for advancing the 4IR agenda. 4IR is marketed as a technological revolution, where advancement in all the sciences ‘will leave no aspect of global society untouched.’

    https://www.technocracy.news/world-economic-forum-the-institution-behind-the-great-reset/

    [The Fourth Industrial Revolution (4IR) narrative was developed out of the World Economic Forum back in 2016 – TN]

  46. oldbrew says:

    10 Jul 2020
    Austrian and German researchers to develop solar rooftops for highways

    Research institutions in Austria and Germany have launched a joint project aiming to develop a solar rooftop facility for highways, called “PV-SÜD”. The Austrian Institute of Technology (AIT) has teamed up with Fraunhofer ISE and the company Forster Industrietechnik to develop and build a prototype to find out whether such PV units are practical and can work with existing maintenance management, such as snow removal. AIT said that rooftop facilities have the potential to not just generate electricity, but to also protect the road and prolong its lifetime, or even help with noise protection.

    https://www.cleanenergywire.org/news/austrian-and-german-researchers-develop-solar-rooftops-highways
    – – –
    Can’t be worse than solar roadways — can it?

  47. Paul Vaughan says:

    96 Bundles: Crew-D Compromise

    4IR’s ill-advise D-icon.
    Bore US get Scott in D-illusion.

    https://tallbloke.wordpress.com/2016/06/30/rj-salvador-predicting-el-nino-predicts-the-climate/#comment-118185

    Top athletes are strong AND FLEXIBLE.
    West turn IT mono pole lie is monstrously BRItool.

    https://tallbloke.wordpress.com/2020/07/11/a-wetter-world-as-solar-grand-minimum-deepens/comment-page-1/#comment-159462

    By Duke aid dull reason ants, so lore tour US try yell we’ve:
    “IT’sun-ice day too, star: tag UN.” – BI

    Framm 20 11 flash back to what?
    Free man’s 11 ice con way try angles strait for rum cup tune polar more gins.

    Guess-D Post:

    Magnum[brr]PI, remember TC’s LOD prime mod 11?
    Find UN Hawaii. Hell WHO’11 lie cop chore.

    With monstrous parameters (TH sea sharp pen sick lick cool call rev verse sing every 96 years) IT work seven (too 11 led 22app plan) better.

    96 ^ 3 (now that swan monster-USlink)

    Weather moonshine or plan ET, bot AI 3 precisely:
    C[ENSO]R shh apes IR cools e-miss UN reverse sing 96 cue bud generate sun.

    Free doom sew SIM pill e/11 on red IT:
    We’re AI here to observe nature, in clue-D UN human nature.

  48. oldbrew says:

    SJTU team proposes new dual-fuel combustion mode: intelligent charge compression ignition (ICCI); high efficiency, low NOx
    13 July 2020

    A team at Shanghai Jiao Tong University (SJTU) is proposing a new combustion mode—intelligent charge compression ignition (ICCI)—for ultra-high efficiency and low emissions simultaneously. A paper on ICCI is published in the journal Fuel.

    ICCI aims to realize flexible and controllable in-cylinder charge stratification fed by two complementary fuels: gasoline and diesel. To enable this dual-fuel combustion mode, the team utilized two common-rail direct-injection systems independently on a modified single-cylinder engine, each injection system being controlled by its own on-limits electronic control unit, respectively.

    https://www.greencarcongress.com/2020/07/20200713-icci.html

    https://bioage.typepad.com/.a/6a00d8341c4fbe53ef0263ec27a191200c-500wi
    [diagram of set-up]

  49. oldbrew says:

    New hybrid locomotives arrive on the Snowdon Mountain Railway
    7TH JULY 2020

    These eight-tonne battery equipped trains will replace existing diesel locomotives and will be the first mountain hybrid train in the world.

    Making an average of 750 journeys a year each locomotive, the updated locomotives will reduce emissions by up to 98 per cent compared to the diesel locomotives.

    https://www.railengineer.co.uk/new-hybrid-locomotives-arrive-on-the-snowdon-mountain-railway/
    – – –
    Heavily subsidised by one of the big banks – see link.

  50. oldbrew says:

    Weather-dependent renewables…

    15 Jul 2020
    Particulate matter in atmosphere impacts on Europe’s solar power generation – researchers

    Aerosols blown in from the Sahara Desert across the Mediterranean Sea or caused by forest fires in Europe contribute to cloud formation and thus impact on solar panels’ output, meaning that a better monitoring of particulate matter movements could also help improve projections of solar power generation, and therefore the necessary power grid management, the researchers say.

    https://www.cleanenergywire.org/news/particulate-matter-atmosphere-impacts-europes-solar-power-generation-researchers

  51. oldbrew says:

    2020 / July / 16
    New Study Shows CO2 Changes Lag Decadal-Scale Warming By ~1000 Years In The Northern Hemisphere

    Li and Born (2019) document 8-16°C climate warmings (Dansgaard-Oeschger events) in Greenland that extended to both hemispheres between about 80 and 20 thousand years ago. (Though global in scope, temperature changes were less pronounced outside Greenland.)

