Scientists predict ‘mini ice age’ could hit UK by 2030 – Sky News

Posted: December 28, 2017 by oldbrew in climate, Natural Variation, research, weather
Tags: ,

Erie, Pennsylvania [image credit: UK Met Office]


Sky News ran the Zharkova interview straight after one about record snowfall in Erie, Pennsylvania – which a climate scientist claimed was due to increased evaporation caused by global warming. The research Sky is now referring to was first published in 2015.

A model of the Sun’s magnetic activity suggests the River Thames may freeze over within two decades, experts say.

A mini ice age that would freeze major rivers could hit Britain in less than two decades, according to research from universities in the UK and Russia.

A mathematical model of the Sun’s magnetic activity suggests temperatures could start dropping here from 2021, with the potential for winter skating on the River Thames by 2030.

A team led by maths professor Valentina Zharkova at Northumbria University built on work from Moscow to predict the movements of two magnetic waves produced by the Sun.

It predicts rapidly decreasing magnetic waves for three solar cycles beginning in 2021 and lasting 33 years.

Very low magnetic activity on the Sun correspond with historically documented cold periods on Earth.

Professor Zharkova claims 97% accuracy for the model which dovetails with previous mini ice ages, including the Maunder Minimum period from 1645 to 1715 when frost fairs were held on the frozen Thames.

But she cautions that her mathematical research cannot be used as proof that there will be a mini ice age this time around, not least because of global warming.

Continued here.
– – –
BBC News: Snow emergency in US city Erie after huge storm

Notrickszone: 7 New (2017) Papers Forecast Global Cooling, Another Little Ice Age Will Begin Soon

Comments
  1. Now that they’ve managed to tamper with RSS, within a few short years we won’t have a clue what is happening to the climate globally except by the weather we experience ourselves. That’s what modern “science” has done … taken us back to the dark ages.

  2. Graeme No.3 says:

    Sky obviously don’t fact check. The last London frost fair was in 1814. But the Thames is longer than through London, what happens when the upper reaches freeze? Does that qualify?
    In any case didn’t 1895, 1963 and 2014 have ice on the river somewhere in London?
    And The Telegraph reported that science claim in 2015.

  3. oldbrew says:

    In the days of Thames frost fairs there was a different London bridge with lots of pillars in the water, so the river had to squeeze through and the low flow made freezing easier. Wikipedia: ‘old London Bridge was demolished in 1831’.

    On the left here…

  4. oldbrew says:

    Erie – So, what snow records were smashed?
    In fact, a number of them were.

  5. Graeme No.3 says:

    oldbrew:
    Agree about the old London Bridge. The flyer obviously refers to the 1709/10 very hard winter.
    The Great Lottery was run by a group of ‘financiers’ who later figured prominently in the South Sea Bubble.

    [reply] Wikipedia caption says: ‘An account of the Frost Fair of 1608, believed to be the first’

  6. Windchaser says:

    Winter snowfall records in Erie are strongly determined by the amount of moisture in the air, not by the temperature.

    This ain’t Florida. It’s generally cold enough in western PA to snow in December through February.

    Look at it more like what causes the high precipitation, rather than it being a competition between snow and rain (’cause it’s not that).

  7. oldbrew says:

    Jo Nova: Extreme cold in Toronto smashes 57-​year-​old temper­ature record

    Temper­atures observed at Toronto’s Pearson­ Intern­ational Airport bottomed out at-​22 C [-​7.7F] this morning. The previous record for this date was set in 1960

    http://joannenova.com.au/2017/12/last-record-breaking-winter-with-snow-hits-canada-before-nobody-knows-what-snow-is/
    – – –
    Four Years Since The New York Times Announced The End Of Snow
    https://realclimatescience.com/2017/12/four-years-since-the-new-york-times-announced-the-end-of-snow/
    – – –

  8. craigm350 says:

    Reblogged this on WeatherAction News and commented:
    Strange this study has appeared again and in mainstream but at least its getting “airtime”. The Thames freezing over is a strange one since London Bridge is gone, but it may well if we get another 2010 winter type with northern blocking although that may not be until we are in solar minimum rather than approaching.

  9. Richard111 says:

    Gosh! 97% accuracy for the mini-iceage prediction.

  10. oldbrew says:

    Trump winding up the warmists again…

  11. Acidohm says:

    Thames embankments were built from 1860.

    The theory is now the river width is reduced, flow may be faster and therefore further freezing will be much harder to achieve then during the maunder minimum.

  12. dscott says:

    I would like to point out that NASA satellite data on sea levels have NOT been updated since August 10th 2017. The graphic clearly shows sea levels have not risen since October 2015. That’s 2 years! It seems were are in a secular regime change in sea levels.

    https://climate.nasa.gov/vital-signs/sea-level/

    Given the global cold snap one must ask two questions:
    1. Was the response of sea level to drop due to global cooling?
    2. Are NASA people deliberately withholding the current sea level data that shows a drop in sea level?

  13. dscott says:

    My comment on sea level rise requires a clarification: it is actually about the amount of rise has leveled off, it is still in fact rising, just the amount has remained steady.

  14. oldbrew says:

    ‘the amount of rise has leveled off, it is still in fact rising, just the amount has remained steady.’

    A bit like the pause in global temperatures 😎

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