Please post ideas for new threads, tips on relevant and interesting threads elsewhere, and notes about pretty much anything you like here.

The scissors will be wielded to commercial spam, lewd suggestions, and anything else I don’t like. 😎

  1. oldbrew says:

    Link back to Suggestions 45

    [for viewing only please]

    = = =

  2. oldbrew says:

    MARCH 16, 2022
    Ancient ice reveals scores of gigantic volcanic eruptions

    Ice cores drilled in Antarctica and Greenland have revealed gigantic volcanic eruptions during the last ice age. Sixty-nine of these were larger than any eruption in modern history. According to the University of Copenhagen physicists behind the research, these eruptions can teach us about our planet’s sensitivity to climate change.
    . . .
    Determining Earth’s climate sensitivity is an Achilles heel of current climate models. Svensson concludes:

    “The current IPCC models do not have a firm grasp of climate sensitivity—i.e., what the effect of a doubling of CO2 in the atmosphere will be. Vulcanism can supply us with answers as to how much temperature changes when Earths atmospheric radiation budget changes, whether due to CO2 or a blanket of sulfur particles. So, when we have estimated the effects of large volcanic eruptions on climate, we will be able to use the result to improve climate models.” [bold added]
    – – –
    But a ‘large volcanic eruption’ has nothing in common with 0.04% of the Earth’s atmosphere being CO2.

  3. oldbrew says:

    MARCH 16, 2022
    ‘Visionary’ US astrophysicist Eugene Parker dead at 94

    Eugene Parker, a pioneering American astrophysicist whose mathematical prediction that charged particles streamed from stars in a solar wind was met with disbelief before he was ultimately vindicated, has died aged 94, NASA said on Wednesday.

    Parker was hailed as a visionary who laid the groundwork for the field of heliophysics, the science of understanding the Sun and its interactions with Earth and the solar system, including space weather.

    In 2018, he became the first person to witness the launch of a spacecraft bearing his name, NASA’s Parker Solar Probe.
    . . .
    “The first reviewer on the paper said, ‘Well, I would suggest that Parker go to the library and read up on the subject before he tries to write a paper about it, because this is utter nonsense,'” Parker told UChicago News in 2018.

  4. oldbrew says:

    MARCH 17, 2022
    Cloud seeding might not be as promising as drought-troubled states hope

    As an atmospheric scientist, I have studied and written about weather modification for 50 years. Cloud seeding experiments that produce snow or rain require the right kind of clouds with enough moisture, and the right temperature and wind conditions. The percentage increases in precipitation are small, and it’s difficult to tell when snow or rain fell naturally and when it was triggered by seeding.
    . . .
    The results of about 70 years of research into the effectiveness of cloud seeding are mixed.

    Most scientific studies aimed at evaluating the effects of seeding cumulus clouds have shown little to no effect. However, the results of seeding wintertime orographic clouds—clouds that form as air rises over a mountain—have shown increases in precipitation.

  5. oldbrew says:

    Doing the rounds again…

    MARCH 18, 2022
    A solar power station in space? How it would work, and the benefits it could bring

    The UK government is reportedly considering a £16 billion proposal to build a solar power station in space.

    Yes, you read that right. Space-based solar power is one of the technologies to feature in the government’s Net Zero Innovation Portfolio. It has been identified as a potential solution, alongside others, to enable the UK to achieve net zero by 2050.

    But how would a solar power station in space work? What are the advantages and drawbacks to this technology?

    Space-based solar power involves collecting solar energy in space and transferring it to Earth. While the idea itself is not new, recent technological advances have made this prospect more achievable.

    Space-based solar power for the UK?

  6. oldbrew says:

    MARCH 21, 2022
    Quantum technology could make charging electric cars as fast as pumping gas

    While the maximum charging speed increases linearly with the number of cells in classical batteries, the study showed that quantum batteries employing global operation can achieve quadratic scaling in charging speed. To illustrate this, consider a typical electric vehicle with a battery that contains about 200 cells. Employing this quantum charging would lead to a 200 times speedup over classical batteries, which means that at home charging time would be cut from 10 hours to about 3 minutes. At high-speed charging stations, the charge time would be cut from 30 minutes to mere seconds.
    – – –
    What that might do to battery life is another matter.

  7. Stuart Brown says:

    From the article:

    “… quantum technologies are still in their infancy and there is a long way to go before these methods can be implemented in practice. Research findings such as these, however, create a promising direction and can incentivize the funding agencies and businesses to further invest in these technologies”

    So given enough cash we’ll find a way to make the energy leap from the charger into each cell of the battery, without needing a cable, by entanglement or something… Promise.

  8. oldbrew says:

    Mysterious Maunder Minimum: Nearby star offers clues
    March 24, 2022

    Any possible link between the sun’s lack of spots in the Maunder Minimum on the sun and Earth’s Little Ice Age is still being explored. On March 22, 2022, scientists announced they’ve now witnessed a nearby sunlike star that’s also apparently paused in its sunspot activity. They said they hope this star will provide insight into our sun’s Maunder Minimum, and any possible effects on Earth.

  9. oldbrew says:

    Climate Model Democracy
    Posted by Andy May March 11, 2022

    In the computer modeling world, a world I worked in for 42 years, choosing one model, that matches observations best, is normal best practice. I have not seen a good explanation for why CMIP5 and CMIP6 produce ensemble model means. It seems to be a political solution to a scientific problem. This is addressed in AR6 in Chapter 1,[1] where they refer to averaging multiple models, without considering their accuracy or mutual independence, as “model democracy.” It is unclear if they are being sarcastic.
    . . .
    Conflating natural variability with short-term noise is a mistake, as is assuming natural variability is short term. It is not clear that CMIP6 model uncertainty is properly understood. Further, using unvalidated models to “measure” natural variability, even when an attempt is made to separate out model uncertainty, assumes that the models are capturing natural variability, which is unlikely. Long-term variability in both the Sun and the oceans is explicitly ignored by the models.

  10. oldbrew says:

    Boomers In Rich Countries Cause 33 Percent Of Greenhouse Emissions

    Retired people spend more time at home than many of those with jobs. What’s the point of this paper?

  11. oldbrew says:

    Telegraph bashes EVs and supposed greencrap in general

    Electric cars have a very dirty secret
    The technological flaws of battery-powered vehicles have not gone away

    Volvo confirmed that EVs are far “dirtier” out of the factory gate, as the resource extraction for an electric drive train is so carbon-intensive.

    But few EV owners will ever clock up enough miles on what they believe to be clean energy to ever make up the difference.

    Given the typical global fuel generation mix, a typical EV driver will need to drive 92,000 miles to reach CO2 emission parity with the petrol-powered equivalent, while a driver in the EU, where the energy mix contains more nuclear and renewables, some 52,000 miles. And that’s without changing the battery once. This isn’t well known amongst pious EV owners, for whom the car is a kind of face mask on wheels.
    – – –
    Imagine the hours of tedium and delay in 92k miles worth of recharges 🥱

  12. oldbrew says:

    Latest renewable nonsense…

    England faces being carpeted with solar panels in net zero push

    The proposals –which are likely to focus heavily on the South of England, where solar radiation is higher – risk sparking a wave of public resistance and are already concerning Tory MPs.
    * * *
    They would be of little use in winter when power demand is highest, but could be handy at midday in summer if the weather’s nice 🙄

    Boris Johnson warned Kwarteng’s renewables drive would precipitate cost crisis and ‘ruin lives’
    Wednesday 30th March 2022 | Press Release

  13. oldbrew says:

    MARCH 31, 2022
    Scientists identify asymmetry in the pressure anomalies of the mid–high latitudes of the Southern Hemisphere
    by Chinese Academy of Sciences

    “Further research is needed to study the causes and seasonal variation in SAM patterns and their impacts on the Polar Front Jet and climate”

  14. oldbrew says:

    APRIL 11, 2022
    New transistor could cut 5% from world’s digital energy budget

    “We’re getting to the point where we’re going to approach the previous energy consumption of the United States just for memory (alone),” Dowben said. “And it doesn’t stop.

    “So you need something that you can shrink smaller, if possible. But above all, you need something that works differently than a silicon transistor, so that you can drop the power consumption, a lot.”

    So rather than depend on electric charge as the basis of its approach, the team turned to spin: a magnetism-related property of electrons that points up or down and can be read, like electric charge can, as a 1 or 0.
    . . .
    “Now everybody can get into the game, figuring out how to make the transistor really good and competitive and, indeed, exceed silicon.”

  15. oldbrew says:

    The People Promising Us “Net Zero” Have No Clue About The Energy Storage Problem
    March 27, 2022/ Francis Menton

    The problems of trying to provide enough storage to back up a fully wind and solar system without fossil fuels are so huge and so costly that you would think that everyone pushing the “net zero” agenda would be completely focused on these issues. And given that the issues are quite obvious, you would think that such people would be well down the curve with feasibility studies, cost studies, and demonstration projects to make their case on how their plans could be accomplished. Remarkably, that is not the case at all. Instead, if you read about the plans and proposals in various quarters for “net zero” in some short period of years, you quickly realize that the people pushing this agenda have no clue. No clue whatsoever.
    – – –
    But they will have a clue about how to blame someone else when it all crumbles.

