Despite being acutely exposed to changing climate, many Greenlanders do not blame human influences

Greenland scene

But…climate models show…blah blah. How dare they?!
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A new survey shows that the largely Indigenous population of Greenland is highly aware that the climate is changing, and far more likely than people in other Arctic nations to say they are personally affected, says Phys.org.

Yet, many do not blame human influences—especially those living traditional subsistence lifestyles most directly hit by the impacts of rapidly wasting ice and radical changes in weather.

The study appears this week in the journal Nature Climate Change.

Study of Earth’s stratosphere torpedoes another climate change fear

Earth’s atmosphere [image credit – learnweather.com]

Our headline differs slightly from the article below, which glosses over the actual research findings to some extent. Speculation about possible future unwanted climate scenarios is a favourite hobby of climate alarmists, but this one at least has been largely discarded. As a co-author put it “we were able to show that many climate model projections of very large stratospheric water vapour changes are now inconsistent with observational evidence.”
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New research led by the University of East Anglia (UEA) reduces uncertainty in future climate change linked to the stratosphere, with important implications for life on Earth, says Science Daily.

Man-made climate change is one of the greatest challenges facing us today [Talkshop comment – unsupported assertion], but uncertainty in the exact magnitude of global change hampers effective policy responses.

A significant source of uncertainty relates to future changes to water vapour in the stratosphere, an extremely dry region of the atmosphere 15-50 km above the Earth’s surface.

Solar Max is Boosting Airglow

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Another indicator of the current state of the sun.

Spaceweather.com

June 26, 2023: There was no geomagnetic storm on June 22nd. Nevertheless, the sky turned green over rural Colorado. Aaron Watson photographed the dramatic display from the West Elk Mountains:

“I woke up around midnight to crystal clear skies,” says Watson. “I noticed some wispy rays and, at first, I thought maybe it was noctilucent clouds. Upon closer inspection there was an intense green glow rippling across the entire sky.”

Although this looks a lot like aurora borealis, it is something completely different: airglow. Cameras with nighttime exposure settings can pick up the faint emission from anywhere on Earth even when geomagnetic activity is low. All that’s required is a very dark sky.

“Airglow is produced by photochemistry in Earth’s upper atmosphere,” says space scientist Scott Bailey of Virginia Tech. “And it is very interesting photochemistry.”

He explains: There is a layer of air about 95 km above Earth’s…

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UK off course for net zero, its advisers moan

Well, yawn. Who exactly is ‘on course’ with this futile carbon dioxide witch-hunt, and what does the phrase even mean – if anything?
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The UK has lost its position as a global leader on climate action and is not doing enough to meet its mid-century net zero target, the country’s climate advisers said today.

Britain in 2019 became the first member of the Group of Seven wealthy nations to set a target to achieve net zero emissions by 2050, requiring major changes in the way Britons travel, eat and use electricity, says Climate Home News.

But strategies in place are unlikely to deliver the required emission cuts and last year’s announcements on new fossil fuel projects have tarnished Britain’s reputation as a climate leader, an annual progress report by the Climate Change Committee (CCC) said on Wednesday.

Pothole damage from electric cars is double that of petrol, Telegraph data show

Electric SUV [image credit: electrichunter.com]

Britain’s residential roads are not designed to cope with large numbers of such heavy vehicles. But they’re coming anyway.
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Electric cars damage roads twice as much as their petrol equivalents, analysis has shown, as the pothole crisis grows on Britain’s roads, says the Daily Telegraph.

Analysis by The Telegraph has found that the average electric car more than doubles the wear on road surfaces, which in turn could increase the number of potholes.

The country is suffering from a pothole crisis, with half as many filled last year compared to a decade ago amid an estimated £12 billion price tag to fill them all.

Record Renewables Growth Fails To Cut Global Fossil Fuel Share of 82%

Fossil fuels are consistent at 82% of the global energy cake, so to speak, but the cake is getting bigger. Someone wails that ‘overall global energy-related greenhouse gas emissions increased again’ as the so-called Paris climate agreement fades further into irrelevance. Time to stop clinging to pipedreams and admit realities.
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Record increases in solar and wind installations in 2022 failed to cut into the massive 82% share of fossil fuels in global energy consumption, says OilPrice.com, amid turbulent energy markets and energy security concerns, the annual Statistical Review of World Energy showed on Monday.

Moreover, despite the record growth of global solar and wind capacity additions last year, emissions rose again, to a new record high, and further put the world off track to the Paris Agreement targets, said the report, published by the Energy Institute (EI) and partners KPMG and Kearney, which earlier this year took over the publishing of one of the industry’s most closely-watched reports from BP that had published it for the prior 71 years.

The latest report showed that primary energy demand growth slowed in 2022, increasing by 1.1%, compared to 5.5% growth in 2021, and taking it to around 3% above the 2019 pre-COVID level.

Full article here.

Solar panels worth £5,500 stolen from energy farm – highlighting a growing crime problem

Valuable technology in largely unattended and sometimes remote country areas inevitably attracts attention from criminal elements. Increasing security costs money of course.
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Solar panels worth around £5,500 were stolen from an energy farm near Wellingborough, reports Energy Live News.

