Marine cloud brightening models show unexpected consequences of geoengineering

Posted: June 25, 2024 by oldbrew in atmosphere, Clouds, geo-engineering, modelling, research, Temperature, Uncertainty
Tags:


Unexpected as in undesirable. Another so-called climate solution gets a big question mark. Playing Russian roulette with a complex system that’s not well understood can only ever be a recipe for trouble somewhere, whether potential or actual.

A combined team of Earth scientists and climate specialists at the University of California San Diego and the National Center for Atmospheric Research has found via modeling that geoengineering projects such as marine cloud brightening can have unexpected and sometimes harmful consequences, says Phys.org.

In their study, published in the journal Nature Climate Change, the group designed models to predict what might happen if large-scale marine cloud brightening projects were undertaken in two major regions in the western United States.

Prior research has shown that unless greenhouse gas emissions are reduced and a way is found to reduce the amount of greenhouse gasses already in the atmosphere, dramatic climate changes will result. [Talkshop comment – other research shows nothing of the sort].

In recent years, scientists have found it unlikely that such goals will be met and have been looking for other solutions.

One proposed solution is geoengineering to reduce the amount of heat that makes its way into the atmosphere. One such approach is called marine cloud brightening (MCB), which involves injecting massive amounts of sea salt into the lower atmosphere to serve as tiny mirrors, bouncing heat and light from the sun back out into space.

For this new study, the researchers investigated how this might work for one part of the world and to model the potential impacts.

The work involved configuring established climate models to show what would happen if artificial stratocumulus clouds were created under two different scenarios, both over the North Pacific: one over the temperate latitudes and the other over sub-tropical waters. Under both scenarios, the artificial clouds were generated and maintained for nine months every year for 30 years.

The researchers found that the artificial clouds would reduce temperatures in the western U.S., primarily California—reducing risk of dangerously high temperatures by as much as 55%. But they also found the same clouds would reduce rainfall amounts, both in the U.S. and other parts of the world.

Full article here.
– – –
Image: Game of chance [credit: Wikipedia]

Comments
  1. oldbrew says:

    Climate obsessive Bill Gates thinks AI is a saviour…

    Bill Gates says AI will make it easier to combat climate change but must be ‘used by people with good intent’

    The philanthropist and Microsoft co-founder told Sky’s The World With Yalda Hakim that artificial intelligence would make innovation “far easier to do”. But he also warned of the dangers of the technology being used in cyber attacks and political interference.

    Wednesday 26 June 2024
    https://news.sky.com/story/bill-gates-says-ai-will-make-it-easier-to-combat-climate-change-but-must-be-used-by-people-with-good-intent-13159556

  2. oldbrew says:

    ‘Great uncertainties’ here, not good for geo-engineering advocates…

    Satellite captures first-of-a-kind cloud image – 27 June 2024

    In describing the density, distribution by size and movement of the various particles, scientists hope to gain clearer insights into the physics that drives cloud formation and behaviour.

    One of those sought after insights is the precise role played by clouds in a warming world.

    Some low-level clouds are known to cool the planet by reflecting sunlight straight back out into space, while others at high altitude work much like a blanket and trap the Sun’s energy.

    The Earthcare mission will endeavour to see precisely where the balance lies.

    This is one of the great uncertainties in the computer models that are used to forecast how the climate will respond to increasing levels of greenhouse gases. [bold added]

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/ce9317wk1v7o

    at high altitude work much like a blanket and trap the Sun’s energy‘ – just like the UN claims CO2 works, but vastly more powerful – and ‘uncertain’.

  3. coecharlesdavid says:

    Whatever the outcome of these deliberations it will have no effect upon the role of CO2 and hence the need for net zero. More and more evidence and published papers are showing that the climate sensitivity to CO2 is less than 1degC. This work on cloud formation is simply an academic exercise and another hole into which funding can be poured.

  4. catweazle666 says:

    Ah, more settled science…

Leave a comment