  16. oldbrew says:

    APRIL 14, 2022
    Seafloor spreading has been slowing down
    by American Geophysical Union

    A new global analysis of the last 19 million years of seafloor spreading rates found they have been slowing down. Geologists want to know why the seafloor is getting sluggish.
    . . .
    Today, spreading rates top out around 140 millimeters per year, but peaked around 200 millimeters per year just 15 million years ago in some places, according to the new study.
    . . .
    The seafloor is destroyed in subduction zones, where oceanic crust slides under continents and sinks back into the mantle, and is reforged at seafloor spreading ridges. This cycle of creation and destruction takes about every 180 million years, the age of the oldest seafloor. The crust’s magnetic record tracks this pattern, producing identifiable strips every time the Earth’s magnetic field reverses.

  17. oldbrew says:

    Drivers face ‘speed limiter devices fitted in all new cars’ under new government plans’

    Brits could face having speed limiters fitted to all new cars under government plans to improve safety on the roads, it has been reported.

    Measures that would see lower speeds and reduce pollution by cars would also be backed by environmental groups.

    But critics have also hit out at the “big brother” idea which would mean greater control by the state on people’s lives.
    . . .
    A provisional agreement has been reached to make speed limiters mandatory for all new cars sold in Europe from July 6 2022. Even though the UK left the EU in 2020, it still follows the same regulations for new cars.

    Another rule that is implemented into UK law has made it mandatory for all new cars to be fitted with intelligent speed assistance by July 7 2024.

    Limiters use a technology called Intelligent Speed Assistant (ISA) to detect the local speed limit in the area using GPS and video data. They then eliminate the choice to go above the legal speed, or make it harder to.

  18. oldbrew says:

    APRIL 15, 2022
    Changes in vegetation shaped global temperatures over last 10,000 years

    “Expanded vegetation during the Holocene warmed the globe by as much as 1.5 degrees Fahrenheit,” Thompson said. “Our new simulations align closely with paleoclimate proxies. So this is exciting that we can point to Northern Hemisphere vegetation as one potential factor that allows us to resolve the controversial Holocene temperature conundrum.”
    – – –
    “Overall, our study emphasizes that accounting for vegetation change is critical,” Thompson said. “Projections for future climate change are more likely to produce more trustworthy predictions if they include changes in vegetation.”
    – – –
    But a warmer climate brings more vegetation? Can’t have it both ways.

  19. oldbrew says:

    Empirical observations show no sign of ‘climate crisis’
    Thursday 14th April 2022

    A systematic review of climate trends and observational data by an eminent climate scientist has found no evidence to support the claim of a climate crisis.
    – – –
    That’s too boring for today’s media.

  20. oldbrew says:

    APRIL 22, 2022
    The physics of a singing saw

    “How the singing saw sings is based on a surprising effect,” said Petur Bryde, a graduate student at SEAS and co-first author of the paper. “When you strike a flat elastic sheet, such as a sheet of metal, the entire structure vibrates. The energy is quickly lost through the boundary where it is held, resulting in a dull sound that dissipates quickly. The same result is observed if you curve it into a J-shape. But, if you bend the sheet into an S-shape, you can make it vibrate in a very small area, which produces a clear, long-lasting tone.”

    The geometry of the curved saw creates what musicians call the sweet spot and what physicists call localized vibrational modes—a confined area on the sheet which resonates without losing energy at the edges.

    Importantly, the specific geometry of the S-curve doesn’t matter. It could be an S with a big curve at the top and a small curve at the bottom or visa versa.
    . . .
    The researchers also found that they could tune the localization of the mode by changing the shape of the S-curve, which is important in applications such as sensing, where you need a resonator that is tuned to very specific frequencies.

  21. oldbrew says:

    Earth’s Albedo Puzzle – A Question Of Balance
    Tuesday 26th April 2022 | Dr David Whitehouse, Science Editor

    You only have to look at a globe of the Earth to realise what a lop-sided planet we live on, most of the land is in the Northern hemisphere (NH), most of the ocean in the Southern hemisphere (SH). Since we were able to make space-based measurements of the Earth’s reflectance – its albedo – that dichotomy has become a puzzle as for some reason, despite their differences, the Northern and Southern hemispheres reflect the same amount of sunlight to within observational uncertainties!

  22. oldbrew says:

    The role of atmospheric rivers in anomalous snow accumulation in East Antarctica
    First published: 14 August 2014

    Recent, heavy snow accumulation events over Dronning Maud Land (DML), East Antarctica, contributed significantly to the Antarctic ice sheet surface mass balance (SMB).
    . . .
    …we find that it was four and five ARs reaching the coastal DML that contributed 74–80% of the outstanding SMB during 2009 and 2011 at PE. Therefore, accounting for ARs is crucial for understanding East Antarctic SMB.
    – – –
    APRIL 15, 2022
    Study suggests Larsen A and B ice shelves collapsed due to atmospheric rivers

    By identifying and following the paths of atmospheric rivers as they arrived at Antarctica, they found that one arrived in 1995 just before the collapse of Larsen A, and another arrived in 2002 just before the collapse of Larsen B.
    – – –
    So atmospheric rivers can lead to ‘anomalous snow accumulation’ but ‘ice shelves collapsed due to atmospheric rivers’. 🤔

  23. oldbrew says:

    Mercury’s Comet-like Tail

    April 29, 2022: Planets aren’t supposed to have tails, but Mercury does. Dr. Sebastian Voltmer just photographed it from La Palma in the Canary Islands:

    “This is NOT a comet, not even a meteor, but the planet Mercury, which is currently very close to the Pleiades,” says Voltmer. “How is the tail formed? The solar wind and micro-meteorites eject sodium atoms from Mercury’s surface. This creates a yellow-orange tail of sodium gas that is around 2.5 million kilometers long.”

    Strongest effect at perihelion +/- 16 days.

  24. oldbrew says:

    Scientists want to use cosmic rays to map the Great Pyramid of Giza’s secrets

    A new effort to scan Egypt’s Great Pyramid of Giza using energetic particles from space could help scientists “see” inside the ancient structure and glean new details about its mysterious inner chambers.
    . . .
    The new muon detectors would be built inside up to eight standard shipping containers, each measuring 40 feet long, 10 feet tall and 10 feet wide, according to the researchers. The telescope system would be placed at different spots all around the base of the pyramid, gathering observations at each position for three months at a time, Bross said.

    He estimates that it would take three years to accumulate enough data to create a high-resolution map of the entire pyramid.

  25. oldbrew says:

    Germany secures four floating LNG terminals in mad rush to replace Kremlin gas
    5 May 2022

    Germany plans to have its first terminal operational in Wilhelmshaven before the year is out, allowing for the import of upwards of 5 billion cubic meters per year. The second ship, also from the Norwegian company Hoegh, will be in place by early 2023.

  26. oldbrew says:

    Perils of energy bill desperation…

    Fire breaks out in New Malden after man burns timber in living room ‘to save on energy costs’
    Monday 9 May 2022

    A fire broke out in a property in south-west London after a man burnt timber on an open fire in his living room to heat his home, London Fire Brigade has said.

    Investigators said the cause of the blaze was identified as an open fire being used instead of gas central heating, prompting the fire service to issue an urgent safety warning.

    It is understood to have also been caused by combustible items placed too close to an open fire.

    London Fire Brigade said there have been more than 100 fires involving open fires, log burners and heaters in the last few months alone.

    The brigade now fears the rise in energy bills could result in a surge of fires as people resort to alternative means to heat their homes throughout the colder spells of the year.
    . . .
    One neighbour, who declined to give her name, said: “You could not see [anything] as the smoke was so thick. It was just unbelievable.”

  27. oldbrew says:

    Climate propaganda flop at the BBC…

    BBC climate editor whose sister is an Insulate Britain fanatic made false claims on global warming including worldwide deaths are rising and Madagascar is on the verge of famine, inquiry finds

    — BBC Panorama global warming documentary made a number of false claims

    — Wild Weather, presented by climate editor Justin Rowlatt, said deaths worldwide were rising due to extreme weather caused by climate change

    — It said Madagascar was almost having the first famine caused by climate change
    – – –
    BBC climate editor found to have made ‘misleading’ claims on climate change and weather on Panorama
    Tuesday 10 May 2022

    The show sparked two complaints that were investigated by the BBC’s Editorial Complaints Unit (ECU).

    Complaints by Paul Homewood.

  28. oldbrew says:

    Making Climate Skepticism Illegal: The Regime’s Crackdown On Disinformation
    BY BRIGGS ON MAY 9, 2022

    Two new, and two successful, power grabs by the Regime were completed last week.

    The first was the start of the Disinformation Governance Board, under the Department of Homeland Security. This creates a mechanism to define official thoughtcrimes. I repeat: if official disinformation exists there necessarily must exist Official Truths (which are only coincidental with Truths), and therefore there must exist an entity in charge of creating and regulating them.

    The second grab was creation of the Office of Environmental Justice, under the Department of Justice. There is no such thing as environmental justice. But such a fiction can be defined with respect to The Science (as in “Listen to The Science!”). The Science is research provided by Experts. And Experts, you recall, are educated credentialed important individuals who align with and are supported by the Regime, directly or indirectly.

    The first thing you will have noticed is that all things must now be named for what they are not. That is the well known nature of advertising.

    The second obvious observation is that these new agencies are two aspects of the same thing: official control of information.

    The DGB will be the clearing house for Official Truths (OTs) as we discussed, and the OEJ will be (among other things) one of its police forces for certain kinds of non-political thoughtcrimes.

