Please post ideas for new threads, tips on relevant and interesting threads elsewhere, and notes about pretty much anything you like here.

The scissors will be wielded to commercial spam, lewd suggestions, and anything else I don’t like. 😎

  1. oldbrew says:

    Link back to Suggestions 43

    [for viewing only please]

    = = =

  2. oldbrew says:

    Discussing ‘The Great Salinity Anomaly’…

    As reported by Today, the Beaufort Gyre now holds as much freshwater as all of the Great Lakes combined, and its continuing clockwise swirl is preventing this enormous volume of ice and cold-freshwater from flushing into the North Atlantic Ocean. Scientists say the gyre will inevitably weaken and reverse direction, and when it does it could expel a massive amount of icy fresh water into the North Atlantic.

    Summary at 4 mins…

  3. oldbrew says:

    SEPTEMBER 30, 2020

    Housing prices decline within mile of solar energy arrays
    by Todd McLeish, University of Rhode Island

    A study of the impact of utility scale solar power installations on nearby housing prices by University of Rhode Island economists found that house prices within a mile of a Rhode Island or Massachusetts solar array declined by an average of 1.7%. Homes within a tenth of a mile of the installations declined by 7%.

  4. oldbrew says:

    Be careful what you wish for 😆

    Cambridge academics face flying restrictions as university goes carbon neutral
    October 01 2020
    – – –
    Carbophobia strikes back

  5. oldbrew says:

    Problems in climate science from the viewpoint of an historical geologist.
    Dr Howard Thomas Brady
    ACDE Seminar -October 6th, 2020

    The climate system is vast with the interaction of forces we do not fully understand. Linking recent and future global warming to increasing carbon dioxide levels is problematic. Historical data exposes serious flaws in the IPCC reports with respect to, for example: the predictions of future sea levels; the relationship between carbon dioxide levels and temperature; the frequency and severity of storms. Applying the word ‘unprecedented’ to certain events shows an ignorance of the Earth’s geological and environmental history. Climate change cannot be assumed to be geocentric without influence from cosmic and solar weather. Climate models are on steroids with respect to their estimate of what is called the Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity Index; that is, the estimate of future temperatures if carbon dioxide levels double. We cannot forget this statement:- ‘we are dealing with a coupled chaotic nonlinear system and therefore the prediction of future climate states is not possible..’ IPCC Report 2001 (

    Link to paper

    H/T Jo Nova
    Banned by ANU! So join Geologist Howard Brady on Zoom Tuesday 2pm*

    (*Local time in Oz)

  6. oldbrew says:

    Galactic beat frequencies detected?

    OCTOBER 6, 2020 REPORT
    Quasi-periodic oscillation detected in the galaxy NGC 4945

    As noted by in the study, the light curve from RXTE observations in the 2–10 keV band shows a prominent LFQPO with a period of approximately six weeks. The newly detected oscillations are also seen near this period in other three sub-bands.

    The astronomers noted that possible explanations for the observed QPO in NGC 4945, as well as in other active galaxies, include Keplerian orbital motion of matter in the disk, spin of the central compact object, general relativistic effects, or beat frequencies between two of the previous mechanisms. They added that the available data does not allow to choose the most plausible hypothesis. [bold added]

  7. Paul Vaughan says:

    Left Fields High Fenway Spark

    Te[a]ch no. CR at IC “a11y” curry US what IT‘s cal.led:

    West stern “governance” CANCELLED my west turn govern ants.

    Sci11UNs! Psy(go vert non C[ENSO]Rshh)ops.

  8. oldbrew says:

    OCTOBER 9, 2020

    Climate patterns linked in Amazon, North and South America, study shows
    by Bob Whitby, University of Arkansas

    Tree growth is a well-established climate proxy. By comparing growth rings in Cedrela odorata trees found in the Rio Paru watershed of the eastern Amazon River with hundreds of similar chronologies in North and South America, scientists have shown an inverse relationship in tree growth, and therefore precipitation patterns, between the areas. Drought in the Amazon is correlated with wetness in the southwestern United States, Mexico and Patagonia, and vice versa.