The theft occurred between Tuesday 20th June, at 10:30pm and Wednesday 21st June, at 3 am.

The incident took place when “unknown suspects” entered Chelveston Renewable Energy Park, located in Chelveston Airfield and “stole 52 solar panels from the site”.

Northamptonshire Police have launched an appeal for witnesses and information regarding the theft.

Harnessing chaos? Simulation experiment claims to demonstrate way to mitigate extreme weather events

[image credit: latinoamericarenovable.com]

Pardon the scepticism, but welcome to another visit to climate cloud cuckoo land. This week we’re going to figure out with climate models (of course) how to turn the tables on those nasty floods, hurricanes, mega-heatwaves or any other undesirable weather events you might like to tame. Bring on the small tweaks…
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RIKEN scientists have demonstrated a way to make small tweaks in weather systems as a means to prevent, or at least reduce, the severity of extreme weather events such as torrential rain, says Phys.org.

They did this by taking advantage of the chaos that is inherent to such systems.

Through this work they hope to develop ways to prevent extreme weather events, which have become more common in recent years.

Effect of volcanic eruptions significantly underestimated in climate projections, study shows

Volcanic eruption

The idea proposed here of climate model forecasts becoming ‘more robust’ by including smaller effects depends on them being robust to some degree in the first place, which is open to question given their output to date.
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Researchers have found that the cooling effect that volcanic eruptions have on Earth’s surface temperature is likely underestimated by a factor of two, and potentially as much as a factor of four, in standard climate projections, says Phys.org.

While this effect is far from enough to offset the effects of global temperature rise caused by human activity [Talkshop comment – unsupported assertion], the researchers, led by the University of Cambridge, say that small-magnitude eruptions are responsible for as much as half of all the sulfur gases emitted into the upper atmosphere by volcanoes.

The results, reported in the journal Geophysical Research Letters, suggest that improving the representation of volcanic eruptions of all magnitudes will in turn make climate projections more robust.

Andrew Dessler: The future will be hotter, unless it’s colder.

Andrew Dessler @AndrewDessler Prof of Atmospheric Sciences & climate scientist @ Texas A&M; AGU and AAAS Fellow has been prognosticating on Twitter, talking up a model that predicts another 2C of warming by 2100 (0.25C/decade, twice the rate 2013-2023).

When challenged about this alarming rate of warming, he clarified for us.

Siemens Energy Shares Tumble 31% as Wind Turbine Troubles Exposed

A billion euros worth of trouble – they wouldn’t want that to be renewable. All is not well in wind turbine land.
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Siemens Energy saw $6.3 billion wiped off its market capitalization on Friday after warning that the impact of quality problems at its Siemens Gamesa wind turbine business would be felt for years, says OE Digital.

The group scrapped its 2023 profit outlook late on Thursday after a review of its wind turbine division exposed deeper-than-expected problems that could cost more than 1 billion euros.

“This is a disappointing and severe setback,” Siemens Gamesa CEO Jochen Eickholt told journalists on a call.

Arctic sea ice volume anomaly May ’23 update: A tale of two paradigms.

A polar bear inspects a US submarine near the North Pole [credit: Wikipedia]

Talkshop readers will remember the post last month looking at PIOMAS ice volume data in relation to two alternate futures. One is the future predicted by IPCC scientists that says we’re heading for an ice-free Arctic in summer 2035 on a fairly linear trend all the way down from when the satellite record begins (well, the section they show us anyway). The other is the sceptical null hypothesis, that Arctic ice variation is natural, cyclic, and probably following the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO).

These two alternatives appear on our plot below, along with the updated PIOMAS volume data. Up until now, both possible futures have been plausible, within two-sigma envelopes (not shown this time), with a few outliers for either scenario. This month’s updated current datapoint lies very close to the 65 year sinusoidal oscillation model’s median line, and just within the two-sigma envelope of the linear model. Click through to see the plot below the break.

France says nuclear power is ‘non-negotiable’

French nuclear power sites [credit: neimagazine.com]

Nuclear-reliant Paris has already irked Berlin by insisting on giving nuclear energy a starring role in European plans to produce more green technology in Europe.

“Nuclear power is an absolute red line for France, and France will not relinquish any of the competitive advantages linked to nuclear energy”, Le Maire insisted as he closed the annual conference of the French Electricity Union.

France’s 56 ageing reactors normally provide some 70% of France’s electricity needs.

“French nuclear power is non-negotiable and will never be negotiable. We will have to live with it, and we are convinced that it is not only in France’s interest, but also in the interest of the European continent”, he added.

Summer energy crunch presages winter woes ahead.

[image credit: worldcoal.com]

The European Conservative, 17 June 2023

A return to coal was needed because turbines could not be relied upon this week due to depressed wind speeds.

The Conservative Party government is far down the road—and much out of pocket —with its plan to remove coal from Britain’s energy mix. But weather conditions earlier this week meant providers had no choice but to start burning coal again, for the first time in a month and a half.