    Orwell was right 🙄

  29. oldbrew says:

    Climate windbag gets cold feet…

    BlackRock ditches green activism over Russia energy fears

    Fund titan says investing in traditional energy sources is now required to boost security
    11 May 2022

    BlackRock has warned it will vote against most shareholder green activism this year for being too extreme, in a significant u-turn by the world’s biggest money manager.

    The company said it was concerned about proposals to stop financing fossil fuel companies, including forcing them to decommission assets and setting absolute targets for reducing emissions in their supply chains.

    It comes as BlackRock said Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has impacted the transition to net-zero, adding that short-term investment in traditional energy sources is now required to boost security.

  30. oldbrew says:

    Frontiers in Astronomy and Space Sciences
    10 May 2022
    Jovian Planets and Lunar Nodal Cycles in the Earth’s Climate Variability

    Harald Yndestad*
    Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Aalesund, Norway

    Journal Editor: Nicola Scafetta
    – – –
    This study utilizes time-series data devised to measure solar irradiation, sea surface temperatures, and temperatures in the lower atmosphere to gain a better understanding of how gravitational effects from the moon and Jovian planets (Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, and Neptune) influence solar activity and climatic conditions on Earth. Then, standard statistical methods are used to determine the degree of correlation among these time series and construct a Jovian gravitational model. The study reveals a direct relationship between JSUN perihelion coincidences and TSI amplitude variations in cycles up to 4,450 years. The forced solar accumulation of heat in oceans introduces a new phase relation between solar forced cycles and new climate variation. Earth’s axis nutation cycles have coincidences with lunar nodal tide cycles and lunar forced sea surface temperature cycle periods up to 446 years. Earth’s temperature variation shows coincidence with constructive and destructive interference between lunar-forced and accumulated solar-forced temperature variations in oceans. Upcoming events have a computed modern temperature maximum in 2025 and a deep minimum in 2070. Interference between solar-forced temperature cycles of 333,2142, and 4,450 years and a lunar-forced temperature cycle of 445 years indicates that “The Little Ice Age” covers a total period of 820 years from 1330 to 2150 A.D. and an upcoming temporary cold climate period from 2070 to 2150.

  31. oldbrew says:

    Front. Astron. Space Sci., 14 January 2022
    Scaling, Mirror Symmetries and Musical Consonances Among the Distances of the Planets of the Solar System

    Michael J. Bank1† and Nicola Scafetta2*†

    Orbital systems are often self-organized and/or characterized by harmonic relations. Inspired by music theory, we rewrite the Geddes and King-Hele (QJRAS, 24, 10–13, 1983) equations for mirror symmetries among the distances of the planets of the Solar System in an elegant and compact form by using the 2/3rd power of the ratios of the semi-major axis lengths of two neighboring planets (eight pairs, including the belt of the asteroids). This metric suggests that the Solar System could be characterized by a scaling and mirror-like structure relative to the asteroid belt that relates together the terrestrial and Jovian planets. These relations are based on a 9/8 ratio multiplied by powers of 2, which correspond musically to the interval of the Pythagorean epogdoon (a Major Second) and its addition with one or more octaves. Extensions of the same model are discussed and found compatible also with the still hypothetical vulcanoid asteroids versus the transneptunian objects. The found relation also suggests that the planetary self-organization of our system could be generated by the 3:1 and 7:3 resonances of Jupiter, which are already known to have shaped the asteroid belt. The proposed model predicts the main Kirkwood asteroid gaps and the ratio among the planetary orbital parameters with a 99% accuracy, which is three times better than an alternative, recently proposed harmonic-resonance model for the Solar System. Furthermore, the ratios of neighboring planetary pairs correspond to four musical “consonances” having frequency ratios of 5/4 (Major Third), 4/3 (Perfect Fourth), 3/2 (Perfect Fifth) and 8/5 (Minor Sixth); the probability of obtaining this result randomly has a p < 0.001. Musical consonances are “pleasing” tones that harmoniously interrelate when sounded together, which suggests that the orbits of the planets of our Solar System could form some kind of gravitationally optimized and coordinated structure. Physical modeling indicates that energy non-conserving perturbations could drive a planetary system into a self-organized periodic state with characteristics vaguely similar of those found in our Solar System. However, our specific finding suggests that the planetary organization of our Solar System could be rather peculiar and based on more complex and unknown dynamical structures.

  32. oldbrew says:

    Iron Age arrow found on Norway mountain still has feather fletching on it
    Published 5 days ago

    “The shaft type is known from Danish weapon sacrifices found in bogs, and the arrowhead is also a well-known type from graves in southern Norway,” Pilø said, so it’s likely that this weapon dates to between A.D. 300 and 600.
    . . .
    The archaeologists hope to find more artifacts soon, as Norway’s glaciers are melting due to climate change.

    Where were the glaciers when the items were deposited?

  33. oldbrew says:

  34. oldbrew says:

    Betting on the French will not keep Britain’s lights on

    EDF’s latest Hinkley Point delay shows PM’s nuclear ambitions are divorced from reality

    21 May 2022

    After repeated setbacks, Britain’s first new plant in three decades was already scheduled to be nine years overdue and £7bn over budget having been pushed back to 2026, while estimated build costs had rocketed to £23bn.

    And now? An announcement from EDF, snuck out at 10pm on Thursday night, reveals that the project has been delayed by another year at best, and will cost a further £3bn, with Covid the excruciatingly predictable excuse being provided. It is the fourth time that EDF has had to revise the timetable and budget since construction began in October 2016.

  35. oldbrew says:

    Hydrogen — The Magical Rainbow Gas

    The energy content of liquid hydrogen is about 70% of the energy required to produce it.

    Burn it in a combined cycle gas turbine (energy efficiency 50%) and see that energy return drop to around 35%. Use it as a vehicle fuel and see energy efficiency fall even further.

  36. oldbrew says:

    Ministers launch probe into the BBC’s ‘Islingtonian Left-wing bias’ as they review the broadcaster’s compliance with ‘impartiality requirements’
    21 May 2022

    The review, held at the mid-point of the ten-year charter, is also expected to examine whether the BBC abuses its dominant market position to the detriment of commercial rivals.

    Government sources said the review would ‘assess how effectively the governance and regulation arrangements of the BBC are performing at the halfway point of the BBC charter’.

    The review is also expected to examine whether the communications regulator Ofcom is ‘holding the BBC to account’ by assessing ‘the effectiveness of the BBC’s governance mechanisms… in ensuring compliance with its editorial standards including impartiality requirements’.

    Climate will probably get a pass on impartiality as the government is CO2 obsessed, or claims to be.

  37. oldbrew says:

    Cost of electric car batteries set to soar as war disrupts supply chain

    Price rises will be the ‘greatest obstacle’ to more consumers going electric, International Energy Agency warns
    24 May 2022

    The cost of electric car batteries will surge 15pc if metal prices remain high, in a blow to millions of consumers seeking to upgrade, the International Energy Agency (IEA) has warned.

    Supply disruption caused by Russia’s war in Ukraine is adding to already surging costs of key components in electric vehicle (EV) batteries, such as nickel and cobalt, forcing manufacturers to pay more or try to find other sources.

  38. oldbrew says:

    Toxic particles from brakes to be included in ‘Euro 7’ emission rules 23 May 2022

    While a switch to electric vehicles will eliminate tailpipe emissions, it will not solve the issue of brake particle emissions. In fact, electric vehicles could see non-exhaust particulate matter emissions increase due to the extra weight of the powertrain compared to conventional vehicles.

    OTOH EVs can have regenerative braking.

  39. Chaeremon says:

    Have a look at this radiation vs. temperature discussion, including papers and surprises,

  40. oldbrew says:

    Bristol mayor flies nine hours for TED climate conference

    The UK’s first city mayor to declare a climate crisis has been questioned for flying nine hours to attend a conference to urge leaders to cut CO2.

    Bristol Mayor Marvin Rees told the TED conference in Canada that city mayors could influence carbon policy.

    Climate campaigners Flight Free UK calculated the trip created 2.016 tonnes (2,016kg) of CO2 per passenger and was at odds with his message.
    . . .
    Mr Rees gave the speech, which is available to watch online, a month before Bristol voted to abolish the position of elected mayor, the Local Democracy Reporting Service said.

  41. oldbrew says:

    MAY 20, 2022
    Scientists explain why meridional heat transport is underestimated
    by Chinese Academy of Sciences

    Changes in ocean net surface heat flux play an important role in modulating the variability of the AMOC and hence the regional and global climate. However, the spread of simulated surface heat fluxes is still large and AMOC underestimation is common, due to poorly represented dynamical processes involving multi-scale interactions within the model simulations.
    . . .
    “Further work is needed to improve model simulations of surface fluxes, and research to reduce observational flux uncertainty is also ongoing through collaboration with the University of Reading and UK Met Office.”

  42. oldbrew says:

    The Giant Gas Reserve That Could Have Eased Today’s Crisis
    Jun 01, 2022

    — Argentina is home to one of the world’s largest shale gas deposits, but a lack of investment and political will means it is still an importer of natural gas.

    — The Vaca Muerta shale play, which is Spanish for ‘Dead Cow’, is estimated to hold 16 billion barrels of oil and 308 trillion cubic feet of natural gas.

    — In recent weeks, Argentinian authorities have kick-started efforts to boost Vaca Muerta’s development, but it won’t be of any use in the current crisis.

    Argentina, home to the world’s second-largest shale gas deposit, cannot help gas-starved Europe, which is scrambling to obtain non-Russian natural gas after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. In fact, Argentina cannot even help wean itself off its energy import dependence in the short term despite the huge resources at the Vaca Muerte shale.