    The process is driven by the El Niño phenomenon, which influences surface-level winds along the equator, researchers said.
    [inc. short video]

  9. oldbrew says:

    Cosmic ray neutron count has been mostly positive (above the zero % line) since 2005.

  10. oldbrew says:

    11th October
    COP26: Theresa May asked to take helm of Glasgow’s 2021 climate summit

    BORIS Johnson has asked Theresa May to take charge of the COP26 climate summit planned for Glasgow in 2021.

    May has not turned down the post, according to The Sunday Times, but she has been put off by the prospect of having to work closely with Dominic Cummings.

    The former prime minister has reportedly discussed climate change with Johnson because she had introduced the target for the UK to be “net zero” in carbon emissions by 2050.

  11. oldbrew says:

    UN Disasters Report Is A Huge Blunder And Embarrassment
    GWPF, Date: 12/10/20

    ‘A new United Nations report on The Human Cost of Disasters has been described as “an embarrassment” and “a catalogue of errors” after it emerged its headline claim of a “staggering rise in climate-related disasters” was refuted by its own data.’
    – – –

  12. oldbrew says:

    Projected increase in lightning strikes in the United States due to global warming

    Striking when hot, and more when hotter

    Lightning occurs more frequently when it is hotter than when it is colder, but how much more lightning should we expect as global temperatures increase? Currently there are around 25 million lightning strikes per year. Romps et al. constructed a proxy based on the energy available to make air rise in the atmosphere and on precipitation rates to model the frequency of lightning strikes across the continental United States. They predict that the number of lightning strikes will increase by about 12% for every degree of rise in global average air temperature.
    – – –
    OCTOBER 15, 2020

    We are starting to crack the mystery of how lightning and thunderstorms work

    We don’t understand lightning well. If, for example, you were to film a lightning strike and play it back in super slow motion, you’d notice that the strike proceeds in steps. It pauses for a while at intervals before moving on, says Dr. Alejandro Luque at the Institute of Astrophysics of Andalucía in Granada, Spain. But we don’t know why this happens. He says there are a few papers on this but essentially no accepted theories.
    – – –
    Locating a target on the ground?

  13. oldbrew says:

    8 October 2020
    ENSO Alert System Status: La Niña Advisory

    Synopsis: La Niña is likely to continue through the Northern Hemisphere winter 2020-21 (~85% chance) and into spring 2021 (~60% chance during February-April).

  14. oldbrew says:

    SEPTEMBER 29, 2020
    Second alignment plane of solar system discovered
    — National Astronomical Observatory of Japan

    Arika Higuchi, an assistant professor at the University of Occupational and Environmental Health in Japan and previously a member of the NAOJ RISE Project, studied the effects of the galactic gravity on long-period comets through analytical investigation of the equations governing orbital motion.

    She showed that when the galactic gravity is taken into account, the aphelia of long-period comets tend to collect around two planes. First the well-known ecliptic, but also a second “empty ecliptic.” The ecliptic is inclined with respect to the disk of the Milky Way by about 60 degrees. The empty ecliptic is also inclined by 60 degrees, but in the opposite direction. Higuchi calls this the “empty ecliptic” based on mathematical nomenclature and because initially it contains no objects, only later being populated with scattered comets. [bold added]
    – – –
    *when the galactic gravity is taken into account*

    Also: However, Higuchi cautions, “The sharp peaks are not exactly at the ecliptic or empty ecliptic planes, but near them.”

    ‘Not exactly at…but near’ — what about the Lagrange points?

    Jupiter trojans:
    The Jupiter trojans, commonly called Trojan asteroids or simply Trojans, are a large group of asteroids that share the planet Jupiter’s orbit around the Sun. Relative to Jupiter, each Trojan librates around one of Jupiter’s stable Lagrange points: either L4, lying 60° ahead of the planet in its orbit, or L5, 60° behind. Jupiter trojans are distributed in two elongated, curved regions around these Lagrangian points [bold added]

    (L3-L4-L5 triangle is also equilateral, in the diagram at least)
    = = =
    As seen from the Sun, the L4 and L5 points lie at 60 degrees ahead of and behind Earth, close to its orbit.

