Flashback to 2009: Researchers Say Sun Cycle Alters Earth’s Climate 

Posted: March 24, 2020 by oldbrew in Cycles, ENSO, ozone, solar system dynamics, Temperature, weather
Tags: ,

Variation in solar activity during a recent sunspot cycle [credit: Wikipedia]


This seems worth another airing in the face of today’s insistent, but evidence-light, claims from climate obsessives that the world’s present and future weather is going to be largely determined by human activities.

If the energy from the sun varies by only 0.1 percent during the 11-year solar cycle, could such a small variation drive major changes in weather patterns on Earth? – asks Universe Today.

Yes, say researchers from the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) who used more than a century of weather observations and three powerful computer models in their study.

They found subtle connections between solar cycle, the stratosphere, and the tropical Pacific Ocean that work in sync to generate periodic weather patterns that affect much of the globe.

Scientists say this will help in predicting the intensity of certain climate phenomena, such as the Indian monsoon and tropical Pacific rainfall, years in advance.

“The Sun, the stratosphere, and the oceans are connected in ways that can influence events such as winter rainfall in North America,” says NCAR scientist Gerald Meehl, the lead author. “Understanding the role of the solar cycle can provide added insight as scientists work toward predicting regional weather patterns for the next couple of decades.”

The new study looked at the connection between the Sun’s impact on two seemingly unrelated regions. Chemicals in the stratosphere and sea surface temperatures in the Pacific Ocean respond during solar maximum in a way that amplifies the Sun’s influence on some aspects of air movement. This can intensify winds and rainfall, change sea surface temperatures and cloud cover over certain tropical and subtropical regions, and ultimately influence global weather.

The team first confirmed an earlier theory, that the slight increase in solar energy during the peak production of sunspots is absorbed by stratospheric ozone. The energy warms the air in the stratosphere over the tropics, where sunlight is most intense, while also stimulating the production of additional ozone there that absorbs even more solar energy.

Since the stratosphere warms unevenly, with the most pronounced warming occurring at lower latitudes, stratospheric winds are altered and, through a chain of interconnected processes, end up strengthening tropical precipitation.

At the same time, the increased sunlight at solar maximum causes a slight warming of ocean surface waters across the subtropical Pacific, where Sun-blocking clouds are normally scarce. That small amount of extra heat leads to more evaporation, producing additional water vapor.

In turn, the moisture is carried by trade winds to the normally rainy areas of the western tropical Pacific, fueling heavier rains and reinforcing the effects of the stratospheric mechanism.

The top-down influence of the stratosphere and the bottom-up influence of the ocean work together to intensify this loop and strengthen the trade winds. As more sunshine hits drier areas, these changes reinforce each other, leading to less clouds in the subtropics, allowing even more sunlight to reach the surface, and producing a positive feedback loop that further magnifies the climate response.

These stratospheric and ocean responses during solar maximum keep the equatorial eastern Pacific even cooler and drier than usual, producing conditions similar to a La Nina event. However, the cooling of about 1-2 degrees Fahrenheit is focused farther east than in a typical La Nina, is only about half as strong, and is associated with different wind patterns in the stratosphere.

Earth’s response to the solar cycle continues for a year or two following peak sunspot activity. The La Nina-like pattern triggered by the solar maximum tends to evolve into a pattern similar to El Nino as slow-moving currents replace the cool water over the eastern tropical Pacific with warmer water.

The ocean response is only about half as strong as with El Nino and the lagged warmth is not as consistent as the La Nina-like pattern that occurs during peaks in the solar cycle.

Full article here.

Comments
  1. Alvin Scott says:

    Hello Roger, Helps to say who or what funds these various Research Groups that you quote

    I am not a scientist and I do know that in all these “reports” there is an element of truth just like Govt reports.

    Roger NO body is saying that the incoming energy from the Sun is the problem it is the “Blanket of gasses that have been massively increased which allow the heat in but slow the heat dissipation into space”

    In fact if this is a cooling then we better watch out for when the cycle heads back to the warm side.

    Sorry We can affect the emissions which create this problem So when we do it with no loss of lifestyle what are you griping about if the cut in emissions has no effect then people have had cleaner air to breath If it is correct and the drop in Green House Gasses does allow the Earths Daily cooling phase to take place then we should bring down the Global Warming and hope to restore an equilibrium to the Climatic conditions.

    End

    Sent from Mail for Windows 10

    ________________________________

  2. oldbrew says:

    There is no ‘blanket of gases’ Alvin. You just made one up, that’s all.

    Carbon dioxide is 0.04% of the atmosphere, meaning 99.96% is something else. 100 years ago it was about 0.03%, and at these very tiny percentages it’s called a ‘trace gas’.