  43. oldbrew says:

    JUN 3, 2022
    The Green Energy Chickens Have Come Home to Roost

    This year will graphically demonstrate the malign consequences of the misguided efforts to replace cheap, reliable fossil fuel energy with unreliable, inefficient “renewable” energy like wind and solar.

    Never in history has a civilization willfully embarked on destroying its material foundations, based solely on a hypothesis rather than scientifically established fact.
    . . .
    Net-zero carbon is a dangerous fantasy that in the West puts at risk our economy and national security, and in the developing nations hinders their ability to improve their economies and quality of life.

  44. oldbrew says:

    I Rented an Electric Car for a Four-Day Road Trip. I Spent More Time Charging It Than I Did Sleeping.
    June 3, 2022

    Our writer drove from New Orleans to Chicago and back to test the feasibility of taking a road trip in an EV. She wouldn’t soon do it again.
    – – –
    JUNE 5, 2022
    EU electric car adventurers should plan carefully

    Reduced range, slow charging

    At slow speeds and in stop-start movements, most electric cars can drive for hours without difficulty and the e-C4 was no different.

    But once out on the motorway, the battery dipped quickly. Its displayed range of 250 kilometers fell to less than 100 kilometers in far less time than it would take to cover such a distance.

    Just how far the range stretches can depend on the model of vehicle and the outside temperature, meaning careful planning is needed for winter trips.

  45. oldbrew says:

    European Commission overreported climate spending by €72 billion, auditors find
    Published on 31/05/2022

    Only 13% of EU spending 2014-20 was relevant to climate action, not 20% as claimed, the European Court of Auditors said, with the biggest gap in farming policy
    – – –
    Auditors never seem to give the EU good marks.

  46. oldbrew says:

    Article – Published: 10 January 2022
    A regime shift in seasonal total Antarctic sea ice extent in the twentieth century

    In stark contrast to the Arctic, there have been statistically significant positive trends in total Antarctic sea ice extent since 1979.

  47. oldbrew says:

    How old is Gobekli Tepe?
    June 05, 2022

    The oldest radiocarbon date yet reported from Gobekli Tepe corresponds to the mortar of the wall of Enclosure D, at around 9600 BCE, to within a few hundred years. That corresponds to the end of the Younger Dryas mini ice age. That correlation might not be a coincidence.

    However, Enclosure D is so grand, so well designed and so perfect, that it cannot be the first enclosure of its type built by these people. Almost certainly, there must have been several prior stages of development, precursor or trial stages, that preceded it. Indeed, Enclosures D and C are so impressive that they led Prof. Dendrinos [1], an architect, to propose that Gobekli Tepe had been mis-dated, and that, instead, it was a 6th millennium BCE construction. That’s how impressive and anomalous GT is.

    But radiocarbon dates don’t lie (although they can be misunderstood). And the archaeological evidence, in the form of stone tools and other cultural artefacts, clearly point to an early pre-pottery origin, in accordance with the radiocarbon dates. So we can be confident in accepting the radiocarbon dates.

  48. oldbrew says:

    Siemens Gamesa Begins Testing 115-Meter-Long Wind Turbine Blades
    Published 2 hours ago

    Siemens Gamesa is ready to begin testing the world’s largest wind turbine blade, which is 115 meters long and fully recyclable.
    . . .
    Put three of them together to make a wind turbine and their diameter is 236 meters, with a total swept area of a staggering 43,500 square meters.
    – – –
    Sending those overland could be interesting 🤔

  49. oldbrew says:

    Solar and Anthropogenic Influences on Climate: Regression Analysis and Tentative Predictions
    by Frank Stefani
    Helmholtz-Zentrum Dresden-Rossendorf, Institute of Fluid Dynamics, Dresden, Germany
    Climate 2021, 9(11), 163;


    The paper aims to quantify solar and anthropogenic influences on climate change, and to make some tentative predictions for the next hundred years. By means of double regression, we evaluate linear combinations of the logarithm of the carbon dioxide concentration and the geomagnetic aa index as a proxy for solar activity. Thereby, we reproduce the sea surface temperature (HadSST) since the middle of the 19th century with an adjusted R2 value of around 87 percent for a climate sensitivity (of TCR type) in the range of 0.6 K until 1.6 K per doubling of CO2. The solution of the double regression is quite sensitive: when including data from the last decade, the simultaneous occurrence of a strong El Niño and of low aa values leads to a preponderance of solutions with relatively high climate sensitivities around 1.6 K. If these later data are excluded, the regression delivers a significantly higher weight of the aa index and, correspondingly, a lower climate sensitivity going down to 0.6 K. The plausibility of such low values is discussed in view of recent experimental and satellite-borne measurements. We argue that a further decade of data collection will be needed to allow for a reliable distinction between low and high sensitivity values. In the second part, which builds on recent ideas about a quasi-deterministic planetary synchronization of the solar dynamo, we make a first attempt to predict the aa index and the resulting temperature anomaly for various typical CO2 scenarios. Even for the highest climate sensitivities, and an unabated linear CO2 increase, we predict only a mild additional temperature rise of around 1 K until the end of the century, while for the lower values an imminent temperature drop in the near future, followed by a rather flat temperature curve, is prognosticated. [bold added]

  50. oldbrew says:

    JUNE 7, 2022
    Large ensemble simulations with a global climate system model reveal the role of internal climate variability
    by Chinese Academy of Sciences

    Since the Industrial Revolution era began, global warming, Arctic sea ice melting, and increasing sea-level rise are likely attributed to human activity, according to the IPCC AR6 report. The climate change response to external forces (including human activity) is non-linear and is affected by internal variabilities (IVs) generated mainly from internal processes in the climate or Earth system. Recently, scientists have found that IVs, such as the Pacific Decadal Oscillation or Inter-decadal Pacific Oscillation, and the Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation, will greatly impact the Walker Circulation and Global Monsoon throughout the next three decades. IVs are also important sources of uncertainties in understanding historical climate change, especially at the regional scale. Put succinctly, IVs are useful for studying climate change, developing mitigation strategies, and providing guidance for policy makers.
    – – –
    Not clear from the article what their main point is, if any. But if they’re talking about ‘internal’ climate variability they’re inevitably watering down any role of human factors. Where do they think these internal factors ultimately come from?

  51. oldbrew says:

    JUNE 16, 2022
    Martian meteorite upsets planet formation theory

    The new results suggest that Mars’ growth was completed before the solar nebula was dissipated by radiation from the Sun. But the irradiation should also have blown off the nebular atmosphere on Mars, suggesting that atmospheric krypton must have somehow been preserved, possibly trapped underground or in polar ice caps.

    “However, that would require Mars to have been cold in the immediate aftermath of its accretion,” Mukhopadhyay said. “While our study clearly points to the chondritic gases in the Martian interior, it also raises some interesting questions about the origin and composition of Mars’ early atmosphere.”

  52. oldbrew says:

    Don Scott talks Birkeland currents…

  53. oldbrew says:

    Who Knew CO2 Was Vital To Human Health? Scientists – Part One
    Posted on Tue 06/21/2022

    By Dr. Jay Lehr

  54. oldbrew says:

    JUNE 23, 2022
    Artificial photosynthesis can produce food without sunshine

    Scientists at UC Riverside and the University of Delaware have found a way to bypass the need for biological photosynthesis altogether and create food independent of sunlight by using artificial photosynthesis.

    The research, published in Nature Food, uses a two-step electrocatalytic process to convert carbon dioxide, electricity, and water into acetate, the form of the main component of vinegar. Food-producing organisms then consume acetate in the dark to grow. Combined with solar panels to generate the electricity to power the electrocatalysis, this hybrid organic-inorganic system could increase the conversion efficiency of sunlight into food, up to 18 times more efficient for some foods.

  55. oldbrew says:

    EU faces EV crisis over charger disparities

    Almost half of all EU charging points are in the Netherlands and Germany.

  56. Paul Vaughan says:


  57. Paul Vaughan says:

    “If your message doesn’t appear and you feel that it should not have been rejected, please send me an email as it might have gotten caught in the spam filter.”

    The following vanished:
    Normally I no longer post here, but there is an impasse which needs to be resolved.

    a specific, narrow request:

    Anyone who can, please point directly (e.g. citation or link) to anywhere the following calculations have been outlined by others.

    Seidelmann (1992) synodic ( 398.884 d , 378.0919 d )
    19.8589101021728 = beat(1.0920848733744,1.03515920602327)
    19.8589101021728 = beat(29.4571726091513,11.8619993833167)

    Standish (1992) anomalistic
    19.8549641949401 = beat(29.4701958106261,11.8627021700857)
    4270.51884168654 = 2/(1/11.8627021700857-3/29.4701958106261+1/84.0331316671926+1/164.793624044745) — orbital invariant

    49962.901530 = 1/(2/11.8627021700857-2/29.4701958106261-2/11.8619993833167+2/29.4571726091513)
    49962.9015303818 = beat(9.92945505108639,9.92748209747005)

    4669.6516971879 = beat(49962.9015303818,4270.51884168654)

    alternate perspective

    19.8549641949401 = 1/(1/11.8627021700857-1/29.4701958106261)
    13.8125825263028 = 1/(1/11.8627021700857-1/84.0331316671926)
    12.7828803855253 = 1/(1/11.8627021700857-1/164.793624044745)

    9.95061383963391 = 2/(3/11.8627021700857-1/29.4701958106261-1/84.0331316671926-1/164.793624044745)

    9.92945505108639 = 2/(4/11.8619993833167-4/29.4571726091513)

    combining (gravity with spatial heterogeneity)
    4669.65169718707 = 2/(-3/11.8627021700857+1/29.4701958106261+1/84.0331316671926+1/164.793624044745+4/11.8619993833167-4/29.4571726091513)

    Figure 7 C

    Click to access Bond-Pervasive_Millennial-Scale_Cycle_NAtl_Glac_Hol-Sci97.pdf

    Very specifically (to be clear: not seeking peripheral meandering, discussion, & distraction) I want to inspect all available instances where the preceding calculations have been presented by others.