Simply put, there wasn’t enough wind to allow for a good turbine output and it was too hot for solar panels to work efficiently. Some gas power plants were also shut down for maintenance. As a result, the National Grid had little choice but to ask a coal-fired power station in Nottingham to start producing electricity. This was due to be closed last September, but its owners reached a deal to push back the deadline by a year, citing the Russian invasion of Ukraine.

Choking on Canada’s ‘Climate Change’ Smoke

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Claims of no evidence of arson were undermined by police arresting someone for starting 32 wildfires on a previous occasion, and this.

PA Pundits International

Our northern neighbor’s wildfires are wreaking havoc on American air quality, and the Left is leaping to the usual conclusions.

DOUGLAS ANDREWS

MORE BY THIS AUTHOR

Listen closely, and you can practically hear him say it: You never want a serious Canadian wildfire crisis to go to waste.

No, Rahm Emanuel isn’t whispering into Joe Biden’s ear these days, but those on the Left know well what Barack Obama’s former chief of staff said in the days just after the 2008 election, and they certainly know “an opportunity to do things you think you could not do before” when they see one.

Take Alexandra Ocasio-Cortez, for example, who told her 13 million Twitter followers yesterday: “Between NYC in wildfire smoke and this [heat wave] in [Puerto Rico], it bears repeating how unprepared we are for the climate crisis. We must adapt our food systems, energy grids, infrastructure, healthcare, etc…

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June 2023 ENSO update: El Niño is here, says NOAA

Credit:NOAA

If it happens, as ‘temperature anomalies are continuing to increase’, it will no doubt be used by some as a peg to hang ‘human-caused warming’ on, despite being a long-established natural occurrence. Politicising the weather is routine nowadays.
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El Niño conditions have developed, as the atmospheric response to the warmer-than-average tropical Pacific sea surface kicked in over the past month, says NOAA.

We expect El Niño to continue into the winter, and the odds of it becoming a strong event at its peak are pretty good, at 56%.

Chances of at least a moderate event are about 84%.

Roy Spencer: New paper pushes climate fearmongering to stratospheric heights

Credit: nationalreview.com

Once again pushback is required against scientists using climate models to promote their biased ‘human-caused warming’ agenda.
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A new paper by Santer et al. provocatively entitled “Exceptional stratospheric contribution to human fingerprints on atmospheric temperature” goes where no serious climate scientist should go: it has conflated stratospheric cooling with global warming, says Dr. Roy Spencer (via Climate Change Dispatch).

The paper starts out summarizing the supposed importance of their work, which is worth quoting in its entirety (author’s emphasis):

What If Climate is Self-Regulating?

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‘Sadly, climate science has morphed into climate rhetoric.’ — That’s what happens when a one-variable theory is proposed for a multi-variable system.
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Science Matters

Andy Kessler writes at WSJ Can the Climate Heal Itself?  Excerpts in italics with my bolds and added images.

Dissenters from the catastrophe consensus on warming are worth listening to.

Stop with all the existential-crisis talk. President Biden said, “Climate change is literally an existential threat to our nation and to the world.” Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin also talks about the “existential threat” of climate change. National security adviser Jake Sullivan identifies an “accelerating climate crisis” as one reason for a “new consensus” for government picking winners and losers in the economy. Be wary of those touting consensus.

But what if the entire premise is wrong?What if the Earth is self-healing? Before you hurl the “climate denier” invective at me, let’s think this through. Earth has been around for 4.5 billion years— living organisms for 3.7 billion. Surely, an enlightened engineer might think, the planet’s creator built in

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New study estimates global warming potential of hydrogen – 12 times CO2

Earth’s atmosphere [image credit: BBC]

That’s if we believe results from the climate models, anyway. Add this to the growing list of real and imagined hydrogen problems.
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The global warming effect of leaked hydrogen is almost 12 times stronger than CO2, shows a new study by CICERO, a climate research center, published in Communications Earth & Environment.

The study fills a gap in our knowledge about the climate effects of hydrogen, a central technology in the energy transition, says Phys.org.

Unlike exhaust from burning coal and gas that contains CO2, burning hydrogen emits only water vapor and oxygen. Rather, it is the leaking of hydrogen from production, transportation and usage that adds to global warming. [Talkshop comment – so the theory goes].

How Big was Carrington’s Sunspot?

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A 1967 group of sunspots ‘nearly led to nuclear war’.
https://www.space.com/33687-solar-storm-cold-war-false-alarm.html

Spaceweather.com

June 6, 2023: If you want to have a bit of fun with ChatGPT, ask it the following question: “How big was Carrington’s sunspot?”

ChatGPT’s response: “Richard Carrington’s observations of the great solar storm in 1859 did not provide a direct measurement of the size of the sunspot.”

Poor Richard Carrington must be turning in his grave. The astronomer made beautiful drawings of the sunspot, shown here in a figure from Carrington’s report in a 1859 issue of the Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society:

We definitely know how big it was.

In the mid-19th century, Carrington was known throughout England for his careful measurements of sunspots. Supported by his father’s beer-brewing business, he spent almost every cloudless day in London projecting an image of the sun through his telescope and drawing the sunspots he saw on the 11-inch solar disk. On Sept. 1st, 1859, one of them did…

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