    These abrupt warmings occurred within decades (or less). It has been suggested the warm-ups may have required no external forcing, as they’re considered an “unforced oscillation”.

    https://notrickszone.com/2020/07/16/new-study-shows-co2-changes-lag-decadal-scale-warming-by-1000-years-in-the-northern-hemisphere/

  52. oldbrew says:

    Still scratching around for ‘grid-scale energy storage’ – a fool’s errand.

    JULY 17, 2020

    Researchers create a roadmap to better multivalent batteries
    https://techxplore.com/news/2020-07-roadmap-multivalent-batteries.html

  53. oldbrew says:

    MAY 14, 2020
    TRAPPIST-1 planetary orbits not misaligned

    “The data suggest alignment of the stellar spin with the planetary orbital axes, but the precision of the measurements was not good enough to completely rule out a small spin-orbit misalignment. Nonetheless, this is the first detection of the effect with Earth-like planets and more work will better characterize this remarkable exoplanet system.”

    https://phys.org/news/2020-05-trappist-planetary-orbits-misaligned.html

  54. oldbrew says:

    A ‘regime shift’ is happening in the Arctic Ocean, Stanford scientists say

    Stanford scientists find the growth of phytoplankton in the Arctic Ocean has increased 57 percent over just two decades, enhancing its ability to soak up carbon dioxide. While once linked to melting sea ice, the increase is now propelled by rising concentrations of tiny algae. [bold added]

    https://news.stanford.edu/2020/07/09/regime-shift-happening-arctic-ocean/

    That won’t ring the alarmist bell.

  55. Paul Vaughan says:

    HOW vs. WHO ….and why

    Noticed today in the talkshop sidebar a link to a Vukcevic article. Hadn’t heard from him in many years, so I looked at the article. Surprise. It was from 2011 and I had been absent (on another project at the time). Reviewing the discussion noted missing attention to Sidorenkov’s counsel about the DISTRIBUTION OF WATER OVER THE EARTH’S SURFACE — accounts for 27.03 day average coupling to lunar draconic. Too much thinking about effect of moon on earth — not enough recognition that moving water on earth affects moon. The relationship isn’t 1-to-1 in time because OF SPACE and SPIN. Truly and precisely monstrous: Start with 96^3. Calculate long-run central limits precisely, including aggregate bundle around 96. Left (minus loon UN marry a 10 shh UN to spin UN D-tail) in the dark: All of the ingredients have been given. The only thing not given is the step-by-step (…that’s intuitive and easy to figure out).

    Solar Cycle Deceleration (SCD) accounting needs to be acknowledged both left and right. The delay is pure evil.

  56. oldbrew says:

    Burger King joins the climate tricksters…

    Burger King made its eco-friendly Whopper by changing cows’ diets to cut methane
    USA TODAY
    Published Jul 14, 2020

    Burger King’s new menu item aims to tackle the environmental impact of beef.

    https://eu.usatoday.com/story/money/2020/07/14/burger-kings-eco-friendly-whopper-created-changing-cows-diets/5437595002/

  57. oldbrew says:

    Hubble Delivers Incredible New Image of Saturn
    Jul 23, 2020

    http://www.sci-news.com/astronomy/hubble-image-saturn-08672.html

    Hubble captured this image of Saturn and its rings on July 4, 2020. Two of Saturn’s icy moons are clearly visible in this image: Mimas (right) and Enceladus (bottom). Image credit: NASA / ESA [click on image to enlarge]

  58. oldbrew says:

    The Moons of Uranus Are Fascinating Enough On Their Own That We Should Send a Flagship Mission Out There
    JULY 26, 2020

    A single mission to the system, with the intent of orbiting, would exponentially increase our understanding of one of the least studied planetary bodies in the solar system.

    https://www.universetoday.com/147191/the-moons-of-uranus-are-fascinating-enough-on-their-own-that-we-should-send-a-flagship-mission-out-there/
    – – –
    Resonant moons of Uranus
    https://tallbloke.wordpress.com/2018/04/07/why-phi-resonant-moons-of-uranus/

  59. oldbrew says:

    Fri 24 Jul 2020 | 23.26 GMT
    Mount Hekla shows signs of high magma pressure

    Measurements made near stratovolcano Hekla indicate a build-up of magma pressure that has become considerably greater than when the volcano last erupted in 1991 and 2000.