    A trace of something is just a hint or suggestion of it, a very small amount left behind — like the sad cookie crumbs at the bottom of an empty cookie jar.
    https://www.vocabulary.com/dictionary/trace

    Just enough to allow photosynthesis to work.

  3. Phoenix44 says:

    Alvin: “when we do it with no loss of lifestyle…”

    Sure. But there’s not a single example of that. So far we have added a great deal of cost and done away with a great deal of efficiency and reliability. All that has caused a massive loss if lifestyle, both actual and potential.

  4. Paul Vaughan says:

    Media discretion finds harmonic intuition in won knew clear pointer:
    24.0638587087566 = 63ΦΦ = 504ΦΦ/8 = (7Φ)(9Φ) = 7(3Φ)(3Φ) = 72(7ΦΦ)/8 = 84(6ΦΦ)/8 = 56(9ΦΦ)/8

    Method of Loci Q’s’Mayan-D Palace Memorrery

    A special property of 7 conflates per√(Φ-φ)ph’or’a11y BCause 4096 = 2^12.
    24.067904774739 = ⌊(e^√7π)^(1/n)⌉^n – e^√7π for n = 2, 3, 4, 6, 12

    The known-stablest of extreme irrationality differs qualitatively from random irrationAI IT of unknown stability. The best combinatoric partition 4 stable aggregation May Remain UN known.

    63 = ⌊φφ⌊(e^√7π)^(1/12)⌉^12 – e^√7π⌉

  5. Paul Vaughan says:

    Sum physica11y meaning full partition points 2 we11 -exposed roots.
    176=38+138=⌊100(ΦΦ+Φ√5)⌉=⌊100ΦΦ⌉+⌊100Φ√5⌉
    176=8*22
    9=38-29

    Art eye fish AI ‘s’11ip’s’ UNdetected tales of Bo’LD stock buy design:

    Φ = harmonic mean of 1 & 1/√5
    Φ√5 = harmonic mean of 1 & √5
    ΦΦ = harmonic mean of 1 & √5-⌊√5⌉

    IT’s’ AI-wheel drive’s’talk‘s’pUN AI IT AI more than weave B4’Cene:

    167=176-9
    167=104+63

    Breaking news reported 63.
    -6 = 57 – 63 knew clear revision.
    55 settled mess age late tor express able truth UN fiction 2 symbol eyes mix four bet or reca11 104 & 298.

    63 = ⌊62.9918699186992⌉ = ⌊ (298)*(52) / (298 – 52) ⌉
    44 = ⌊44.2783018867925⌉ = ⌊ (149)*(63) / (149 + 63) ⌉

    30030’s primorial:
    30030 = 13*11*7*5*3*2
    15015 = 13*11*7*5*3
    15015 = ⌊15014.9490356168⌉ = ⌊ ( (149)*(63) / (149 + 63) / 4 ) ^ 4 ⌉

    22 = ⌊22.1384769776823⌉ = ⌊φφ/(J+S)⌉
    22 = ⌊22.1391509433962⌉ = ⌊ (149)*(63) / (149 + 63) / 2⌉
    22 = ⌊22.1391697297859⌉ = ⌊2*(13*11*7*5*3)^(1/4) ⌉
    22 = ⌊22.139216638166⌉ = ⌊φ(φφ)^e⌉
    22 = ⌊22.1392314983835⌉ = ⌊1/JEV⌉ = ⌊1/(3V-5E+2J)⌉

  6. Paul Vaughan says:

    UN Q’11 Just See “The Road”

    “stands BRIght
    voices Peekin’ riddles
    high-D-hi-D-eye as black as coal
    the old Ma’an is D-own the RD” — John Fogerty

    Accupuncturing Sea-Rocks with Sunlight Won at Last Time

    29.4474891061275 = ΦΦ77.0945273631841 = ΦΦ( (298)*(104) / (298 + 104) )

    44.2783018867925 = (149)*(63) / (149 + 63)
    22.1391509433962 = 44.2783018867925 / 2 = (149)*(63) / (149 + 63) / 2
    18.0146216150945 = (396+√8) / ( (149)*(63) / (149 + 63) / 2 )

    19.8650538523515 = (22.1391509433962)*(18.0146216150945)/((22.1391509433962+18.0146216150945)/2)

    11.8626199707913 = (29.4474891061275)*(19.8650538523515) / (29.4474891061275 + 19.8650538523515)

    West turn politicians lost 2020 battle 4 hearts and minds in UNchecked rage against the ma chine.