    Team (weather left and right) :

    Please ask around widely. Net search-engines aren’t helping find this simple derivation which surely must be widely known and published. Please report leads. Thanks.

  58. tallbloke says:

    OB: Climate Justice demands the equitable redistribution of charging points NOW!

  59. Paul Vaughan says:

    sufficiently informative:
    JC is not approving the comment as it appears above.

  60. Paul Vaughan says:

    update – a (shortened) comment was approved:
    That should do. (simply ‘chuck weather Any1 supplyin’ links)

  61. Paul Vaughan says:

    no mystery here at all
    Mayan 36750

  62. oldbrew says:

  63. oldbrew says:

    Critical comments by Happer and Lindzen on SEC Rule
    by Andy May
    27 June 2022

    Recently, the Biden administration has tried to use the powers of the SEC to force companies to disclose information on their supposed climate-related business risks through a proposed SEC rule. Two esteemed members of the CO2 Coalition, Princeton Professor, emeritus, William Happer and MIT Professor, emeritus, Richard Lindzen have reviewed the proposed rule and filed a critical comment on the rule with the SEC. In addition, they have filed an amicus curiae court brief with the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Fifth Circuit stating that they do not believe there is a climate-related risk related to burning fossil fuels, and the resulting CO2 and other greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. This post discusses both filings made by Happer and Lindzen.
    . . .
    Models have been created to show the hypothetical human-caused changes to climate and the supposed damage these changes might cause. Unfortunately, or fortunately, perhaps, the models do not compare well to observations. Using Feynman’s rule, this invalidates the catastrophic climate change hypothesis. See here** for more on the model/observations mismatch.

    While the SEC can make rules mandating disclosure of valid risks to a business, it should not mandate disclosure of imagined risks that are not scientifically established.
    . . .
    The arbitrary SEC rule and President Biden’s Executive Order 13990 are exactly what the U.S. Constitution was designed to prevent.


  64. Paul Vaughan says:

    rare instance of concise media objectivity:

    “The analysis says there will be a disproportionate cost impact on lower-income families, single mothers and seniors, who are more vulnerable to fluctuations in energy costs and are the least likely to be able to afford alternatives like electric vehicles.”

  65. oldbrew says:

    The Supreme Court ruled on Thursday to limit the Environmental Protection Agency’s ability to strictly regulate emissions from power plants, a move that signals a major setback in the fight against the climate crisis.

    ‘Supreme Court’s EPA ruling “extremely dangerous” for climate, activists say’

    There is no such fight, except in the minds of deluded alarmists.

    Statement on the ruling by CO2 Coalition Chair William Happer: “The decision is a very welcome reaffirmation of the Constitutional rights of citizens of the United States. Untouched is the question of whether the Constitution allows Congress to make scientifically incorrect decisions by majority vote, for example: that carbon dioxide, a beneficial gas that is essential to life on Earth, is a pollutant.”

  66. oldbrew says:

    New Study Affirms Temperatures Determine Greenhouse Gas Forcing Trends, Not The Other Way Around
    By Kenneth Richard on 30. June 2022
    – – –
    Current theory has it all back to front.

  67. oldbrew says:

    JULY 1, 2022
    A new method for predicting the 11-year solar cycle strength

    “Our work confirms the high importance of an independent study of sun’s hemispheres and regular data collection for them. Also worth noting that our method can be used in real time, we can predict the cycle amplitude continuously over the development of the ascending phase of a solar cycle and update the prediction when the latest value of the growth rate is larger than the previous one. With currently available data, we predict that the lower estimate of the amplitude of the current solar cycle (no. 25) will be 110±26, which is comparable with the previous 11-year solar cycle (no. 24),” says study co-author and Skoltech’s MSc graduate Olga Sutyrina, who is currently pursuing her career as a research scientist at Schlumberger.
    – – –
    Study: Maximal growth rate of the ascending phase of a sunspot cycle for predicting its amplitude (June 2022)

    Conclusions. The maximal growth rate of sunspot activity in the ascending phase of a solar cycle serves as a reliable precursor of the subsequent cycle amplitude. Furthermore our finding provide a strong foundation for supporting regular monitoring, recording, and predictions of solar activity with hemispheric sunspot data, which capture the asymmetric behaviour of the solar activity and solar magnetic field and enhance solar cycle prediction methods.

  68. dscott8186 says:

    Berlin preps ‘huge thermos’ to help heat homes this winter

    “The 50-million-euro ($52 million) facility will have a thermal capacity of 200 Megawatts — enough to meet much of Berlin’s hot water needs during the summer and about 10% of what it requires in the winter. The vast, insulated tank can keep water hot for up to 13 hours, helping bridge short periods when there’s little wind or sun.”

    Too bad the Germans aren’t into nuclear power, imagine all the waste heat they could recover.

  69. oldbrew says:

    New Statesman in moan-aholic alarmist mode…

    1 July 2022
    Brexit and the war in Ukraine have stymied UK climate action

    It has been distracted by the ongoing fallout from Brexit and, more recently, the war in Ukraine.
    . . .
    At Madrid’s Nato summit this week, the UK announced it would provide an additional £1bn in military aid for Ukraine. Kwarteng then cheerfully tweeted that his department had helped to find the cash by “surrendering climate finance and foreign aid underspends”.

  70. oldbrew says:

    ‘New research shows two widely used computer models that predict summer melt pond formation on sea ice *greatly overestimate* their extent, a key finding as scientists work to make accurate projections about Arctic climate change.”

    Another blow for the dodgy models. ‘Accurate predictions’ are a long way off.

  71. oldbrew says:

    The Azores High controversy…

    JULY 4, 2022
    Spain, Portugal dryness ‘unprecedented’ in 1,200 years

    Parts of Portugal and Spain are the driest they have been in a thousand years due to an atmospheric high-pressure system driven by climate change, according to research published Monday, warning of severe implications for wine and olive production.
    – – –

    Expanding ‘Azores high’ driving ‘unprecedented’ changes in western Europe’s climate

    The study describes the expansion of the Azores high “unprecedented in the past 1,200 years”. However, a scientist not involved in the research tells Carbon Brief that not all the climate models used in the study support this conclusion.

  72. oldbrew says:

    Ozone hole fake news?

    Professor sounds the alarm on a ‘large’ hole in the ozone layer discovered over the tropics that could lead to increases of UV radiation over 50% of Earth’s surface – but other experts say the findings are inaccurate
    5 July 2022

    — A new study claims there is a hole in the ozone layer over the tropics
    — Professor Qing-Bin Lu, a researcher at the University of Waterloo, said it is comparable to that of the well-known springtime one over Antarctica
    — Other experts say there is no hole based on the data presented in the study
    — One expert said the study looks at percentage changes in ozone, rather than absolute changes

    Professor Martyn Chipperfield, Professor of Atmospheric Chemistry, University of Leeds, said: ‘I am surprised that this study was published at all in its current form.

    ‘The results of this work will be highly controversial and I’m not convinced they are correct. We already have a good understanding of polar ozone depletion from different, well-established chemical mechanisms which can explain the slow and variable closing of the Antarctic Ozone Hole, and this new research doesn’t persuade me otherwise.

    ‘The claim in this research of such large ozone changes in the tropics have not been apparent in other studies which makes me very suspicious.

    ‘Science should never depend on just one study and this new work needs careful verification before it can be accepted as fact.’

  73. oldbrew says:

    No point replacing one duff theory with another duff one?

    JULY 8, 2022
    Dark matter: Our review suggests it’s time to ditch it in favor of a new theory of gravity
    — The Conversation

    Mond’s main postulate is that when gravity becomes very weak, as occurs at the edge of galaxies, it starts behaving differently from Newtonian physics.
    . . .
    While we do not claim that Mond is perfect, we still think it gets the big picture correct—galaxies really do lack dark matter.

    The answer(s) may not lie in gravity at all 🤔

    galaxies really do lack dark matter – no need for Mond theory to know that.

  74. oldbrew says:


    New Study Shows 30 Years Of EU’s Failed Climate Policies Behind Energy Crisis

    While the vice president of the European Commission, Frans Timmermans, is calling for an urgent return to fossil fuels to avert civil unrest and economic upheaval, the Global Warming Policy Foundation is publishing a new report documenting how 30 years of failed climate policies have triggered Europe’s worst energy cost and security crisis since the Second World War.

    The report is the most comprehensive assessment of the European Union’s energy and climate policies from 1990 to the present day.
    . . .
    Entitled Europe’s Green Experiment: A costly failure in unilateral climate policy, the study has been prepared by Dr. John Constable, GWPF’s Director of Energy, and is available to download here (PDF).

    (PDF) —
    – – –
    Much, if not most, of all this applies to the UK too.