  15. oldbrew says:

    Too big to jail…

    UK regulators fine Goldman Sachs over Malaysian fraud after £2.2bn enforcement
    By Press Association 2020

    The Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) and Prudential Regulation Authority (PRA) fined Goldman Sachs International (GSI) £96.6 million.

    It was part of a larger co-ordinated resolution with Goldman Sachs Group over the 1Malaysia Development Berhad (1MDB), which will cost the bank 2.9 billion US dollars (£2.2 billion).
    . . .
    In July, Malaysia’s government said it had reached a 3.9 billion US dollars (£3 billion) settlement with Goldman Sachs in exchange for dropping criminal charges against the bank over bond sales that raised money for the fund.

    In court on Thursday, Goldman Sachs’ general counsel, Karen Seymour, said that agents and employees of Goldman Sachs Malaysia had violated the US Foreign Corrupt Practices Act by “corruptly promising and paying bribes to foreign officials in order to obtain and retain business for Goldman Sachs”. [bold added]
    – – –
    Mark Carney – GS
    Rishi Sunak – GS
    etc. etc.

    26 Goldman Sachs Alumni Who Run the World (GS)
    Updated Jun 25, 2019

    “The first thing you need to know about Goldman Sachs,” Rolling Stone’s Matt Taibbi wrote in July 2009, “is that it’s everywhere.” Whether that makes the bank a “vampire squid,” in Taibbi’s now-famous phrasing, is debatable, but Goldman Sachs Group Inc.’s (GS) ubiquity is hard to deny. [bold added]

  16. oldbrew says:

    A closer look at Kepler’s third law
    Posted: March 25, 2016

    So: volume variation / (circumference x area) variation = a constant (because r³ = r² x r).

    Added a link to a paper by Miles Mathis on the third law which points to a similar conclusion:

    Mathis: But to really understand the Third Law simply and intuitively, I find it best to ditch all that entirely and start over from scratch. We then get the cube straight from the volume equation.

  17. oldbrew says:

    — OCTOBER 28, 2020

    NASA’s Juno spacecraft has detected brief, powerful flashes of ultraviolet light in the upper atmosphere of Jupiter. They are believed to be the Jovian counterparts of sprites and elves on Earth — electric phenomena in the atmosphere that can sometimes be seen high above powerful lightning discharges.

  18. oldbrew says:

    Coronavirus: PM considering England lockdown next week
    Published 4 minutes ago

  19. oldbrew says:

    NASA: Halloween Blue Moon

    For the first time since 2001, the Moon will be full on Halloween (October 31). And because this is the second Full Moon in October, it’s also considered a Blue Moon. (It won’t literally be blue, though.)

    On average, the Moon is full on Halloween every 19 years, a period known as the Metonic cycle, used for centuries to construct luni-solar calendars and to calculate the date of Easter. Between 1900 and 2100, the Moon is full on Halloween (in at least one time zone) in the following years:

    1906, 1925, 1944, 1955, 1974, 1993,
    2001, 2020, 2039, 2058, 2077, 2096

    Furthermore, these are all Blue Moons. In fact, every Halloween Full Moon is also a Blue Moon. [bold added]
    – – –
    Interestingly, NASA says ‘Between 1900 and 2100’ and quotes 12 years in that period. As the Metonic cycle ‘slips’ by just over 2 hours every 19 years, it takes 12 of them to shift it by (more than) a whole day. However, it would take 12*19 = 228 years to do that, and 1906-2096 is only 190 years (10 Metonic). The discrepancy is partly due to 1955 following 1944, and 2001 following 1993, in the list (1955-1944 = 11, 2001-1993 = 8, 11+8 = 19). The other ‘missing’ 19 years is due to 1906 being at the end of a Metonic cycle, not the start.

  20. oldbrew says:

    Two circumbinary brown dwarfs at V470 Cam

    Twenty new eclipse times for the post-common envelope binary V470 Cam have been obtained; with these and 380 useable eclipse times in the literature, two circumbinary brown dwarfs having orbital periods of 7.87 ± 0.08 and 13.27 ± 0.16 years were found to give an excellent fit to cyclic residuals resulting from a quadratic ephemeris fit. Irrespective of the excellent fit, it would be premature to claim that the V470 Cam binary is accompanied by two orbiting brown dwarfs; at the very least more eclipse times are needed to confirm the result
    – – – data (links in report) suggest an orbit ratio of 59:35 [60:36 = 5:3].

