Mark Serreze, NSIDC’s doom sayer, seems to have realized that the impending failure of his prediciton of an ice free arctic as soon as 2012[Wrong, see comments] is getting a bit too close for comfort, and has back-pedalled. Now the ice free arctic may be a few decades rather than years away. This is a much safer prediction for Mark, he’ll have long retired by the time this one gets proved wrong. Just five months ago in September 2010 Serreze said:
“I stand by my previous statements that the Arctic summer sea ice cover is in a death spiral. It’s not going to recover…I hate to say it but I think we are committed to a four- to six-degree warmer Arctic.”
In this week’s ‘Nature’ he says:
“Although the paper by Tietsche and colleagues brings a more optimistic view of the Arctic’s future….”