  75. oldbrew says:

    Tory backbenchers fear new leader could scrap net zero plans
    Monday 11 July 2022

    As energy prices grow, sympathy towards climate action wanes
    – – –
    Net zero is horribly expensive with minimal benefits, as they may have started to notice. There is no energy transition, only an energy expansion — as the GWPF has pointed out.

    Click to access EU-Climate-Policy-Failure.pdf

  76. oldbrew says:

    Sound the alarm 😆

  77. oldbrew says:

    Cambridge professor raises £50m for 5-minute electric car charging

    More rapid charging process could help cure anxiety over vehicles’ range limits
    15 July 2022

    The start-up uses battery research developed by Cambridge University scientist Dame Prof Clare Philomena Grey. Nyobolt’s battery anodes use niobium, a grey, crystalline metal, and tungsten, which charge batteries more rapidly.

    The company said its technology allowed batteries to be charged to 90pc capacity in less than five minutes, while improving power and durability tenfold. Nyobolt said its technology would “erase” range anxiety in electric vehicles.
    . . .
    Nyobolt said its technology could be applied to home appliances and robotics too. Prof Grey said: “We are excited to move our technologies from development to deployment in the market.”

  78. oldbrew says:

    JULY 15, 2022
    Tonga volcano ‘afterglow’ causes dazzling skies in Antarctica

    “Believe it or not, I haven’t edited these shots either, they are pretty much as we saw it. It’s incredible.”

  79. oldbrew says:

    Knots in the resonator: Elegant math in humble physics
    JULY 15, 2022

    At the heart of every resonator—be it a cello, a gravitational wave detector, or the antenna in your cell phone—there is a beautiful bit of mathematics that has been heretofore unacknowledged.

    Yale physicists Jack Harris and Nicholas Read know this because they started finding knots in their data.

    In a new study in the journal Nature, Harris, Read, and their co-authors describe a previously unknown characteristic of resonators. A resonator is any object that vibrates only at a specific set of frequencies.

  80. oldbrew says:

    Australia on 2022-23 La Nina weather watch
    Published date: 13 July 2022

    An early call for La Nina watch for the upcoming southern hemisphere summer suggests La Nina may strike for a third year in a row, writes Jo Clarke

  81. Chaeremon says:

    Fibonacci numbers cause physical effects (laser pulse rate at atoms) — or do they.

  82. Paul Vaughan says:

    underscore: generalization of methods (like those used by Ramanujan) subsume fib & luc which are special cases with parameters locked to a single value from an infinite range of possibilities; causes same communication obstacles as when comparing generalized wavelet methods to conventional spectral analysis methods which lock a parameter to a single setting from an infinite range of possibilities — optics: “expert” attempt to lock discourse down in “cage of artificial settings”

  83. oldbrew says:

    Renowned Scientist James Lovelock dies aged 103: First proposed the Gaia hypothesis – Reversed belief in ‘global warming’ – Declared: ‘I’m not sure the whole thing isn’t crazy’

  84. oldbrew says:

    Plenty to read here…

    The Sun-Climate Effect: The Winter Gatekeeper Hypothesis (I). The search for a solar signal
    Posted on July 31, 2022 by curryja
    by Javier Vinos and Andy May

    “Probably no subfield of meteorology has had as much effort devoted to it as the effects of solar variability on weather and climate. And none has had as little to show for the research labor.” Helmut E. Landsberg (1982)

    Note: This is the first of a six-part series on the effect of solar variability on climate change.

  85. Paul Vaughan says:

    “Note: This is the first of a six-part series on the effect of solar variability on climate change.”

    Prediction: The series will strategically leave out critical information (arousing further suspicion).

  86. oldbrew says:

    Another serving of climate neurosis…

    AUGUST 2, 2022
    Water in atmosphere from Tonga eruption may weaken ozone layer

  87. oldbrew says:


    From the abstract:
    ‘What is the forced source driving the AO phenomenon?
    Some studies have noted effects of many factors such as the
    fluctuation of sea ice and the abnormality of the SST field.
    The authors of this study believe that these are directly related
    phenomena. The abnormalities of sea ice and sea surface
    temperature are the results of temperature anomalies; thus the
    abnormal changes in temperature, especially the changes in
    polar temperature, are a trigger of AO. The most important
    factor affecting the changes in polar temperature is solar activity;
    therefore we may link AO, polar temperature, and solar activity
    .’ [bold added]

    Click to access e5a70291-7027-4e1e-9ba3-0f3e51cfbd25.pdf

    From the intro:
    ‘Although the amount of radiation does not
    increase significantly during solar activity, the ability of the
    Earth’s magnetic field to trap the solar radiation of all of the
    bands doubles in scale. Therefore, the increase in the Earth’s
    temperature is much greater than the increase in the amount of
    solar radiation. This signifies that solar activity exerts effects
    on the climate and physical environment of the Earth through
    changes in both solar radiation and the magnetic field, the latter
    of which plays the greater role.’
    . . .
    ‘After performing analysis using the successive filtering
    method, one can see that the AO phenomenon occurring
    in January shows a clear quasi 110 yr century cycle and quasi 22 yr
    decadal cycle which are closely related to solar activities.’

  88. oldbrew says:

    Admitting renewables can never cut the mustard for electricity supply, despite all the climate waffle…

    Energy secretary: Nuclear is key to meeting US energy goals
    AUGUST 05

    Read more at:

  89. oldbrew says:

    Climate obsession update…

    Farmers in Republic of Ireland to be asked to cut emissions by 25%

    Emissions ceilings for 2030 have been set for several other sectors, including electricity, transport, buildings and industry. The targets for reductions in each area are:

    Electricity: 75%
    Transport: 50%
    Buildings (commercial and public): 45%
    Buildings (residential): 40%
    Industry: 35%
    Agriculture: 25%
    Other (gases, petroleum refining and waste): 50%
    – – –
    ‘Devastating blow for farming’ – farm organisations react to emissions target
    – – –
    Cork farmers will have no choice but to cull cows under climate plan
    Friday, 5 August 2022

  90. oldbrew says:

    Hinkley B: UK’s most productive nuclear power plant closes
    BBC West
    Published 5 days ago

    The nuclear power station that has generated more electricity than any other has been switched off.

    Hinkley Point B in Somerset has been making power since 1976 and currently contributes about 3% of the UK’s total power needs.

    Switching Hinkley off will mean more electricity made from gas, which is at a record high price at the moment.

    Industry experts have predicted the cost of energy in the UK will have to rise as a result.

  91. oldbrew says:

    Stunning New James Webb Image Reveals The Cartwheel Galaxy in Vivid Detail
    5 AUGUST 2022

  92. oldbrew says:

    US temperature readings are junk, negating climate science
    By David Wojick |August 2nd, 2022


    There has always been this puzzle as to why the surface statistics show a lot more warming than the satellites do? Heat contamination looks like the answer. This should be a major research question, but the Feds ignore it because they like the erroneous extra warming. It supports their alarmist agenda.

  93. oldbrew says:

    Want back-up power in a blackout? Just buy this pick-up truck 🤔

    Might need an inverter too.

  94. oldbrew says:

    Data from the J-OFURO3 satellite product show the intensity of monthly sea surface temperature variations across the global ocean. The red colors indicate sea surface temperature swings from month to month that are typically larger than 1.5°C, while dark blues and purples indicate variations that are typically smaller than 0.5°C. Credit: National Center for Atmospheric Research, data from the J-OFURO3 satellite product

  95. oldbrew says:

    ‘Blackout Britain’ threat as households face energy rationing

    As supplies falter, the UK faces the first managed decline of its energy system for decades

    10 August 2022

  96. oldbrew says:

  97. oldbrew says:

    – – –
    Just need to keep hiring ships like this…

  98. oldbrew says:

    Why eco-alarmists are wrong about almost everything
    14th August 2022

    The Great Barrier Reef is not dying, and the world is not coming to an end.

    Foretellings of the End of Days are collapsing all the time. We have ‘five years to save the world’, said the Ecologist – in 2007. We have ‘10 years to save the world’, said the UN – in 1989. We have ‘four years to save the world’, said NASA scientist and climate expert Jim Hansen – in 2009. The end of the world just never comes. And yet instead of reflecting on the holes in their fact-lite apocalypticism, the Poundshop Nostradamuses simply tweak the date of doom. So in 2018 we were told that actually we have 12 years to save the world. Anyone fancy getting together in 2030 to celebrate yet another failed apocalypse? We could do it at the coral-rich Great Barrier Reef.

  99. oldbrew says:

    First the theory…

    Timber Bridges
    Wood has been rediscovered as a material for bridges. Timber bridges are well suited for short- and medium-span applications to carry vehicle or pedestrian traffic (Fig. 7). Combining the advances in wood design, the use of glued-laminated timber, stress-laminated deck, and preservative treatment, permits wooden bridges that are economical, easy to construct, and which have a long service life. Wood has many properties desirable for bridge construction—high strength-to-weight ratio, good energy absorption, and resistance to de-icing agents.
    – – –

    Timber bridge in Norway ‘built to last 100 years’ collapses after a decade
    15 AUG, 2022

  100. oldbrew says:

    Biden signs Inflation Reduction Act: Its climate promise relies heavily on carbon capture, meaning thousands of miles of pipeline
    Published: August 12, 2022

    A recent study projected that the U.S. would have to construct 65,000 miles of carbon dioxide pipelines to achieve net-zero emissions in 2050, a whopping 13 times the current capacity.
    – – –
    Total waste of energy, resources, time and money.