    Summary

    19.8650538523515 = (29.4474891061275)*(11.8626199707913) / (29.4474891061275 – 11.8626199707913)
    8.4561474216776 = (29.4474891061275)*(11.8626199707913) / (29.4474891061275 + 11.8626199707913)
    16.9122948433552 = (29.4474891061275)*(11.8626199707913)/((29.4474891061275+11.8626199707913)/2)

    “Wash. a wei the reign” — Sound Guard UN “Black Hole’s’UN”

    Seidelmann (1992)

    19.8650360864628 = (29.4474984673838)*(11.8626151546089) / (29.4474984673838 – 11.8626151546089)
    8.4561457463176 = (29.4474984673838)*(11.8626151546089) / (29.4474984673838 + 11.8626151546089)
    16.9122914926352 = (29.4474984673838)*(11.8626151546089)/((29.4474984673838+11.8626151546089)/2)

    Stay blessed irrationAI IT sol’V-E’s’ 4 peace-by-piece.
    No.We’R on bet ‘or’ track but C won step back before 2’s’ tip 4word.

    log(period) errors = log(frequency) errors
    +0.000016414568269% 1/J
    -0.000009397968848% 1/S
    +0.000029921069011% 1/(J-S) = beat period
    +0.000009280244701% 1/(J+S) = axial period
    +0.000007005675057% (1/2)/(J+S) = harmonic mean

  7. Paul Vaughan says:

    Periodic Stable One Door Back Four Proper Ties

    This is won step back before 2 step forward.

    Weave more than climatic reason 2 cry “4 shame”.
    Peace by stable piece we can knot slip threw real cycles two solve four elements of the periodic stable.

    Ivory tower social eye deals don’t dictate reaction to “God’s real” numbers.
    If few need — never mind want — a winning team, two account thoughtfully four power’s key mystery.

    Power Ski Must Try?

    We C psych’11s R slipping we11-past Eur. required activation energy:
    POWorship vs. POWarship = Power’S’cheme Mystery

    putt AI IT AI Led in ‘is head” — Metric “Monde Stir O ‘s’ Π IT AI”

    My UN dread delayed post sting (written mid-January) as wreck wired in Φ’V-E squared times:
    “Gold is the reason” — U2 “New Year’s Day”

    Slip cycle integer she11’s’ derived previously are divisible by 44, 22, & 11:

    352 = ⌈351.268846904686⌉ = ⌈1/(-(173/2)V+(291/2)E-58J)⌉
    352 = ⌈351.291236535933⌉ = ⌈1/(-10J+28S-18(U-N))⌉

    We C R freedom to express just numbers is slipping US a weight O×IT just in time.

    176 = ⌈175.634423452343⌉ = ⌈1/(-173V+291E-116J)⌉
    176 = ⌈175.645618267966⌉ = ⌈1/(-20J+56S-36(U-N))⌉

  8. ren says:

    The solar minimum has a huge impact on stratospheric temperature anomalies in winter above 60th parallel.

  9. gds44 says:

    Reblogged this on Gds44's Blog.

  10. oldbrew says:

    The team used three different computer models to look at all the variables and each came up with the same result, that even a small variability in the sun’s energy could have profound effects on Earth.

    “With the help of increased computing power and improved models, as well as observational discoveries, we are uncovering more of how the mechanisms combine to connect solar variability to our weather and climate,” Meehl says. [bold added]

    Interesting 😎

  11. Damian says:

    Warmists should try sleeping whilst covered with only 0.04 of a blanket and see how much heat is trapped.

  12. Chaswarnertoo says:

    It’s that big yellow H bomb in the sky? Who’d a thunk it?😎

  13. oldbrew says:

    There’s even a propaganda film about it: Invisible Blanket.

    The blurb says:
    ‘Invisible Blanket’ is a narrative short based on real events and publications of 1950s, when the first climate change scientists started to voice their concerns in major US magazines and newspapers. Their predictions turned out to be rather accurate, yet their voices remained ‘unheard’ for more than half of a century…

    What happened to the ‘tropospheric hotspot’ prediction? Never been found – maybe invisible, so you can’t prove it’s not there 😎

    their voices remained ‘unheard’ for more than half of a century
    Overlooking the cries of global cooling alarm in the 1970s…

    Over to Talkshop film critics…

  14. Paul Vaughan says:

    I’m posting the last piece of the January puzzle fragment as I said I would (on the DO thread). Instead of putting all of the pieces together this time I scattered them all over the place. I broke up the puzzle on purpose and for good reasons. Even so, anyone who was following the news late in 2019 and early in 2020 should be able to read the symbolism. Remember that the Mayans were masters of symbolism, for example hiding year-counts as day-counts in mind palace representation. Sometimes it’s better to hide a message than make it clear to everyone.