    The Institute of Earth Sciences at the University of Iceland, which performed the measurements, warns that eruptions in Hekla usually happen suddenly and that hikers in the vicinity of the volcano might be in danger in case of volcanic activity.

    https://icelandmonitor.mbl.is/news/news/2020/07/24/mount_hekla_shows_signs_of_high_magma_pressure/

  60. Chaeremon says:

    No more back radiation from poisonous gas molecules in their cold atmosphere that have to heat the surface: two independent model calculations (every engineer knows the basics), published by EIKE,

    https://www.eike-klima-energie.eu/2020/07/27/umgebungsgleichung-stefan-boltzmann-gesetz-ungerechtfertigte-kritik-an-ulrich-o-weber-strahlungsgleichgewicht-mittelwertbildung/

  61. oldbrew says:

    JULY 27, 2020
    Researchers offer unprecedented look into ‘central engine’ powering a solar flare

    The new findings, based on EOVSA’s observations of the event at microwave wavelengths, offer the first measurements characterizing the magnetic fields and particles at the heart of the explosion. The results have revealed an enormous electric current “sheet” stretching more than 40,000 kilometers through the core flaring region where opposing magnetic field lines approach each other, break and reconnect, generating the intense energy powering the flare.

    https://phys.org/news/2020-07-unprecedented-central-powering-solar-flare.html
    – – –
    *an enormous electric current “sheet” * – hence the magnetism.

  62. oldbrew says:

    Another plunge into ‘snowball earth’ theory…

    JULY 28, 2020
    A plunge in incoming sunlight may have triggered ‘Snowball Earths’
    by Jennifer Chu, Massachusetts Institute of Technology

    Global ice ages on Earth are temporary in nature, due to the planet’s carbon cycle. When the planet is not covered in ice, levels of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere are somewhat controlled by the weathering of rocks and minerals. When the planet is covered in ice, weathering is vastly reduced, so that carbon dioxide builds up in the atmosphere, creating a greenhouse effect that eventually thaws the planet out of its ice age.

    Scientists generally agree that the formation of Snowball Earths has something to do with the balance between incoming sunlight, the ice-albedo feedback, and the global carbon cycle.

    https://phys.org/news/2020-07-plunge-incoming-sunlight-triggered-snowball.html
    – – –
    Putting the cart before the horse, as usual.

    When the planet is covered in ice, weathering is vastly reduced, so that carbon dioxide builds up in the atmosphere,

    How is carbon dioxide supposed to ‘build up’ when the planet is covered in ice? This is nonsense.

  63. Aequitas says:

    Another grouping of barycenter animations and the maker describes his work as pedantic. Fundamental to many issues discussed hereon this site however, in particular the sun’s movement.
    https://www.sciencealert.com/mesmerising-animations-show-our-entire-solar-system-doesn-t-exactly-orbit-the-sun



  64. oldbrew says:

    JULY 29, 2020
    Alaskan seismometers record the northern lights
    – by Seismological Society of America

    Researchers have known for a while that seismometers are sensitive to magnetic fluctuations—and have worked hard to find ways to shield their instruments against magnetic influence or to remove these unwanted signals from their seismic data. But the aurora study offers an example of how seismometers could be paired with other instruments to study these fluctuations.

    “It can be hard to be definitive that these seismometer recordings are originating from the same influence as what’s going on 120 kilometers up in the sky,” Tape said. “It helps to have a simultaneous view of the sky, to given you more confidence about what you’re seeing from the signals at ground level.”
    . . .
    The researchers noted in their paper that the link between the aurora borealis and magnetic perturbations was first discovered in Sweden in 1741, and that a seismometer in Germany detected an atmosphere-generated magnetic event for the first time during a strong solar storm in 1994.

    https://phys.org/news/2020-07-alaskan-seismometers-northern.html

  65. oldbrew says:

    Creating a five-year window into future climate
    Author: Grahame Madge

    Thu 9 Jul 2020

    Providing annually-updated five-year climate predictions at global and continental scales is the focus of a new international science collaboration co-ordinated by the WMO and led by the UK’s Met Office.

    For the first time, climate scientists have joined forces and resources to produce an annually-updated climate snapshot looking at the next five years. Harnessing the best computer models from ten climate centres around the world, every year will produce a new climate prediction looking out to five years ahead.

    https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/about-us/press-office/news/weather-and-climate/2020/increased-capability-creates-five-year-window-into-the-future

  66. oldbrew says:

    Global cooling 13,000 years ago that triggered the extinction of the mammoths was caused by ancient volcanic eruptions and NOT meteor impacts, study shows
    31 July 2020

    Previous theory claimed the Younger Dryas was triggered by a meteorite impact
    New research looked at geosignatures found in ancient rock sediment
    Revealed it is more likely the cooling 13,000 years ago was due to prolonged volcanic activity

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-8581101/Global-cooling-13-000-years-ago-caused-ancient-volcanic-eruptions.html

  67. oldmanK says:

    oldbrew says: August 1, 2020 at 1:33 pm
    “Global cooling 13,000 years ago that triggered the extinction of the mammoths was caused by ancient volcanic eruptions and NOT meteor impacts, study shows”.