  101. oldbrew says:

    Loch Ness Monster could soon be discovered as climate change ‘impacting depth of water’
    – – –
    Try to contain your excitement.

  102. oldbrew says:

    Scottish coppers given EVs – but nowhere to charge them!
    Tuesday 16 August 2022

    More than 20 Scottish police stations have reportedly been given new electric vehicles without any charging points
    . . .
    The party claims that one Police Scotland officer said: “Where I work they gave us five new EVs but no charging point. They had to charge them via one cable through an office window and into a domestic three-point socket – guess what happened to the socket.

    “Now the five vehicles are being deposited overnight in various council car parks across the town, in the hope that no damage comes to them. Meanwhile, we are back to using the old diesel cars, because at least we know where the service station is.”

  103. dscott8186 says:

    Wait, What?

    New Studies Claim The More CO2 In The Venus Atmosphere The Colder It Gets

    Scientists have for decades agreed it is “well recognized” that CO2 molecules radiatively cool the atmospheres of planets like Earth, Mars, and Venus (Sharma and Wintersteiner, 1990) in the 15 μm band starting from 12 km above the surface on up.

    Bottom line, CO2 based heating of the Earth is total nonsense.

  104. oldbrew says:

    Mysterious cloud ‘absorbers’ seen to drive Venusian albedo, climate
    August 26, 2019

    Between 2006 and 2017, Venus’ albedo, the measure of ultraviolet light reflected back to space, halved before beginning to rebound. Those changes to the planet’s albedo sparked big variations in the amount of solar energy absorbed by the clouds and, consequently, the circulation of Venus’ atmosphere.

  105. oldbrew says:

    1,200 Scientists and Professionals Declare: “There is No Climate Emergency”

    Particular ire in the WCD is reserved for climate models. To believe in the outcome of a climate model is to believe what the model makers have put in. Climate models are now central to today’s climate discussion and the scientists see this as a problem. “We should free ourselves from the naïve belief in immature climate models,” says the WCD. “In future, climate research must give significantly more emphasis to empirical science.”

    Since emerging from the ‘Little Ice Age’ in around 1850, the world has warmed significantly less than predicted by the IPCC on the basis of modelled human influences. “The gap between the real world and the modelled world tells us that we are far from understanding climate change,” the WCD notes.
    – – –
    Ditching failed superstitions about radiative gases would be an improvement.

  106. oldbrew says:

    El Niño doesn’t feature in climate models…

    AUGUST 23, 2022
    Scientists have calculated what can unbalance El Niño

    “We believe that extreme El Niño events may become more frequent in the future and contribute to climate change, just as climate change affects El Niño development. Therefore, El Niño is a process that should be taken into account in global climate models, but this is not done yet, because no one knows how to take into account such an unpredictable and complex phenomenon,” added Dmitri Alexandrov.

  107. oldbrew says:

    ‘Drinking water being used to cool London data centres’
    25th August 2022

    The news comes as Thames Water’s hosepipe ban has come into force, affecting millions of customers in London and Thames Valley.

    In a statement, John Hernon, Thames Water Strategic Development Manager, said: “We know there is increased demand for data centres and we have started a targeted exercise to understand how much water is used by them.

    “We want to work collaboratively with new centres to reduce their overall water usage and ensure there is enough water for everyone.”

  108. oldbrew says:

    Synchronizing the helicity of Rayleigh-Bénard convection by a tide-like
    electromagnetic forcing

    Peter Jüstel,a) Sebastian Röhrborn,a) Sven Eckert,a) Vladimir Galindo,a) Thomas Gundrum,a) Rodion Stepanov,b) and Frank Stefani,a)
    (Dated: 26 July 2022)

    We present results on the synchronization of the helicity in a liquid-metal Rayleigh-Bénard (RB) experiment under the influence of a tide-like electromagnetic forcing with azimuthal wavenumber m = 2. We show that for a critical forcing strength the typical Large Scale Circulation (LSC) in the cylindrical vessel of aspect ratio unity is entrained by the period of the tide-like forcing, leading to synchronized helicity oscillations with opposite signs in two half-spaces. The obtained experimental results are consistent with and supported by numerical simulations. A similar entrainment mechanism for the helicity in the solar tachocline may be responsible for the astonishing synchronization of the solar dynamo by the 11.07-year triple synodic alignment cycle of the tidally dominant planets Venus, Earth and Jupiter. [bold added]
    . . .
    Inspired by previous work of Hung10, Wilson11,12 and Scafetta13, we have pursued the idea of a possible link between the Schwabe cycle and the 11.07-year triple synodic cycle of the tidally dominant planets Venus, Earth and Jupiter.

    Click to access 2207.09981.pdf

    10 C.-C. Hung, “Apparent relations between solar activity and solar tides
    caused by the planets,” NASA/TM-2007-214817 (2007).
    11 I.R.G. Wilson, “Does a spin-orbit coupling between the Sun and the Jovian
    planets govern the solar cycle?” Publ. Astron. Soc. Aust. 25, 85 (2008).
    12 I.R.G. Wilson, “The Venus-Earth-Jupiter spin-orbit coupling model,” Pattern Recogn. Phys. 1, 147 (2013).
    13 N. Scafetta, “Does the Sun work as a nuclear fusion amplifier of planetary
    tidal forcing? A proposal for a physical mechanism based on the massluminosity relation.,” J. Atmos. Solar-Terr. Phys. 81-82, 27 (2012)

  109. oldbrew says:

    Still very much relevant…

  110. oldbrew says:

    Rolls-Royce aims to export ‘flat-pack’ nuclear reactors to Japan

    Engineer plots charm offensive in the Asian country after government ends moratorium
    28 August 2022

  111. oldbrew says:

    The World’s Energy Problem Is Far Worse Than We’re Being Told
    By Gail Tverberg – Aug 29, 2022

    No politician wants to tell us the real story of fossil fuel depletion. The real story is that we are already running short of oil, coal and natural gas because the direct and indirect costs of extraction are reaching a point where the selling price of food and other basic necessities needs to be unacceptably high to make the overall economic system work. At the same time, wind and solar and other “clean energy” sources are nowhere nearly able to substitute for the quantity of fossil fuels being lost.

    This unfortunate energy story is essentially a physics problem. Energy per capita and, in fact, resources per capita, must stay high enough for an economy’s growing population. When this does not happen, history shows that civilizations tend to collapse.

  112. oldbrew says:

    DUNG BEETLES NAVIGATE USING THE MILKY WAY: When you hear the words “dung beetle” you probably think of poop. After you read this article, a different picture may come to mind: The Milky Way.
    . . .
    “Currently, dung beetles are the only animals we know of that use the Milky Way for reliable orientation,” says James Foster of the University of Konstanz in Germany. “They are excellent little astronomers.”

  113. oldbrew says:

    Mysterious rings in new James Webb Space Telescope image puzzle astronomers

    Mark McCaughrean, an interdisciplinary scientist in the James Webb Space Telescope Science Working Group and a science advisor to the European Space Agency, called the feature “bonkers” in a Twitter thread.

    “The six-pointed blue structure is an artifact due to optical diffraction from the bright star WR140 in this #JWST MIRI image,” he wrote. “But red curvy-yet-boxy stuff is real, a series of shells around WR140. Actually in space. Around a star.”

    He noted that WR140 is what astronomers call a Wolf-Rayet star, which have spat much of their hydrogen into space. These objects are also surrounded by dust, he added, which a companion star is sculpting into the strange shells.

    Astronomers will know more soon thanks to a scientific paper currently under review about this mysterious phenomenon.

    “Yes, those nested ‘squircular’ rings are real,” Ryan Lau, an astronomer at NOIRLab and principal investigator of the project that acquired the observations, replied to the Twitter thread. “Our paper on this has been submitted so please stay tuned for the full story.”

  114. Paul Vaughan says:

    prediction verified

  115. dscott8186 says:

    “Sand” Batteries

    Interesting idea for thermal storage. Heat sand to 500C to run district heating, similar idea to Berlin using water. Though I disagree with using electric heated air to charge the thermopile. Modify this concept using a separate Trombe Wall via fan driven air to charge the sand.

  116. oldbrew says:

    SEPTEMBER 5, 2022

    New seafloor images off the West Antarctic Ice Sheet upend understanding of Thwaites Glacier retreat

    At some point in the last 200 years, over a duration of less than six months, the front of the glacier lost contact with a seabed ridge and retreated at a rate of more than 2.1 kilometers per year (1.3 miles per year)—twice the rate documented using satellites between 2011 and 2019.

    “Our results suggest that pulses of very rapid retreat have occurred at Thwaites Glacier in the last two centuries, and possibly as recently as the mid-20th Century,” Graham said.
    – – –
    Whatever is going on there has been happening since well before any recent CO2 rise.

  117. oldbrew says:

    AUGUST 31, 2022
    As forests go up in smoke, so will California’s climate plan
    – – –
    Global weather systems won’t respond to CA’s ‘climate plan’ anyway.

  118. oldbrew says:

    Climate paranoia…

    Dutch city bans adverts for holiday flights amid climate crisis

    Ads for fossil fuel-related products and services will not be displayed in public places from 2024

  119. Paul Vaughan says:

    “Ads for fossil fuel-related products and services”

    consider in full detail:
    nearly all items advertised for online sale

    Fleets of ships and vans (& planes for express) are coordinated to deliver daily to wealthy homes. (A clear sign of financial inequality: The homeless never receive the incessant, polluting deliveries.)