  15. Paul Vaughan says:

    Censor Ship Industry: 4 Shh!Aim

    Are provoc8ive numbers philosophica11y “free” to speak of aggregation criteria 4 human writes?
    Are free speech and human writes just artificia11y inte11igent primorial F($UN)’s’ of φ ‘n’ do’or’ e?
    To catch a fast ride, where’s the censor ship stop nearest IT’s revelationary “hi wei” to Hale?

    Knew Clear’s’ Top’s’ 4 Far Eye ‘S’eek When ‘S’ing

    Taxonomic motivation to ‘s’ort and classify stable number’s’ adds stare if eying psych’11ogicAIlie e V-E n if my UN ‘n’ NASA shared No. orbit AI 4’We’11 con spy R ace C 2 state of the art 4 peace-by-piece.

    Conclusion

    2O’s’cene fly yen well be 4 D-LA ID heir ring of Ramanu√jan∞.
    63 chemystery was served UN’s’table.
    AIign meant wasn’t right but left.

    ” UN’O’Th’or’UN bite’s’ “ — Queen

    -6 add just meant major fault’s E-Vent chew ally in wrong theater:
    IT’s neither ME nor China but rather homeland swamp still left 2 drain 4 peace.

    Goal d’UN Angel

    222 = ⌊222.492235949962⌉ = ⌊942.492235949962 mod 360⌉ = ⌊360φφ mod 360⌉
    138 = ⌊137.507764050038⌉ = ⌊137.507764050038 mod 360⌉ = ⌊360ΦΦ mod 360⌉
    84 = 222 – 138 = ⌊360φφ mod 360⌉ – ⌊360ΦΦ mod 360⌉
    84=ROUND(MOD(AVERAGE(1,SQRT(5))^2*360,360),0)-ROUND(MOD(HARMEAN(1,1/SQRT(5))^2*360,360),0)
    360 = 222 + 138 = 138 + 84 + 138
    84 signals suspension mine US 2-times for resumption be low.

    Paradoxically Lo V-E End US Key 2 Vi(ru)le Ant Species ID

    They do not simply agree to disagree and part weighs amicably.

    -6 = 57 – 63 = suggestively mainstream adjustment
    598.5 = (63)*(57) / (63 – 57)
    29.925 = (63)*(57) / (63 + 57)
    20 = 598.5 / 29.925 = my UN backed UN base
    360 = (63 – 57)*(63)*(57) / 59.85 = UN circle
    59.85 = (63)*(57)/((63+57)/2) = harmonic mean sweep UN circle watch times and doors 4 “backdoor man”
    -8 = 55 – 63 = even more suggestively mainstream weight O×IT

    The vi(ru)le ants abuse predictable methods of strictly brutal “rational” discourse to trip irrational fundamentals of democratic stability, savagely attacking with extreme contempt even the purest expressions of free belief.

    AX√(Φ-φ)AI Democracy Pole Arose

    “as if they thought of reign
    ‘S’he’s’ got ties of the blew west Sky’s’
    ‘S’he takes me a wei to that speciAI place
    ∞H8 2 look kin 2 th’O’s’eyes’n’C yen ounce sov.pain
    O sweet lo V-E of Mayan”
    — Guns ‘n’ Roses “Sweet Chi.11 do V-E my UN”

    Knew creed UN’s’ clear whotor revivAI hands crown to hymn:

    -8 = 76 – 84
    84 / 76 = 63 / 57 = 21 / 19
    798 = (84)*(76) / (84 – 76)
    39.9 = (84)*(76) / (84 + 76)
    20 = 798 / 39.9 = beat / axial period = sum / difference
    = ( (20n+1) + (20n-1) ) / ( (20n+1) – (20n-1) ) = 40n / 2 = 20n for n=1,2,3,…

    Reverse stable partition struck diary’s’endin’ my UN match 42 reentry dates:
    84 = 76 + 8 = 38 + 8 + 38
    360 = 138 + 38 + 8 + 38 + 138
    360 = 176 + 8 + 176

    Provoke King The Party’s Power Ski Mystery

    US main streams symbolic hatred of beautiful Chinese people (not to be conflated with the Chinese government which is just as frightening as every other government) has gone one step too far.

    Irrationally stable solutions (never mind “rational” DCoys) are peaceful by nature, free of “rational” bullIDevil “logic”. Symbolically IT’s right 2 no. what’s left pushing vi(ru)le ant assumptions.

    Free22^e Peach in E-V Orrery Paci11able Wei

    “part of ma chine
    stands like statue
    digit counters fall
    there has 2 be at west
    plays clean
    buy intuition
    disc√(Φ-φ)pu11
    doves the wrest” — “πnfa11UNwiseRD” — The Who

    My UN’s’ knot Eur. UN, but let US Remain free 2 express numerically “My UN” freedom. Step won is 2 rightly drain IT’s worldwide swamp of agents provocateurs left triggering vi(ru)le ants.

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