    See this http://users.neo.registeredsite.com/6/9/1/18560196/assets/NCGTJV7N3.pdf at LetterThoughts on the K-T event, N. Christian Smoot pg 145

    But volcanoes have been blowing off since. It is the cause for their triggering – along with other events- that is the more important.

    What are the signatures in the “geochemical analysis that span from circa 20,000 to 6,000 years ago” ?

  68. oldbrew says:

    Trump Recovers Taxpayer Cash On Bankrupt Obama-Backed Solar Plant

    The Department of Energy reached a settlement Thursday to recover $200 million in taxpayer funds from a loan the Obama administration distributed in 2011 to finance a $1 billion solar power plant that was deemed obsolete before it could officially go online.

    The settlement between DOE and Tonopah Solar Energy must now be approved by a bankruptcy court, the Las Vegas Review-Journal reported.
    . . .
    The plant experienced an outage in 2016, forcing a shutdown lasting from October 2016 to July 2017, the Wall Street Journal Editorial Board reported in January. Another outage occurred in April 2019 and is ongoing.

    Both problems were a result of issues with the facility’s hot salt tanks, The WSJ Editorial Board noted.

    https://climatechangedispatch.com/trump-recovers-taxpayer-cash-on-bankrupt-obama-backed-solar-plant/
    – – –
    Experimenting with a billion dollars? Surely a pilot project should have come first.

  69. oldbrew says:

    Giant Cloud Reappears above Martian Volcano
    Jul 31, 2020

    Named the Arsia Mons Elongated Cloud (AMEC), the cloud can reach up to 1,800 km (1,118 miles) in length.

    It is made up of water ice, but despite appearances it is not a plume linked to volcanic activity.

    Instead, the curious stream forms as airflow is influenced by the volcano’s ‘leeward’ slope — the side that does not face the wind.

    “We have been investigating this intriguing phenomenon and were expecting to see such a cloud form around now,” said Jorge Hernandez-Bernal, a Ph.D. candidate at the University of the Basque Country.

    “This elongated cloud forms every Martian year during this season around the southern solstice, and repeats for 80 days or even more, following a rapid daily cycle.”

    “However, we don’t know yet if the clouds are always quite this impressive.”

    http://www.sci-news.com/space/arsia-mons-elongated-cloud-08697.html
    – – –
    A foehn wind effect?

    Foehn, German Föhn, warm and dry, gusty wind that periodically descends the leeward slopes of nearly all mountains and mountain ranges. The name was first applied to a wind of this kind that occurs in the Alps, where the phenomenon was first studied.

    A foehn results from the ascent of moist air up the windward slopes; as this air climbs, it expands and cools until it becomes saturated with water vapour, after which it cools more slowly because its moisture is condensing as rain or snow, releasing latent heat. By the time it reaches the peaks and stops climbing, the air is quite dry. The ridges of the mountains are usually obscured by a bank of clouds known as a foehn wall, which marks the upper limit of precipitation on the windward slopes. As the air makes its leeward descent, it is compressed and warms rapidly all the way downslope because there is little water left to evaporate and absorb heat

    https://www.britannica.com/science/foehn

  70. A C Osborn says:

    Has Roger’s Twtter account followers been banned, what has happened to all the interesting comments?

  71. oldbrew says:

    ACO – Tallbloke is on vacation.
    – – –

    AUGUST 11, 2020
    Mystery solved: Bright areas on Ceres come from salty water below
    by Gretchen McCartney, Jet Propulsion Laboratory

    On Ceres’ surface, salts bearing water quickly dehydrate, within hundreds of years. But Dawn’s measurements show they still have water, so the fluids must have reached the surface very recently. This is evidence both for the presence of liquid below the region of Occator Crater and ongoing transfer of material from the deep interior to the surface.

    https://phys.org/news/2020-08-mystery-bright-areas-ceres-salty.html

  72. oldbrew says:

    Unique Structure ‘Wooden Version Of Stonehenge’ – Identified In The Perdigões Complex, Portugal
    AncientPages.com | August 6, 2020

    Perdigões is a 16-hectare site with many concentric ditched enclosures built and inhabited for about 1,500 years, between 3400 and 2000 B.C. It lies in a natural amphitheater, open to the East, with entrances aligned to the rising sun at summer and winter solstices.

    https://www.ancientpages.com/2020/08/06/unique-structure-wooden-version-of-stonehenge-identified-in-the-perdigoes-complex-portugal/