    This simple observation (definitely not mere speculation) is based on a decade spent coordinating e-commerce logistics firsthand.

  120. oldbrew says:

    Europe’s Reaction To The Energy Crisis Is Turning Into A ‘Ponzi Scheme’
    Sep 06, 2022

    “Home-grown” clean energy, as EC President Ursula von der Leyen called it last week, however, is also not a solution, for purely physical reasons. There are not enough raw materials in the world to make Europe 100% wind and solar reliant. And that’s without mentioning the global dependency on China’s rare earths and lithium processing capacity.
    . . .
    People are already protesting European countries’ energy policies and there will be more protests as autumn advances to winter. Sadly, besides direct intervention on energy markets and “a Ponzi scheme” for households, European governments do not have many cards to play.

  121. oldbrew says:

    Putin is finished. The Ukrainians have him on the ropes with a stunning victory in their sights
    11 September 2022

    In 72 hours, the Ukrainian Armed Forces have retaken over 2,500 sq km of Russian-occupied Ukraine
    . . .
    Zelenskiy hails Ukraine territorial gains in surprise north-east counteroffensive
    Sun 11 Sep 2022

  122. oldbrew says:

    Putin’s imperial dream is collapsing before our eyes

    The scale of disaster is forcing even pro-Russian officials to acknowledge that the Ukrainians are gaining ground

    If the Ukrainians can sustain the impressive military gains they have achieved over the past few days, then Putin will soon find himself staring into the abyss of a catastrophic defeat.
    . . .
    …the Russian military appears demoralised and incapable of mustering an effective response against the Ukrainian onslaught.
    . . .
    The Russians are getting nowhere fast, even retreating. Many casualties.

  123. oldbrew says:

    SEPTEMBER 13, 2022
    California becomes first US state to begin ranking extreme heat wave events

    The law goes into effect in January 2023. The California Environmental Protection Agency has until Jan. 1, 2025, to create the yet-to-be-established statewide heat wave ranking system.

  124. Paul Vaughan says:

    “Several elected officials told […] they’d like to see a reporting process, potentially with some kind of ombudsperson or commissioner to document where the threat or intimidation occurred and the nature of it to compile statistics […]. They all wanted […] advice to help determine when an interaction goes from annoyance to […] conduct that should involve their local police.”

    Individuals could each write a book on it, so the singular “ombudsperson or commissioner” (not plural) indicates (yet) an(other) awareness gap.

    I saw a curious job ad: dispatching large numbers of actors all over the city. An individual suggested the actors are live “cause play” (a play on cosplay) hyperlinks.

    I estimate I’ve been harassed by many hundreds of such “actors”, beginning in 2020.

  125. oldbrew says:

    More temperature ‘adjustments’ on the way?

    SEPTEMBER 14, 2022
    New approach to correct systematic errors in bottle data of ocean temperature

  126. Paul Vaughan says:

    an unusual find – sensible climate discourse (rare find since infiltrators began 2020 control-the-opposition spree, baiting with energy doom-&-gloom OD)

    review – region of late summer drought & then heavy rains fall

  127. oldbrew says:

    Discovery of the “Pekeris Wave” — Special Atmospheric Wave Caused by the 2022
    Hunga Tonga–Hunga Ha’apai Volcanic Eruption

    September 12, 2022

    Pekeris waves are resonance oscillations inherent to Earth’s atmosphere that were theoretically derived by Dr. Chaim Leib Pekeris in 1937, and their existence has long been a question in meteorological dynamics.
    . . .
    3. Background
    The question of whether or not Earth’s atmosphere resonates at a certain frequency, like the strings of a violin or the skin of a drum, is fundamental in meteorological dynamics.
    . . .
    5. Future Prospects
    The results reported here mark a historic discovery in meteorological dynamics and suggest that the Pekeris wave, which has been considered a “phantom atmospheric wave” due to a lack of real-world evidence to support that, arrived in Japan approximately two hours after Lamb waves, and may have caused unexpectedly large changes in sea-level, called meteorological tsunami, through resonance between the atmosphere and ocean at the sea surface.
    . . .
    The results will be published in the Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences on September 12, 2022 (JST).

    Title:First Detection of the Pekeris Internal Global Atmospheric Resonance: Evidence from the 2022 Tonga Eruption and from Global Reanalysis Data

  128. oldbrew says:

    Electric bike caused fatal Bristol flat fire, council says
    1 hour ago

    An electric bicycle started a fire in a block of flats that left one man dead and eight other people in hospital, a council has confirmed.
    . . .
    Ahmed Sharif, who lives on the third floor of the tower block with four children, said he had been warning the caretaker for months about electrical bikes being kept on the upper floors.

    He said the bikes were a “homemade version” and not made by a manufacturer.

    “Someone actually designed it poorly and most of them actually have a cheaper version of Lithium ion batteries,” which could be more dangerous, he added.

  129. oldbrew says:

    Prospect of Increased Disruption to the QBO in a Changing Climate
    James A. Anstey,Timothy P. Banyard,Neal Butchart,Lawrence Coy,Paul A. Newman,Scott Osprey,Corwin J. Wright
    First published: 26 June 2021

    Plain Language Summary

    The quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) consists of a regular switching between eastward and westward winds in the tropical stratosphere. The oscillation has persisted at least since its discovery in the 1960s, over which time its period averages about 28 months with some variability from cycle to cycle. Recently, during the Northern Hemisphere winters of 2015/16 and 2019/20, remarkable departures from this regular behavior occurred that have no precedent in the observational record. Both the 2015/16 and 2019/20 QBO disruptions occurred when large horizontal fluxes of momentum intruded into the tropics from higher latitudes. Using climate model projections, we find these horizontal fluxes are likely to increase in future, suggesting an increased future likelihood of QBO disruptions and a concomitant loss in QBO predictability.

    From section 6:

    6 Climate Change

    While the 2015/16 disruption could reasonably be judged as a “once in 50-year event” a second disruption in a relatively short time raises the question of possible climate-change connections. In a warming climate, the quasi-regular QBO cycling breaks down in some model projections but, in general, uncertainties in the representation of small scale gravity waves in models leads to a wide spread in QBO projections (Richter et al., 2020) and hence any projected changes in occurrences of disruptions cannot be considered reliable. On the other hand, in all multi-model QBO projections, there is an overall weakening of the oscillation in the lower stratosphere.
    – – –
    Sep 2, 2016
    A Strange Thing Happened in the Stratosphere

    High above Earth’s tropics, a pattern of winds changed recently in a way that scientists had never seen in more than 60 years of consistent measurements.
    . . .
    The quasi-biennial oscillation has a wide influence on stratospheric conditions. The amount of ozone at the equator changes by 10 percent between the peaks of the easterly and westerly phases, while the oscillation also has an impact on levels of polar ozone depletion.

    With this disruption now documented, Newman and colleagues are currently focused on studying both its causes and potential implications. They have two hypotheses for what could have triggered it – the particularly strong El Niño in 2015-16 or the long-term trend of rising global temperatures. Newman said the scientists are conducting further research now to figure out if the event was a “black swan,” a once-in-a-generation event, or a “canary in the coal mine,” a shift with unforeseen circumstances, caused by climate change.

    As it happened again without a strong El Niño in 2019/20, that theory looks finished.

  130. oldbrew says:

    [see also previous comment]

    Stratospheric water vapor and ozone response to different QBO disruption events in 2016 and 2020

    The differences in the response of lower stratospheric water vapor to the 2015–2016 and 2019–2020 QBO disruption events are due to the cold–point temperature differences induced by the Australian wildfire, which moistened the lower stratosphere, therefore, hiding the 2019–2020 QBO disruption impact.
    – – –
    The anomalous change in the QBO in 2015–2016

    Key Points
    — The 2015–2016 quasi-biennial oscillation had an unprecedented deviation from the 1953 to present observational record

    — Easterlies unexpectedly appeared in the westerly phase of the quasi-biennial oscillation

    — The remaining quasi-biennial oscillation westerlies showed an upward displacement, not the normal downward propagation

  131. oldbrew says:

    Hurricane Ian strengthens to ‘extremely dangerous’ category 4 storm
    – 30m ago

    Category 4 hurricanes pack winds of between 130 and 156 mph and can cause “catastrophic damage”. Well-built framed homes may lose roofs or some exterior walls, most trees will be snapped or uprooted and power poles downed, according to the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.

    Power outages can last for weeks or even months, and the area can be uninhabitable for a similar period of time, it says.

  132. oldbrew says:

    SEPTEMBER 23, 2022
    Planetary-scale ‘heat wave’ discovered in Jupiter’s atmosphere
    Europlanet Science Congress (EPSC) 2022 Press Release

  133. oldbrew says:

    NBC News: The latest on Hurricane Ian
    Updated Sept. 29, 2022, 4:05 AM BST

    The storm made landfall as a Category 4 near Cayo Costa, on Florida’s Gulf Coast, around 3 p.m. ET Wednesday.

    Ian had weakened to a Category 2 storm by 10 p.m.

    As of 11 p.m., more than 2 million customers were without power across Florida.

    Curfews have been issued in Florida to keep everyone but first responders off the streets.

    Ian tore into Cuba on Tuesday, killing two people and bringing down the island’s electrical grid.
    . . .
    Gov. Ron DeSantis said that some areas have had storm surges as high as 12 feet and that Ian was “battering” southwest Florida.

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