  21. oldbrew says:

    The forcing uncertainties and lack of observational measurements in the top-to-bottom global ocean preclude an assessment that modern warmth is due to anthropogenic activities.
    By Kenneth Richard on 5. November 2020

    Key points from a new paper (Gebbie, 2021):

    • 93% of the changes to the Earth’s energy budget, manifested as warming of the Earth system, are expressed in the global ocean. Just 1% of global warming is atmospheric.

    • Even with the advent of “quasi-global” temperature sampling of the ocean since 2005 (ARGO), these floats “do not measure below 2,000-m depth.” This means that temperature changes in “approximately half the ocean’s volume” are still not being measured today.

    • To detect the effects of anthropogenic forcing, it would require energy budget imbalance measurement precision of 0.1 W/m² at the top of the atmosphere (TOA). Uncertainty in the forcing changes affecting climate are ±4 W/m², meaning that uncertainty is about 80 times greater than an anthropogenic signal detection.

    • Past changes in global ocean heat content, such as the last deglaciation, have been 20 times larger than modern changes.

    • Ocean heat storage during the Medieval Warm Period (Medieval Climate Anomaly, or MCA) was much greater than modern. Modern global ocean heat uptake is “just one-third” of what is required to reach the levels attained during Medieval times.

  22. oldbrew says:

    Richard Pilger, a prosecutor at the Department of Justice (DOJ) who played a role in the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) targeting of conservative groups, resigned his post Monday evening rather than investigate potential voter fraud in the 2020 presidential election.

    Earlier Monday, U.S. Attorney General William Barr issued a memo directing prosecutors to investigate potential voter fraud. He said that prosecutors should not, however, focus on “specious, speculative, fanciful or far-fetched claims.”
    . . .
    “Having familiarized myself with the new policy and its ramifications,” he wrote, “I must regretfully resign from my role as director of the Election Crimes Branch.”
    – – –
    But he somehow moved sideways to another job, dodging the pressure.

    The heat is on.

  23. Ken Gregory says:

    I submit the proposed guest article for your consideration titled “Climate Sensitivity Considering Urban and Natural Warming” in Word and PDF formats for your website. The article summarizes the longer paper linked at the beginning of the article.

  24. oldbrew says:


    Studying the JET STREAM has long been an indicator of the weather to come, and to study the jet stream attention must turn to the SUN.

    When solar activity is HIGH, the jet stream is tight and stable and follows somewhat of a straight path. But when solar activity is LOW, that meandering band of air flowing 6 miles above our heads becomes weak and wavy, it effectively buckles which diverts frigid Polar air to atypically low latitudes and replaces it with warmer tropical air.

    The jet stream reverts from a Zonal Flow to a Meridional Flow and, depending on which side of the jet stream you’re on, you’re either in for a spell of unseasonably cold or hot weather and/or a period of unusually dry or wet conditions.

    This forcing FULLY explains why some far-northern latitudes (such as parts of Siberia) have been experiencing pockets of anomalous heat of late, while the lower-latitudes have been dealing with “blobs” of record cold.

    It’s a phenomenon long-predicted by those studying the Sun, and one forecast to intensify as the Grand Solar Minimum continues its deepening.

  25. oldbrew says:

    Ambitious but controversial: Japan’s new hydrogen project
    2 Nov. 2020

    The Hydrogen Energy Supply Chain is an experiment to see whether Japan can establish a durable supply of liquid hydrogen from Australia, to be burned to generate electricity.

    The hydrogen will be produced and liquefied in the Australian state of Victoria, where it will be extracted from a type of coal known as lignite.
    – – –
    Not green then, unless they add expensive ‘carbon capture’ that nobody seems to want to pay for.