  73. oldbrew says:

    Solar panels are starting to die. What will we do with the megatons of toxic trash?
    Aug 13, 2020

    “We need to face the fact that solar panels do fail over time, and there’s a lot of them out there,” he said. “And what do we do when they start to fail? It’s not right throwing that responsibility on the consumer, and that’s where we’re at right now.”

    https://grist.org/energy/solar-panels-are-starting-to-die-what-will-we-do-with-the-megatons-of-toxic-trash/

  74. oldbrew says:

    Wikipedia: ‘assuming Betelgeuse occupying the place of the Sun, its photosphere might extend beyond the Jovian orbit, not quite reaching Saturn at 9.5 AU’
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Betelgeuse

    AUGUST 13, 2020
    Hubble finds that Betelgeuse’s mysterious dimming is due to a traumatic outburst

    “All stars are losing material to the interstellar medium, and we don’t know how this material is lost. Is it a smooth wind blowing all the time? Or does it come in fits and starts? Perhaps with an event such as we discovered on Betelgeuse? We know that other hotter luminous stars lose material and it quickly turns to dust making the star appear much fainter. But in over a century-and-a-half, this has not happened to Betelgeuse. It’s very unique.”
    . . .
    At 725 light years away, light—and dimming—seen from Betelgeuse today on Earth left the star in the year 1300. “No one knows how a star behaves in the weeks before it explodes, and there were some ominous predictions that Betelgeuse was ready to become a supernova. Chances are, however, that it will not explode during our lifetime, but who knows?”

    https://phys.org/news/2020-08-hubble-betelgeuse-mysterious-dimming-due.html


    This four-panel graphic illustrates how the southern region of the rapidly evolving, bright red supergiant star Betelgeuse may have suddenly become fainter for several months during late 2019 and early 2020. In the first two panels, as seen in ultraviolet light with the Hubble Space Telescope, a bright, hot blob of plasma is ejected from the emergence of a huge convection cell on the star’s surface. In panel three, the outflowing expelled gas rapidly expands outward. It cools to form an enormous cloud of obscuring dust grains. The final panel reveals the huge dust cloud blocking the light (as seen from Earth) from a quarter of the star’s surface. Credit: NASA, ESA, and E. Wheatley (STScI)

  75. oldbrew says:

    The controversy over the retracted Zharkova paper rumbles on…
    https://wattsupwiththat.com/2020/08/13/more-solar-cyclomania/

    Update – new paper:
    Solar Activity, Solar Irradiance and Earth’s Temperature
    Date: 17/08/20 Professor Valentina Zharkova

    Last week I published a new paper, using the real ephemeris of the daily Earth-Sun distances, confirming that the results reported in our paper Zharkova et al, 2019 are correct after all.

    https://www.thegwpf.com/solar-activity-solar-irradiance-and-earths-temperature/
    – – –
    Also: Modern Grand Solar Minimum will lead to terrestrial cooling (2020)
    Valentina Zharkova

    In this editorial I will demonstrate with newly discovered solar activity proxy-magnetic field that the Sun has entered into the modern Grand Solar Minimum (2020–2053) that will lead to a significant reduction of solar magnetic field and activity like during Maunder minimum leading to noticeable reduction of terrestrial temperature.

    https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/pdf/10.1080/23328940.2020.1796243?needAccess=true&

  76. oldbrew says:

    Bioluminescent plankton light up Cork beach

    The area is well known for bioluminescent seas.
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-53814226

  77. oldbrew says:

    The sun may have started its life with a binary companion
    by Amy Oliver, Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics

    “The sun’s long-lost companion could now be anywhere in the Milky Way.”

    https://phys.org/news/2020-08-sun-life-binary-companion.html

  78. oldbrew says:

    17 AUGUST 2020 NEWS
    Hitachi to revive Wylfa Newydd nuclear power plant plans

    Japanese technology company Hitachi has reportedly entered talks with the UK Government to revive plans for the Wylfa Newydd nuclear power plant in north Wales after they stalled last year.

    The Financial Times reported that Hitachi’s UK subsidiary Horizon Nuclear Power is currently holding talks with the government. It aims to convince ministers that the nuclear power plant could be remobilised if a new financing model is offered for large nuclear power stations in the country.

    https://www.power-technology.com/news/hitachi-revive-wylfa-newydd-nuclear-power-plant-plans-wales-wylfa-newydd/

  79. Apropos something else:
    https://www.climatedepot.com/2020/08/10/large-increase-in-number-of-sunshine-hours-likely-behind-warming-glacier-retreat-in-alps-since-1980

    Wasn’t this the point I wrote about in your blog about CET temperatures vs bright sunshine 1930 to 2010 ?

