Nature’s carbon cycle still in good working order, researchers find

Posted: March 18, 2022 by oldbrew in Carbon cycle, Emissions, research
Tags: ,

The carbon cycle [credit:]

Carbon cycle alarm has so far failed to materialise, this research finds.
– – –
Researchers have constructed a new time series for global carbon emissions from deforestation, reports

The series is the missing link in terms of the improved understanding of the global carbon cycle, and it implies that the natural uptake of CO2 by the land and oceans is more efficient than previously assumed.

The study shows that carbon emissions from deforestation between the 1960s and 1980s were lower than previous studies had assumed.

By combining the time series with other datasets, the scientists show that the uptake of CO2 by nature is so far influenced less by climate change than was thought in the past.

The new study was conducted by scientists from Deltares, VU University Amsterdam, Woodwell Climate Research Center, Columbia University, and Wageningen University and Research and published 16 March in the scientific journal Nature.

Time series reconstruction

To estimate the carbon emissions in the principal deforestation areas in South America and Indonesia, the scientists used records of visibility data in a surprising way.

If there are large numbers of forest fires, visibility declines due to levels of smoke and these visibility data are therefore a measure of the number of forest fires linked to deforestation in these areas.
. . .

According to Guido van der Werf, a professor at the VU University of Amsterdam specializing in the global carbon cycle who set up the study, it is difficult for the time being to draw firm conclusions from this paper about future climate change.

“What we can mainly prove is that the worst nightmare scenarios of an impaired carbon sink have not yet materialized and that the news is not quite as bad. But we cannot say that we now have more time to achieve the climate targets. That is primarily because the good news is mainly based on new insights relating to the period of the 1960s, 1970s, and 1980s. Looking at the last few decades, it might be that the improvement in efficiency has stalled.”

Full report here.

  1. […] Nature’s carbon cycle still in good working order, researchers find […]

  2. Saighdear says:

    KNOWING ABOUT the Carbon & Nitrogen & Water cycles are part of everyday Plant & Animal Sciences ( d”idn’t purposely want to call it ‘natural’ sciences ). So WHO decided that we should have “Carbon” & water” miles as an important metric, etc and to raise / cause alarm ?

  3. oldbrew says:

    Published: 16 March 2022
    New land-use-change emissions indicate a declining CO2 airborne fraction

    Our results, however, indicate that the CO2 airborne fraction has decreased by 0.014 ± 0.010 decade−1 since 1959. This suggests that the combined land–ocean sink has been able to grow at least as fast as anthropogenic emissions.
    – – –
    So, what is/was the ‘climate crisis’ supposed to be about?

  4. SasjaL says:

    I was watching a tv program yesterday about the mangrove areas in Costa Rica. One of the people involved in a conservation project, said they made the discovery that the mangrove trees bind carbon … No kidding! They also said that the roots of the trees binds oxygene. Something I never heard if before.

  5. oldbrew says:

    Carbon cycle formula…

  6. stpaulchuck says:

    “are therefore a measure of the number of forest fires linked to deforestation in these areas.” and where the heck is that proven?? How does cutting down “all” the trees lead to forest fires?

    First Law of data analysis: correlation is NOT causation.

    Did any of you see anywhere in the report a null hypothesis tested against all these assumptions and causes? Apparently I missed it. I do like that they admit they cannot forecast the global warming future.

    [a favorite quote from the IPCC:]
    “The climate system is a coupled non-linear chaotic system, and therefore the long-term prediction of future climate states is not possible.” – IPCC TAR WG1, Working Group I: The Scientific Basis

  7. P.A.Semi says:

    Weather modification by USA (in Mexican gulf) detected on March 11 2022, seeding the present sand-storm later in Europe since March 15…

    Compare normal clouds over Mexican gulf on left in 2019, and that, what I claim is artificial in 2022, on right:

    And see my video (2:43 – almost 3 minutes) with IR in rectangular projection, playing forward and backward, and then with RGB Airmass from Eumetsat… There probably hasn’t been recently such a huge and “solid” cloud over Europe, I don’t remember any similar…
    [video src="" /]

    In case you don’t remember, March 11 is anniversary, when J*ws destroyed nuclear power plant in Fukushima by nukes and sabotage after an artificial tsunami after earthquake of magnitude cca 6, falsely claimed being magnitude 9 … March 11 is another pole of September 11, and third reactor to explode in Fukushima which was shut down and with lid removed was Japan’s “WTC 7″…


  8. oldbrew says:

    Atmospheric Research
    Volume 266, March 2022, 105959

    Atmospheric rivers drive exceptional Saharan dust transport towards Europe

    Over the last 4 decades, 78% of ARs occurring over northwest Africa are associated with extreme dust events over Europe.
    . . .
    This study highlights the occurrence of atmospheric rivers (ARs) over northwest Africa towards Europe, which were accompanied by intense episodes of Saharan dust transport all the way to Scandinavia, in the winter season.
    . . .
    Summary and conclusions
    In this study, the identification of dusty atmospheric rivers (ARs) stretching from the Sahara all the way to Europe is achieved for the first time using a mixture of satellite-derived and ground-based measurements and state-of-the-art reanalysis datasets. The crucial role of dusty atmospheric rivers in the reduction of snow cover over the European Alps as well as their impacts on the surface meteorological fields over Europe is then investigated during two dusty atmospheric rivers in February 2021.