  26. oldbrew says:

    Planets with many neighbors may be the best places to look for life

    Single exoplanets with wild orbits hint at a chaotic past
    Nov. 16, 2020

    Systems with as many planets as ours are exceedingly rare, though. Only one known system comes close: the TRAPPIST-1 system, with seven roughly Earth-sized worlds (SN: 2/22/17). Astronomers have found no solar systems so far, other than ours, with eight or more planets. Extrapolating out to the number of stars expected to have planets in the galaxy, Jørgensen estimates that about 1 percent of planetary systems have as many planets as we do.

  27. oldbrew says:

    Why Worry about Warming? Cold Is the Killer
    by Viv Forbes – November 16, 2020

    After today’s bountiful warmth comes the cold, dry, hungry phase of Earth’s climate.

    Fruitful warmth is no threat. Bitter cold is the real menace.

  28. oldbrew says:

    Meet the hell planet with a magma ocean and rocky rain
    November 11, 2020

    Exoplanet K2-141b is fiery hot world that circles so close to its star that one side of the planet features a deep ocean of molten lava. Meanwhile, the other side is freezing cold.
    – – –
    In a new study announced on November 3, 2020, an international team of researchers described a planet unlike any in our solar system.
    . . .
    On November 3, scientists at McGill University, York University and the Indian Institute of Science Education announced that one such planet under study – called K2-141b – is even more exotic. It’s a world that is scorching hot on one side and freezing on the other, with a magma ocean about 62 miles (100 km) deep, “rain” composed of rock that evaporates and then precipitates in a regular cycle similar to the water cycle on Earth, and supersonic winds over 3,100 miles per hour (5,000 km/hr). Wild! The findings are based on data from from NASA’s Kepler Space Telescope and Spitzer Space Telescope.
    [bold added]
    – – –
    Remarkably, the vaporised atmosphere mimics Earth’s – only with rocks instead of water.

    The extreme heat leads to them undergoing precipitation – as if they were particles of water.

    Just like the water cycle on Earth where it evaporates, rises into the atmosphere, condenses, and falls back as rain, so too does the sodium, silicon monoxide and silicon dioxide on K2-141b.

  29. oldbrew says:

    Scary video of man dodging falling concrete block here…see ‘A car was destroyed when an concrete slab fell on it from a Vladivostok tower block’.

    Vladivostok snowstorm: Emergency declared amid chaos and power cuts
    BBC — 15 hours ago

    The chief of the regional meteorological service, Boris Kubay, said the situation has been “aggravated by a strong gale wind that breaks everything”.

    He said a clash between two storms, one carrying hot air and another carrying cold, caused freezing rain on Thursday.

    The meteorologist said wires and trees were encrusted in ice up to 1.2cm (0.4in) thick, an occurrence not seen in 30 years.

  30. oldbrew says:


    Dutch journalist gatecrashes EU defence video conference
    Published 5 hours ago

  31. oldbrew says:

    UK to make climate risk reports mandatory for large companies
    Mon 9 Nov 2020

    Rishi Sunak says disclosures will be mandatory within five years as part of net-zero plans

    The Treasury said the new disclosure rules and regulations would cover a significant portion of the economy, including listed commercial companies, UK-registered large private companies, banks, building societies, insurance companies, UK-authorised asset managers, life insurers, pension schemes regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority and occupational pension schemes.
    – – –
    Cue another outpouring of corporate mumbo-jumbo, posing as ‘tackling climate change’ 🙄

  32. oldbrew says:

    Study: Response of climate to solar forcing recorded in a 6000-year d18O time-series of Chinese peat cellulose (1999)

    There is an obvious warm period represented by the high d18O from around ad 1100 to 1200 which may correspond to the Medieval Warm Epoch of Europe (Lamb, 1966). At that time, the northern boundary of the cultivation of citrus tree (Citrus reticulata Blanco) and Boehmeria nivea (a perennial herb), both subtropical and thermophilous plants, moved gradually into the northern part of China, and it has been estimated that the annual mean temperature was 0.9–1.0°C higher than at present (Zhang, 1994).‘ [bold added]

    – – –
    From the Abstract:
    The record shows a striking correspondence of climate events to nearly all of the apparent solar activity changes characterized by the atmospheric radiocarbon in tree-rings over the past 6000 years.

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