    I have often wondered why my claim that a plot of delta temp vs delta bright sunshine didn’t get refuted. It is such an easy plot. The pattern is clear. There is a background rise in temperature but the rest is cloud cover and AMO/PDO cycles in the additive portions of their cycles.

  80. oldbrew says:

    What happened to diamond batteries from nuclear waste?

    Diamond battery FAQs: https://www.bristol.ac.uk/media-library/sites/cabot-institute-2018/documents/Diamond_battery_FAQs_Nov_2016.pdf
    – – –
    AUGUST 21, 2020
    Scientists develop an economical atomic battery with power increased by 10 times
    https://techxplore.com/news/2020-08-scientists-economical-atomic-battery-power.html

  81. oldbrew says:

    This kills the claim that nothing can escape from a black hole…

    AUGUST 21, 2020
    Spinning black hole powers jet by magnetic flux

    Black holes are at the center of almost all galaxies that have been studied so far. They have an unimaginably large mass and therefore attract matter, gas and even light. But they can also emit matter in the form of plasma jets—a kind of plasma beam that is ejected from the center of the galaxy with tremendous energy. A plasma jet can extend several hundred thousand light years far into space.

    https://phys.org/news/2020-08-black-hole-powers-jet-magnetic.html

  82. oldbrew says:

    ‘Cosmic dance’ = galactic resonance?

    AUGUST 25, 2020
    Galactic bar paradox resolved in cosmic dance
    by Royal Astronomical Society

    Analyzing state-of-the-art galaxy formation simulations of the Milky Way, they show that both the bar’s size and its rotational speed fluctuate rapidly in time, causing the bar to appear up to twice as long and rotate 20 percent faster at certain times.

    The bar pulsations result from its regular encounters with the Galactic spiral arms, in what can be described as a “cosmic dance.” As the bar and spiral arm approach each other, their mutual attraction due to gravity makes the bar slow down and the spiral speed up. Once connected, the two structures move as one and the bar appears much longer and slower than it actually is. As the dancers split apart, the bar speeds up while the spiral slows back down.
    . . .
    Recent observations have confirmed that the inner Milky Way spiral arm is currently connected to the bar, which happens about once every 80 million years according to the simulations.

    https://phys.org/news/2020-08-galactic-bar-paradox-cosmic.html

  83. oldbrew says:

    More ‘runaway greenhouse’ fantasy. The effect of massive atmospheric pressure eludes these full-time theorists for some reason – what could that reason be? 😎

    AUGUST 24, 2020
    Did Jupiter push Venus into a runaway greenhouse?
    by Andy Tomaswick, Universe Today

    https://phys.org/news/2020-08-jupiter-venus-runaway-greenhouse.html
    – – –
    What would they expect the surface temperature of Earth to be, if it was under 92 bar pressure like Venus?

  84. oldbrew says:

    Tony Abbott appointed to top UK trade job, with mission to drum up international deals
    Aug 26, 2020

    Former prime minister Tony Abbott has been picked to be Britain’s joint president of the Board of Trade.

    Mr Abbott, who led Australia from 2013 to 2015 and is a strong Brexit supporter, will be given responsibility for sealing trade deals for UK companies around the world, the Telegraph reports.
    . . .
    Last year Mr Abbott said Britain should not worry about a no-deal exit from the European Union.

    “Let me reassure anyone in Britain, anxious about the prospect of no deal, that Australia does one hundred billion dollars’ (*) worth of trade with the EU every single year, on this very basis,” he said.

    https://www.9news.com.au/national/brexit-tony-abbott-appointed-uk-president-board-of-trade-international-deals/7a56473d-b123-4753-a600-fb7621aaab06

    (*) 1 Australian Dollar = 0.55 Pound Sterling

  85. https://tallbloke.wordpress.com/suggestions-43/#comment-160540

    Re galactic bar/spiral arm cosmic dance.

    So: arm rotates around center mass faster than bar. Spiral slows bar, but speeds up and moves closer to galactic centre mass as bar more massive than arm. Bar “stretched” by gravitational attraction of arm. Spiral passes bar, spiral slowed by gravitational attraction of spiral, right? Bar collapses due to unopposed internal gravitational forces. Conservation of angular momentum causes bar rotation to increase. Distance to spiral arm centre mass to bar centre mass increases. Spiral arm moving too fast for stable orbital distance, arm radius of orbit increases and speed decreases.

    Is that the bottom line?

    No tidal force equivalent to lock bar and spiral together eventually?

  86. oldbrew says:

    Staff say sexism, racism and abuse ‘systemic’ in UN-led climate fund
    Thursday, 27 Aug 2020

    LONDON, Aug 27 — Seventeen employees of the world’s largest global climate fund, based in South Korea, have complained of sexism, racism and harassment within the troubled United Nations-led project.