    Image source:

  9. P.A.Semi says:

    But if this “Atmospheric River” was not a punishment by God for European fascism and rusophobic hysteria (since it started on the anniversary of real start of WWII on 1939-03-15 which was first time Hіtler’s Germany invaded outside of German lands into Czechoslovakia),

    then it rather was seeded artificially few days ago by something, that Americans released in Mexican gulf… It was not much normal, that it went spinning so far south over Sahara…

    Somewhere in Europe someone reported iron dust from this “African sand”, or something magnetically active… This is not normal either…

    I rather suspect “weather warfare”…

    This is similar, how is “warming” produced artificially over Europe by occasional pumping of African air with sand dust into Europe by a pressure low over and west of Spain, which seem happening more often in recent years than in past… A relatively small action west of Spain thus produces a huge heat-wave over Europe, especially in summer… And again, if it’s not done by God, then it’s rather done by human artificial weather manipulation…


  10. gbaikie says:

    Does anyone think it’s possible that global CO2 levels will level off within 10 years?
    20 years?
    {and will have nothing to do with wind mills and solar panels- though could related to less
    wood burned- and maybe stopping using corn for fuel}

  11. P.A.Semi says:

    Hopefully CO2 levels will not “level off” within next 100 years, so that we can get back to the Optimum, that the Nature Loves…
    Back, when Dinosaurs were living here, there has been 1700 ppm CO2, and nature just thrived, of which the coal layers bear testimony… Into the agricultural green-houses they sometimes pump 800 ppm of CO2 to increase yields…
    But after the last Ice Age, the Nature became almost starving of that precious Gas of Life, which is CO2…
    So if we have risen since Little Ice Age during all our industrial revolution from 300 to 410 ppm CO2, we’ve got some one or two thousand years to go in present pace to reach the optimum back…? (as downloaded from

    So consider, that limiting CO2 is essentially Anti-Green…! Because Green Nature Loves CO2…

    So if there is any Geological importance of Humans on this planet, then it is our duty to liberate as much Carbon as possible back into the natural circulation, so that the Nature can thrive for next millions of years without starving of precious Carbon…

    Hopefully the Liars and Satan’s servants with their “Net Zero” Death Sentence of both Civilization and Nature will not succeed…!


  12. P.A.Semi says:

    One more evidence, that this “Atmospheric River” was to note present European fascism:

    (beside this image there is full-sized version without “_small4” in name)

    So in this Sand-storm, which started on March 15 on the anniversary of fascist occupation of Czechoslovakia in 1939, later between March 17 and 19 the clouds have been writing letter-by-letter the word “Fazcist” over Europe…

    You may think it is “pure coincidence”, but I now think it is intentional and very trenchant…
    (and while understanding this blog is not about politics so much, I’ll try to avoid explaining that further here…)

    The features in Mexican gulf on March 11 – can there be a Tornado (even thrice) over the sea at spring season? (I don’t know… Still thinking that was rather something artificial…)


  13. oldbrew says:

    Higher CO2 Concentrations Mean Better Plant Water Use, Enhanced Photosynthesis, Expanding Sahel
    By P Gosselin on 19. March 2022

    A higher level of atmospheric CO2 enables plants to make more effective use of water and enables the plant to survive in regions of low rainfall such as deserts.
    . . .
    For the majority of greenhouse crops, net photosynthesis increases as CO2 levels increase from 340–1,000 ppm (parts per million). Most crops show that for any given level of photosynthetically active radiation (PAR), increasing the CO2 level to 1,000 ppm will increase the photosynthesis by about 50% over ambient CO2 levels.

  14. gbaikie says:

    “Hopefully CO2 levels will not “level off” within next 100 years, so that we can get back to the Optimum, that the Nature Loves…”

    Well I think doubling CO2 levels may increase global air temperature by .1 to .5 C within 100 year period and I think most of the 1 C of warming over last 100 year is not due to rising CO2 levels.
    Or I don’t think CO2 levels are a major factor. Or CO2 level within 100 year become 600 ppm and we could cooling in 100 years. And I don’t think CO2 levels will reach 600 ppm within 100 years.
    But if CO2 levels reach 500 ppm. Then to doubles [again] one needs 1000 ppm.
    Or at present CO2 levels we reached 1/2 of doubling and more than 1/2 of warming from doubling of CO2 warming. Or going to 560 ppm will have less warming than what got and no one claims it’s
    been more the .3 C to global air temperature.
    Or I think there various factors which add or remove 1 C which has nothing to do with CO2 level.
    But higher CO2 levels has lot benefits in terms providing more food for plants and if want more we will have to mine CO2 and put it into the atmosphere- and we might be doing that in the future, but
    that still won’t add much.
    But if do things to increase our ocean average temperature of 3.5 to say 4 C that would increase global air temperature.
    Or as they say:
    “More than 90 percent of the excess heat trapped in the Earth system due to human-caused global warming has been absorbed by the oceans. ”

    Or I know of various cheap ways of warming the ocean.
    So we could warm our ocean enough so we don’t enter the next Glaciation period.

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