    The current and former Green Climate Fund (GCF) workers said they also suffered or witnessed instances of inappropriate relationships and abuse of power in the workplace in the last three years, the Financial Times reported yesterday.
    . . .
    The fund has previously faced discord over its decision making processes and choices of projects to fund, and has seen turnovers in management.

    https://news.trust.org/item/20200826160357-dmo05/

  87. oldbrew says:

    Evidence for a Shift of Europa’s Icy Crust
    AUGUST 27, 2020

    A hypothesis about an astronomical object snaps into sharper detail when it can be tested. Thus the new findings on Europa and the movements of the ice shell that covers its ocean, which are the subject of a paper in Geophysical Research Letters. The work of Paul Schenk (Lunar and Planetary Institute, Houston) and colleagues, the paper argues that the shell has rotated by about 70 degrees during the last several million years. Clearly, such movement can only happen with a shell floating freely over a liquid ocean beneath, and Europa Clipper should be able to tell us more. [bold added]

    https://www.centauri-dreams.org/2020/08/27/evidence-for-a-shift-of-europas-icy-crust/

  88. Power, money, unearned prestige, management accountable only to political bosses, a culture of self-righteousness that covers up “mistakes” for the good of the “higher cause”: what could possibly go wrong?

  89. oldbrew says:

    UK: August Bank Holiday weather could be coldest on record
    4 hours ago

    Many have woken to rain and, although sun is on its way, there is a catch. For some areas, it may be the coldest August bank holiday on record with the lowest maximum temperatures reached.

    https://www.yourweather.co.uk/news/forecasts/august-bank-holiday-weather-could-be-coldest-on-record.html

  90. oldbrew says:

    ‘Hubble constant’ refuses to be constant?

    This Is The Most Exciting Crisis in Cosmology
    29 AUGUST 2020

    For as long as there has been a Universe, space has been expanding. It winked into existence roughly 13.8 billion years ago, and has been puffing up ever since, like a giant cosmic balloon.
    . . .
    We have several highly precise methods for determining the Hubble constant… and these methods keep returning different results for an unknown reason.

    https://www.sciencealert.com/we-can-t-figure-out-how-fast-the-universe-is-expanding-here-s-why
    – – –
    these methods keep returning different results — on the same day? Probably not.

  91. oldbrew says:

    AUGUST 28, 2020
    Japan’s ‘flying car’ gets off ground, with a person aboard (Video)

    https://techxplore.com/news/2020-08-japan-car-ground-person-aboard.html
    – – –
    Microlight probably a lot cheaper?

  92. pochas94 says:

    I know we’re all tired of hydrogen, but:

    The Nikola One, which is designed for long-haul good transport across a large landmass, will, according to its creators, be able to travel between 800 and 1,200 miles on a single tank of fuel, while delivering over 1,000 horsepower and 2,000 foot-pounds of torque.

    If these claims are true, it will provide nearly double the power of the current generation of diesel-powered semis/articulated lorries.

    It runs on a fully electric drivetrain powered by high-density lithium batteries, which are charged on the go by a hydrogen fuel cell. Of course, its horizons are currently limited by a severe lack of hydrogen fuelling stations, so Nikola—which, like Tesla, is named for the Serbian-American scientist and inventor Nikola Tesla—will also be constructing a network of 364 hydrogen fuelling stations “across the US and Canada,” starting in 2018.

    Nikola Corp, Hdq Phoenix Az, NASDAQ NKLA

    https://arstechnica.com/cars/2016/12/nikola-hydrogen-fuel-cell-truck/?itm_source=parsely-api

  93. oldbrew says:

    Mission to study space weather moves into formulation

    NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center
    Posted on September 11, 2020

    NASA will begin formulation of a new mission to study Earth’s dynamic interface to space: the upper atmosphere. This is a region that is constantly changing, influenced by Earth’s weather percolating up from below and space weather — in the form of solar energy and space plasma — streaming in from above. This new mission will provide the first systematic study of this region in our atmospheric backyard, providing the data needed to assess, and ultimately forecast, the phenomena that course through Earth’s upper atmosphere.

    The new mission, called the Geospace Dynamics Constellation, or GDC, answers a call laid out in the most recent solar and space physics decadal survey for a mission to study how Earth’s atmosphere absorbs and responds to energy inputs.

    Read more: https://blogs.nasa.gov/sunspot/2020/09/11/mission-to-study-space-weather-moves-into-formulation/

  94. oldbrew says:

    URANIAN MOONS ARE LIKE DWARF PLANETS
    — SEPTEMBER 15, 2020

    The moons of Uranus exhibit heat signatures similar to dwarf planets in the Kuiper Belt — where the moons were likely born.
    . . .
    But according to [one expert], the large, 98-degree obliquity of Uranus poses “a significant complication for the Uranian moon system. If that was driven by a catastrophic event (one leading theory), then that event would also have disrupted the primordial system of moons, with consequences that might be evident in the properties of their surfaces.”

    https://skyandtelescope.org/astronomy-news/uranian-moons-are-like-dwarf-planets/
    – – –
    So the moons appear to be contradicting the impact theory of the Uranus tilt. Impact theories generally tend to be of the ‘in the absence of a better idea’ variety.

  95. oldbrew says:

    Frankie goes to Cantre’r Gwaelod

    Storm Francis, or Frankie, has exposed parts of a petrified Welsh forest that has been submerged for around 4500 years, it is alleged.

    https://www.sis-group.org.uk/news/frankie-goes-cantren-gwaelod.htm

  96. oldbrew says:

    Lithium find in Cornwall spurs hopes of regeneration
    Thu 17 Sep 2020

    Discovery of high-grade metal used for electric car batteries ‘could be enough to meet total future UK demand’

    https://www.theguardian.com/business/2020/sep/17/significant-lithium-find-spurs-hopes-of-cornwall-regeneration
    – – –
    Cornwall lithium deposits ‘globally significant’
    Published 23 hours ago

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-cornwall-54188071

  97. oldbrew says:

    Coronavirus: Only one in 10 to be protected from COVID-19 in first year of vaccine use

    Analysis of global manufacturing capacity shows just two billion doses could be made in 2021 despite being given the green light.
    . . .
    But with seven of the nine prototype vaccines in late-stage clinical trials requiring two doses, that’s likely to be enough to immunise only a little over 12% of the 7.8 billion people who need it.

    Sunday 20 September 2020

    https://news.sky.com/story/coronavirus-only-one-in-10-to-be-protected-from-covid-19-in-first-year-of-vaccine-use-12072473

  98. oldbrew says:

    Baffled scientists…

    A Strange, Glowing Ultraviolet Aurora Has Just Been Detected Around a Comet
    21 SEPTEMBER 2020

    Never, until now, had an aurora been detected on a comet.

    But, in a new analysis of data collected by the Rosetta spacecraft, the space around Comet 67P Churyumov-Gerasimenko (67P/C-G) has been observed glowing with far-ultraviolet auroral radiation.

    “I’ve been studying the Earth’s auroras for five decades,” said physicist Jim Burch of the Southwest Research Institute.

    “Finding auroras around 67P, which lacks a magnetic field, is surprising and fascinating.”

    Auroras are generated by the excitation of charged particles in an atmosphere.

    https://www.sciencealert.com/a-very-surprising-ultraviolet-aurora-has-been-detected-at-a-comet

  99. oldbrew says:

    Update to this 2016 blog post: Rare ‘fairy circles’ discovered in Western Australia
    https://tallbloke.wordpress.com/2016/03/15/rare-fairy-circles-discovered-in-western-australia/

    SEPTEMBER 22, 2020
    Ecologists confirm Alan Turing’s theory for Australian fairy circles
    by University of Göttingen

    The systematic and detailed fieldwork enabled, for the first time in such an ecosystem, a comprehensive test of the ‘Turing pattern’ theory. Turing’s concept was that in certain systems, due to random disturbances and a ‘reaction-diffusion’ mechanism, interaction between just two diffusible substances was enough to allow strongly patterned structures to spontaneously emerge. Physicists have used this model to explain the striking skin patterns in zebrafish or leopards for instance. Earlier modeling had suggested this theory might apply to these intriguing vegetation patterns and now there is robust data from multiple scales which confirms that Alan Turing’s model applies to Australian fairy circles.

    https://phys.org/news/2020-09-ecologists-alan-turing-theory-australian.html

  100. oldbrew says:

    SEPTEMBER 22, 2020 REPORT
    Did the aurora borealis play a role in sinking the Titanic?

    Independent weather researcher Mila Zinkova is raising the question of whether the aurora borealis played a role in the events that led to the sinking of the Titanic. In her paper published in the journal Weather, Zinkova suggests it is possible that the aurora borealis interfered with navigational systems, making it difficult for the crew of the Titanic to avoid crashing into an iceberg, which led to the ship sinking and the deaths of over 1,500 people.

    https://phys.org/news/2020-09-aurora-borealis-role-titanic.html

  101. oldbrew says:

    SEPTEMBER 24, 2020
    Stanford researchers identify ‘landfalling droughts’ that originate over ocean

    Researchers have identified a new type of “landfalling drought” that originates over the ocean before traveling onto land, and which can cause larger, drier conditions than other droughts.

    https://news.stanford.edu/2020/09/24/newly-identified-landfalling-droughts-start-ocean/

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